Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Today, the U.S. Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona have signed a non-binding preliminary memorandum of terms for US$6.6 billion in direct funding under the CHIPS and Science Act.</li>
<li>We estimate the impact of the earthquake on April 3rd should result in a loss of within 0.5% in 2Q24F, which means it should not affect our 2Q24F revenue expectations.</li>
<li>TSMC's 1st Japan Fab is expected to commence pilot production in February, and the 2nd Fab is projected to begin production of N6/N7 in 2027F.</li>
</ul>


Today, the U.S. Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona have signed a non-binding preliminary memorandum of terms for US$6.6 billion in direct funding under the CHIPS and Science Act.
We estimate the impact of the earthquake on April 3rd should result in a loss of within 0.5% in 2Q24F, which means it should not affect our 2Q24F revenue expectations.
TSMC's 1st Japan Fab is expected to commence pilot production in February, and the 2nd Fab is projected to begin production of N6/N7 in 2027F.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,983.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD232mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On Tech, Alchip Tech, Hon Hai, Asia Vital, Quanta Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,983.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD232mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On Tech, Alchip Tech, Hon Hai, Asia Vital, Quanta Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 5th): TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +16.2%, Bounced Back to Historically Extreme Level, Consider Short</li>
<li>UMC: -0.3% Discount, Flipped to Positive and Now Negative Again</li>
<li>ASE: +15.3% Premium; Bounced Back to Extreme Highs, Short the Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +16.2%, Bounced Back to Historically Extreme Level, Consider Short
UMC: -0.3% Discount, Flipped to Positive and Now Negative Again
ASE: +15.3% Premium; Bounced Back to Extreme Highs, Short the Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Spreads Bounce Back to Historically Extreme Highs

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD76.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron Tech, Hon Hai, Global Unichip, Asia Vital.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD76.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron Tech, Hon Hai, Global Unichip, Asia Vital.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,994.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,801mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek Semi, Lite-On Tech, Mediatek, Umc, Chicony Elec, Inventec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,994.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,801mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek Semi, Lite-On Tech, Mediatek, Umc, Chicony Elec, Inventec.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 29th): Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek Semi, Lite-On

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab.

US Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona sign $6.6 billion deal; earthquake impact minimal on TSMC revenue; TSMC's 1st Japan Fab to start...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 5th): TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Spreads Bounce Back to Historically Extreme Highs

ADR spreads for TSMC and ASE have bounced back to historically high levels, opening potential shorting opportunities. CHT bounced back from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 29th): Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek Semi, Lite-On

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab.

​US Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona sign $6.6 billion deal; earthquake impact minimal on TSMC revenue; TSMC's 1st Japan Fab to start...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 5th): TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Spreads Bounce Back to Historically Extreme Highs

ADR spreads for TSMC and ASE have bounced back to historically high levels, opening potential shorting opportunities. CHT bounced back from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 29th): Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek Semi, Lite-On

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hon Hai, Wistron, Wiwynn, Alchip Tech, Realtek...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

US Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona sign $6.6 billion deal; earthquake impact minimal on TSMC revenue; TSMC's 1st Japan Fab to start...