Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It's the largest bank by assets in Indonesia, but its loan growth is about 2x the country aggregate growth rate. </li>
<li>NPL decline is stronger than most all banks in the country over the past few years, implications for credit costs are positive. </li>
<li>Boring old costs should not be ignored, especially where they are driving radical expansion of ROA. </li>
</ul>


It's the largest bank by assets in Indonesia, but its loan growth is about 2x the country aggregate growth rate. 
NPL decline is stronger than most all banks in the country over the past few years, implications for credit costs are positive. 
Boring old costs should not be ignored, especially where they are driving radical expansion of ROA. 


Bank Mandiri - All Cylinders Firing Strong

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Tata Consultancy Svcs / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> ended up doing better than we expected, while Hong Kong finally got its first US$100m+ listing for the year.</li>
<li>For placements, India was again at the forefront, this time with a not-so-pleasant results of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consultancy-svcs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18708:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Trial Holdings (5882 JP) ended up doing better than we expected, while Hong Kong finally got its first US$100m+ listing for the year.
For placements, India was again at the forefront, this time with a not-so-pleasant results of Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN). 


ECM Weekly (25th Mar 2024) - TCS, Akeso, Coforge, ABSL, Tokio Marine, Trial, Migao, Mixue, Reddit

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> was hoping for better luck with its listing this time around.</li>
<li>For placements, it was a very busy week for a change with most regions, apart from Hong Kong, chipping in.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Trial Holdings (5882 JP) was hoping for better luck with its listing this time around.
For placements, it was a very busy week for a change with most regions, apart from Hong Kong, chipping in.


ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) - Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a>’s co-founder Rakesh Gangwal’s 25%+ stake will be released from lock-up tomorrow.</li>
<li>He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake. He has sold shares in Sep 2022, Feb 2023 and Aug 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder Rakesh Gangwal’s 25%+ stake will be released from lock-up tomorrow.
He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake. He has sold shares in Sep 2022, Feb 2023 and Aug 2023.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Lockup - Still Has US$3bn+ Stake Left, After Three Prior Selldowns

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The yields on financial assets at DBS is now 3.92% for FY23. This compares with 4.64% for OCBC.  </li>
<li>The change in yields on financial assets at DBS in the past year is 160bps compared with 194bps for OCBC. </li>
<li>From FY19 to FY23 OCBC has only added SGD70bn to its total financial assets or +19%. DBS added SGD169bn or +28% over this period. </li>
</ul>


The yields on financial assets at DBS is now 3.92% for FY23. This compares with 4.64% for OCBC.  
The change in yields on financial assets at DBS in the past year is 160bps compared with 194bps for OCBC. 
From FY19 to FY23 OCBC has only added SGD70bn to its total financial assets or +19%. DBS added SGD169bn or +28% over this period. 


OCBC Vs DBS - Vast Differences in Yields on Financial Assets and New Risk in past Four Years

Singapore

United Overseas Bank Limited provides a wide range of financial services including personal financial services, wealth management, private banking, commercial and corporate banking, transaction banking, investment banking, corporate finance, capital market activities, treasury services, futures broking, asset management, venture capital management and insurance.

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UOB (UOB SP)

Bank Mandiri - All Cylinders Firing Strong

BMRI reveals cyclical and structural strength to such as a degree that its ROA is highest in its history. Loan growth, NPL decline, lower operating...

Daniel Tabbush

ECM Weekly (25th Mar 2024) - TCS, Akeso, Coforge, ABSL, Tokio Marine, Trial, Migao, Mixue, Reddit

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) - Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Lockup - Still Has US$3bn+ Stake Left, After Three Prior Selldowns

The founder is now looking up to US$450m via selling around 3.3% of the company. This deal is well flagged although the timing is a few days later...

Sumeet Singh

OCBC Vs DBS - Vast Differences in Yields on Financial Assets and New Risk in past Four Years

OCBC has far higher yield on financial assets than DBS. The delta in recent years is also better at OCBC. Growth rates of financial assets is far...

Daniel Tabbush

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