Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium dropped to 8.8% but still historically high. The company has said it will send more Taiwan staff to get its U.S. production up and running.</li>
<li>ASE's ADR premium is high even for this usually-high premium range. ASE ADRs may be slightly behind the curve of the local shares' recent decline, hence the spread opened up.</li>
<li>Chunghwa Telecom is at a relatively high ADR premium for this tightly trading range.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's ADR premium dropped to 8.8% but still historically high. The company has said it will send more Taiwan staff to get its U.S. production up and running.
ASE's ADR premium is high even for this usually-high premium range. ASE ADRs may be slightly behind the curve of the local shares' recent decline, hence the spread opened up.
Chunghwa Telecom is at a relatively high ADR premium for this tightly trading range.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Drops But Still 8.8%; ASE Premium High & Looks Stretched

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Mediatek, Walsin Lihwa, Acer, Ycy, Quanta Computer, China Airlines.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Mediatek, Walsin Lihwa, Acer, Ycy, Quanta Computer, China Airlines.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 23rd): Mediatek, Walsin Lihwa, Acer, YCY, Quanta Computer

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Chip revenues have been up for two months in a row.  Could this be the start of a trend?</li>
<li>Commodity prices indicate that the "Collapse" phase of a price downturn has ended, and that prices will now follow costs</li>
<li>DRAM and NAND makers should remain unprofitable until mid 2024, although their revenues can begin to steadily rise.  Other chip makers will do better.</li>
</ul>


Chip revenues have been up for two months in a row.  Could this be the start of a trend?
Commodity prices indicate that the "Collapse" phase of a price downturn has ended, and that prices will now follow costs
DRAM and NAND makers should remain unprofitable until mid 2024, although their revenues can begin to steadily rise.  Other chip makers will do better.


<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Inventec, Quanta Computer, Walsin Lihwa, Asia Vital, Sanyang Motor, Winbond Elec, Synnex Tech Intl.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Inventec, Quanta Computer, Walsin Lihwa, Asia Vital, Sanyang Motor, Winbond Elec, Synnex Tech Intl.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 16th): Inventec, Quanta Computer, Walsin Lihwa, Asia Vital

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai shares have broken out to near-term highs after news flow regarding its investment agreement in Lordstown Motors.</li>
<li>PC makers Acer &amp; Asustek's share prices remain subdued since Nvidia results despite AI's potential to accelerate the PC upgrade cycle.</li>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium went even higher just today; Also, Realtek is suing Mediatek in the U.S., adding to our Long/Short watchlists.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai shares have broken out to near-term highs after news flow regarding its investment agreement in Lordstown Motors.
PC makers Acer &amp; Asustek's share prices remain subdued since Nvidia results despite AI's potential to accelerate the PC upgrade cycle.
TSMC's ADR premium went even higher just today; Also, Realtek is suing Mediatek in the U.S., adding to our Long/Short watchlists.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Breaking Out of Range; Acer/Asustek Subdued Despite PC Upgrade Potential

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Drops But Still 8.8%; ASE Premium High & Looks Stretched

ASE's ADR premium is high even for this usually-high premium range. ASE ADRs may be slightly behind the curve of the local shares' recent decline,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 23rd): Mediatek, Walsin Lihwa, Acer, YCY, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Mediatek, Walsin Lihwa, Acer, Ycy, Quanta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Encouraging Signs in Recent Semi Stats

The chip market is giving signs of a recovery which will see rising revenues but should remain unprofitable for commodity players until mid-2024. ...

Jim Handy

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 16th): Inventec, Quanta Computer, Walsin Lihwa, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Inventec, Quanta Computer, Walsin Lihwa, Asia...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Breaking Out of Range; Acer/Asustek Subdued Despite PC Upgrade Potential

TSMC's ADR premium went even higher just today; Also, Realtek is suing Mediatek in the U.S., adding to our Long/Short watchlists.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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