Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.</li>
<li>Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.
Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.
Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 30th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Quanta computer, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Largan Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 30th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Quanta computer, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Largan Precision.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Evergreen Marine, Quanta, Cathay, Fubon, Largan

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Intel's CEO has clearly put NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) in the cross-hairs with his conference comments and the unveiling of new graphics chips.</li>
<li>Separate reports are that Apple is cutting back iPhone 14 production volumes, negatively impacting TSMC and the Apple supply chain.</li>
<li>Intel is now slightly outperforming TSMC &amp; UMC, however has a lot of room to catch up in our view given its large underperformance over the last six months.</li>
</ul>


Intel's CEO has clearly put NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) in the cross-hairs with his conference comments and the unveiling of new graphics chips.
Separate reports are that Apple is cutting back iPhone 14 production volumes, negatively impacting TSMC and the Apple supply chain.
Intel is now slightly outperforming TSMC &amp; UMC, however has a lot of room to catch up in our view given its large underperformance over the last six months.


Intel Vs. TSMC/​​UMC Long/​​Short Monitor: Post Conference Take Aways, Intel Performance Reverts

<ul>
<li>Taiwan ADR premiums vs. their local shares have generally rebounded across the board.</li>
<li>TSMC's premium has risen substantially but remains at the lower bound of its historical range.</li>
<li>ChipMOS &amp; UMC ADRs' previous rare discount to Taiwan shares has ended, returning to premiums.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan ADR premiums vs. their local shares have generally rebounded across the board.
TSMC's premium has risen substantially but remains at the lower bound of its historical range.
ChipMOS &amp; UMC ADRs' previous rare discount to Taiwan shares has ended, returning to premiums.


Taiwan Dual-Listings - TSMC Premium Rebounds While UMC, ChipMOS Discounts Disappear

<ul>
<li>Micron's outlook for next quarter's margin will be key, provides good color on future margin for key Taiwan names</li>
<li>Intel conference could be catalyst for Intel Long/Short, CEO will be giving a keynote on company's new direction</li>
<li>AMD meeting many Taiwan-listed companies, Hon Hai EV platform closes new deal in Indonesia</li>
</ul>


Micron's outlook for next quarter's margin will be key, provides good color on future margin for key Taiwan names
Intel conference could be catalyst for Intel Long/Short, CEO will be giving a keynote on company's new direction
AMD meeting many Taiwan-listed companies, Hon Hai EV platform closes new deal in Indonesia


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Forecasts This Week, Intel Conference, AMD CEO to Visit Taiwan Suppliers

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

AU Optronics stock suspended, Intel's Mobileye IPO is back, Samsung takes share from TSMC, Taiwan wafer exports are at an all-time high.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Evergreen Marine, Quanta, Cathay, Fubon, Largan

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Quanta computer, Cathay...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Post Conference Take Aways, Intel Performance Reverts

Separate reports are that Apple is cutting back iPhone 14 production volumes, negatively impacting TSMC and the Apple supply chain.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings - TSMC Premium Rebounds While UMC, ChipMOS Discounts Disappear

Premiums have rebounded across most of the Taiwan ADRs except for Chunghwa Telecom (CHT). US vs. Taiwan domestic investors' relative sentiment...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Forecasts This Week, Intel Conference, AMD CEO to Visit Taiwan Suppliers

Micron's outlook for next quarter's margin will be key, provides good color on future margin for key Taiwan names. AMD CEO to meet with many Taiwan...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

AU Optronics stock suspended, Intel's Mobileye IPO is back, Samsung takes share from TSMC, Taiwan wafer exports are at an all-time high.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Evergreen Marine, Quanta, Cathay, Fubon, Largan

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Quanta computer, Cathay...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Intel Vs. TSMC/​​UMC Long/​​Short Monitor: Post Conference Take Aways, Intel Performance Reverts

Separate reports are that Apple is cutting back iPhone 14 production volumes, negatively impacting TSMC and the Apple supply chain.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings - TSMC Premium Rebounds While UMC, ChipMOS Discounts Disappear

Premiums have rebounded across most of the Taiwan ADRs except for Chunghwa Telecom (CHT). US vs. Taiwan domestic investors' relative sentiment...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Forecasts This Week, Intel Conference, AMD CEO to Visit Taiwan Suppliers

Micron's outlook for next quarter's margin will be key, provides good color on future margin for key Taiwan names. AMD CEO to meet with many Taiwan...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Post Conference Take Aways, Intel Performance Reverts