Founder

Olivier Desbarres

Exacting. Excellent. Exceeding. Exemplary.

4X Global Research

4X Global Research was founded in 2017 to provide institutional and corporate clients with the substantive research, high-quality analysis and thoughtful insight on Emerging and G20 economies and financial markets they need to make informed and timely decisions and gain an edge in their investments.

FX & Rates

<ul>
<li>Covid-19 cases in most Eurozone countries remain at or near record levels and in many the death rate has risen in past five weeks. </li>
<li>Governments have thus maintained strict social distancing and travel rules which are weighing on Eurozone’s economic growth and Euro.</li>
<li>But United Kingdom, which has announced a loosening of rules, could be template for how things unfold in Eurozone and cheap Euro may eventually rebound.</li>
</ul>


Covid-19 cases in most Eurozone countries remain at or near record levels and in many the death rate has risen in past five weeks. 
Governments have thus maintained strict social distancing and travel rules which are weighing on Eurozone’s economic growth and Euro.
But United Kingdom, which has announced a loosening of rules, could be template for how things unfold in Eurozone and cheap Euro may eventually rebound.


Light at the End of Long Eurozone Tunnel?

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Oil is testing &amp; threatening to take out the trend high at $86.70</li>
<li>A number of levels converge in this area that extend up to $89.58</li>
<li>A breach of that zone would open the way for further gains to the tune of 20%-30%.</li>
</ul>


Oil is testing &amp; threatening to take out the trend high at $86.70
A number of levels converge in this area that extend up to $89.58
A breach of that zone would open the way for further gains to the tune of 20%-30%.


Macroeconomic and Investing, The Macro Compass

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Macroeconomic and Investing

The Macro Compass

Actionable investment ideas and unique global macro insights. From the desk of a former Head of $20 bn Investment Portfolio straight to your inbox.

Actionable Investment Ideas

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The power of the rate of change of things is very important here. Look at money creation for example. The extreme volatility in credit creation is a result of Covid-policies</li><li>we may be in for a 2019-like contraction in USD reserves in the financial system already before year-end.</li><li>I am even tempted to say that you should both buy the USD and duration (in most currencies) with an arm and a leg already now.. And equities overall..</li></ul>

The power of the rate of change of things is very important here. Look at money creation for example. The extreme volatility in credit creation is a result of Covid-policieswe may be in for a 2019-like contraction in USD reserves in the financial system already before year-end.I am even tempted to say that you should both buy the USD and duration (in most currencies) with an arm and a leg already now.. And equities overall..

House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

<ul><li>This week has been crucial for markets. Because some of the most important central banks released their monetary policy expectations for next year</li><li>The Fed will accelerate the tapering (from $15 Bln to $30 Bln) and its officials now expect to raise interest rates three times next year and three times in 2023</li><li>The ECB has been probably the most dovish among the central banks: it left key rates unchanged and it doesn’t foresee to raise them in 2022</li></ul>

This week has been crucial for markets. Because some of the most important central banks released their monetary policy expectations for next yearThe Fed will accelerate the tapering (from $15 Bln to $30 Bln) and its officials now expect to raise interest rates three times next year and three times in 2023The ECB has been probably the most dovish among the central banks: it left key rates unchanged and it doesn’t foresee to raise them in 2022

The week of the Central Banks: expectations, surprises and reactions

<ul>
<li>Last week's spike in US asset prices, including US Treasuries, in the wake of gangbuster US CPI-inflation data for October, has proved short-lived.  </li>
<li>However, EM currencies have outperformed developed currencies since 1st November thanks partly to EM central bank policy rate hikes, a lack of currency contagion and domestic macro data.</li>
<li>We focus on low-volatility Asian currencies, the under-pressure Norwegian Krone, Polish Zloty,  Hungarian Forint and Euro and the importance of the release of UK retail sales data on Friday.</li>
</ul>


Last week's spike in US asset prices, including US Treasuries, in the wake of gangbuster US CPI-inflation data for October, has proved short-lived.  
However, EM currencies have outperformed developed currencies since 1st November thanks partly to EM central bank policy rate hikes, a lack of currency contagion and domestic macro data.
We focus on low-volatility Asian currencies, the under-pressure Norwegian Krone, Polish Zloty,  Hungarian Forint and Euro and the importance of the release of UK retail sales data on Friday.


FX Round-Up – Calm Before the Next Storm

United States

The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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Light at the End of Long Eurozone Tunnel?

In the face of record-high Covid cases and stubborn death rates, strict Eurozone rules weighing on growth and Euro. But UK could be template for...

Olivier Desbarres

Crude Oil: Levels Are There to Be Broken

The Oil price is now threatening major levels that need to be watched over the coming days as a break through the $90 area could open the way for...

Shyam Devani

Vikings At The Gate

The power of the rate of change of things is very important here. Look at money creation for example. The extreme volatility in credit creation is...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

The week of the Central Banks: expectations, surprises and reactions

This week has been crucial for markets. Because some of the most important central banks released their monetary policy expectations for next year

Market Radar

FX Round-Up – Calm Before the Next Storm

Interest rate and FX vol has subsided with directionality in EM and developed market currencies driven by domestic macro data and monetary...

Olivier Desbarres

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