Steno Signals #68: There is NOT enough buyers for bonds amidst all this
A deal between the US/Israel and Saudi Arabia seems off the table after this weekend. Oil markets are physically tight still, but there are some...
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EM by EM #24 Tightening the noose on EM
This week’s standout story has undeniably been the startling EIA report from the US. Unless we receive a substantial revision or information that...
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Recession Nugget: 4 Charts for the Equity Bears, 1 Chart for the Bulls!
Takeaways: Yield curve looks prone to make equities pukeReal economic data looks weak as well Jobs still strong lending support Let’s start by...
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Macro Regime Model: Inflation down while growth is on the up?
Every month, we present our best evaluation of the present and approaching month’s macroeconomic conditions, balancing risks and rewards. We put...
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Real Rates Above 2%? Buy Bonds and Sell Equities
Using a small data sample, as elevated real yields have become increasingly scarce, US 10-year real yields of 2% or more favor Treasuries over...
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