Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following a methodology change in mid-November for the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index, there are 7 adds and 29 deletes for the index in December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 6% leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 3.15bn (US$435m).</li>
<li>The adds outperformed the deletes bigly in the first 2 weeks of November. Some of those gains have been given back but a new uptrend seems to be taking shape.</li>
</ul>


Following a methodology change in mid-November for the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index, there are 7 adds and 29 deletes for the index in December.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 6% leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 3.15bn (US$435m).
The adds outperformed the deletes bigly in the first 2 weeks of November. Some of those gains have been given back but a new uptrend seems to be taking shape.


CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance: Methodology Change Leads to 7 Adds, 29 Deletes

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The June 2024 index review results for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices were announced after market close on Friday 31st May 2024.</li>
<li>There will be 3 changes for the STAR 50 index and 9 changes for the STAR 100 index.</li>
<li>We expect one-way flows of approximately US$750mn and US$314mn for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 index rebal events in June 2024.</li>
</ul>


The June 2024 index review results for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices were announced after market close on Friday 31st May 2024.
There will be 3 changes for the STAR 50 index and 9 changes for the STAR 100 index.
We expect one-way flows of approximately US$750mn and US$314mn for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 index rebal events in June 2024.


Quiddity STAR 50/100 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1bn+ One-Way Flow; Some Surprises; New Trade

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 9 changes for the STAR100 Index. Implementation will take place at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-nova-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40389:1" rel="noopener">United Nova Technology (688469 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/biwin-storage-technology-co-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40391:1" rel="noopener">Biwin Storage Technology (688525 CH)</a> were not added at the March rebalance since they were consistently loss-making. But they have been added this time.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-nova-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40389:1" rel="noopener">United Nova Technology (688469 CH)</a> had been trading poorly and then the stock dropped further after non-inclusion in March. That could change now with inclusion confirmed.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 9 changes for the STAR100 Index. Implementation will take place at the close on 14 June.

United Nova Technology (688469 CH) and Biwin Storage Technology (688525 CH) were not added at the March rebalance since they were consistently loss-making. But they have been added this time.

United Nova Technology (688469 CH) had been trading poorly and then the stock dropped further after non-inclusion in March. That could change now with inclusion confirmed.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Flip-Flops on Profitability

<ul>
<li>CSI announced the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 29 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 13 December.</li>
<li>There are 3 changes for the index, and we estimate one-way turnover of 1.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 570m (US$79m).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexchip-semiconductor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40390:1" rel="noopener">Nexchip Semiconductor (688249 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-nova-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40389:1" rel="noopener">United Nova Technology (688469 CH)</a> are adds to other indices as well and the impact on the stocks will be a lot higher.</li>
</ul>


CSI announced the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 29 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 13 December.
There are 3 changes for the index, and we estimate one-way turnover of 1.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 570m (US$79m).

Nexchip Semiconductor (688249 CH) and United Nova Technology (688469 CH) are adds to other indices as well and the impact on the stocks will be a lot higher.


CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Index Inclusions for the Adds

<ul>
<li>There could be three changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index at the close of trading on 13 December.</li>
<li>Based on the assets tracking the index, passive trackers will need to trade between 0.1-0.3x ADV in the stocks.</li>
<li>There will be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-in" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31062:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) (688981 CH)</a> to cap the stock at 10% of the index weight.</li>
</ul>


There could be three changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index at the close of trading on 13 December.
Based on the assets tracking the index, passive trackers will need to trade between 0.1-0.3x ADV in the stocks.
There will be selling in Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) (688981 CH) to cap the stock at 10% of the index weight.


CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in December

China

United Nova Technology Co.,Ltd. offers semiconductor foundry services. The Company provides wafer foundry, packaging and testing, development, and other services. United Nova Technology applies its products in energy, automotive, consumer electronics, internet of things, household appliances, and other industries.

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United Nova Technology (688469 CH)

Quiddity STAR 50/100 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1bn+ One-Way Flow; Some Surprises; New Trade

There are 9 inflow names and 10 outflow names in the June 2024 STAR 50/100 index rebal event. The inflow names could outperform the outflow names...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Flip-Flops on Profitability

There are 3 changes for the STAR50 index and 9 for the STAR100. Some stocks will have same way flows from other index trackers. United Nova Tech is...

Brian Freitas

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Index Inclusions for the Adds

There are 3 changes for the index in December. Couple of the adds have multiple index inclusions and more potential inclusions to come over the...

Brian Freitas

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in December

There could be 3 changes in Dec with passives needing to trade 0.-0.3x ADV in the stocks. SMIC will be capped at 10% of the index weight. Some...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance: Methodology Change Leads to 7 Adds, 29 Deletes

There are 7 adds, 29 deletes in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 6% leading to a round-trip trade of US$435m. There are same way flows from other...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity STAR 50/100 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1bn+ One-Way Flow; Some Surprises; New Trade

There are 9 inflow names and 10 outflow names in the June 2024 STAR 50/100 index rebal event. The inflow names could outperform the outflow names...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Flip-Flops on Profitability

There are 3 changes for the STAR50 index and 9 for the STAR100. Some stocks will have same way flows from other index trackers. United Nova Tech is...

Brian Freitas

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Index Inclusions for the Adds

There are 3 changes for the index in December. Couple of the adds have multiple index inclusions and more potential inclusions to come over the...

Brian Freitas

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in December

There could be 3 changes in Dec with passives needing to trade 0.-0.3x ADV in the stocks. SMIC will be capped at 10% of the index weight. Some...

Brian Freitas