Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We were transitioning to short USD at DXY 114 and 113 ahead of the touted break below trendline support that is now unfolding. Our pullback target is DXY 103.</li>
<li>A weaker USD is acting as a key risk turn for EM and Asian equities (EEM bull from 34).</li>
<li>The USD breakdown is accompanied by a clear yield support break that is perhaps the higher conviction bet into a recession.</li>
</ul>


We were transitioning to short USD at DXY 114 and 113 ahead of the touted break below trendline support that is now unfolding. Our pullback target is DXY 103.
A weaker USD is acting as a key risk turn for EM and Asian equities (EEM bull from 34).
The USD breakdown is accompanied by a clear yield support break that is perhaps the higher conviction bet into a recession.


<ul>
<li>US 10yr yield pivot support at 3.50% will determine if we reach for the 4.19% blow off projection. Macro breakout points, pullback and forward targets the focus.</li>
<li>5 wave rise is noted with retracement synergy that sets the stage for a yield pullback as deflationary forces surface in 2023.</li>
<li>Long term yield breakouts are noted for a yield retreat in 2023 ahead of higher inflation and yield projections in 2024 and a probable credit event.</li>
</ul>


US 10yr yield pivot support at 3.50% will determine if we reach for the 4.19% blow off projection. Macro breakout points, pullback and forward targets the focus.
5 wave rise is noted with retracement synergy that sets the stage for a yield pullback as deflationary forces surface in 2023.
Long term yield breakouts are noted for a yield retreat in 2023 ahead of higher inflation and yield projections in 2024 and a probable credit event.


US Yield Tactical Tops and Forward Higher Yield Trajectory

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>US Treasuries may still be on the way up [in price]</li>
<li>The most interesting development is the fall in the Oil price as WTI takes out key levels</li>
<li>The price action on yields is so far no different to a month ago from where yields started to fall again after a strong NFP number. Equities may also benefit</li>
</ul>


US Treasuries may still be on the way up [in price]
The most interesting development is the fall in the Oil price as WTI takes out key levels
The price action on yields is so far no different to a month ago from where yields started to fall again after a strong NFP number. Equities may also benefit


<ul>
<li>As we prepare for the FOMC there are patterns to watch beyond the short term</li>
<li>The risk of lower yields still persists, especially given the curve inversion</li>
<li>As a consequence we are likely to see further gains in US equities</li>
</ul>


As we prepare for the FOMC there are patterns to watch beyond the short term
The risk of lower yields still persists, especially given the curve inversion
As a consequence we are likely to see further gains in US equities


<ul>
<li>Brent Crude is approaching important levels at $124 and may be about to breakout</li>
<li>The overall picture on the chart indicates a move to $150. If seen with rising yields again, it would yet again provide a negative backdrop for equities.</li>
<li>While the S&amp;P 500 may stretch up to 4,300 in the short term, that would be a sell zone as the medium term picture points to further downside.</li>
</ul>


Brent Crude is approaching important levels at $124 and may be about to breakout
The overall picture on the chart indicates a move to $150. If seen with rising yields again, it would yet again provide a negative backdrop for equities.
While the S&amp;P 500 may stretch up to 4,300 in the short term, that would be a sell zone as the medium term picture points to further downside.


US 10Y (USGG10YR INDEX)

USD Breakdown a Tailwind for Asia

We were transitioning to short USD at DXY 114 and 113 ahead of the touted break below trendline support that is now unfolding. Our pullback target...

Thomas Schroeder

US Yield Tactical Tops and Forward Higher Yield Trajectory

US 10yr yield pivot support at 3.50% will determine if we reach for the 4.19% blow off projection. Macro breakout points, pullback and forward...

Thomas Schroeder

US Treasuries & Post NFP Thoughts

The fall in the Oil price is arguably more important than the NFP numbers. Should it continue, a move down on US 10 year yields would not be...

Shyam Devani

"V" For ? Thoughts on Central Banks

Market reactions to the ECB are clear, they are going the opposite way of what policy makers intended. As we prepare for the Fed, some medium term...

Shyam Devani

A Crude Development

The rise in Oil is a development that cannot be ignored. A rally through $124 on Brent would open the way for not only $139 but possibly $150 -...

Shyam Devani