Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It's likely that quarterly sales will return to normal seasonality in 2024F, and the Smartphone demand has shown some signs of recovery.</li>
<li>Revenue/ GM/ OPM are declined 8.6%/ 2.7%/ 2.7% in 4Q23F, but we consider the end market might be recovery. </li>
<li>The OLED penetration rate in smartphones is 42.5% in 2023F , and it's anticipated that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a> will exceed the market in terms of OLED sales.</li>
</ul>


It's likely that quarterly sales will return to normal seasonality in 2024F, and the Smartphone demand has shown some signs of recovery.
Revenue/ GM/ OPM are declined 8.6%/ 2.7%/ 2.7% in 4Q23F, but we consider the end market might be recovery. 
The OLED penetration rate in smartphones is 42.5% in 2023F , and it's anticipated that Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) will exceed the market in terms of OLED sales.


Novatek (3034.TT): It's Likely Quarterly Sales Will Return to Normal Seasonality in 2024F.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last week global heavyweights AMD, Samsung, and Qualcomm delivered good news, including for the Memory, PC, and Smartphone industries. Taiwan company results supported their views as well.</li>
<li>Looking ahead, Novatek, Asustek, and Himax are set to release in Taiwan. Combined with NXP abroad, this will provide color on display demand, automotive, and servers/PCs.</li>
<li>A new Chinese memory chip maker just received major government investment, with an IPO of its related company planned.</li>
</ul>


Last week global heavyweights AMD, Samsung, and Qualcomm delivered good news, including for the Memory, PC, and Smartphone industries. Taiwan company results supported their views as well.
Looking ahead, Novatek, Asustek, and Himax are set to release in Taiwan. Combined with NXP abroad, this will provide color on display demand, automotive, and servers/PCs.
A new Chinese memory chip maker just received major government investment, with an IPO of its related company planned.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Positive Signs for Memory, PC, Smartphones; Key Autos & Display Color This Week

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD625.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD137mln and highlight foreign changes in Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD625.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD137mln and highlight foreign changes in Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 3rd): Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Via Tech, Wiwynn, Taiwan Cement, Wistron, Century Iron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Via Tech, Wiwynn, Taiwan Cement, Wistron, Century Iron.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 3rd): Alchip Tech, Via Tech, Wiwynn, Taiwan Cement, Wistron

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC market and a more competitive product pipeline.</li><li>3Q revenue declined 8% YoY to US$14.2bn (above high-end of guidance) and EPS increased 11% YoY to US$0.41 (vs. US$0.2 for guidance), mainly driven by CCG/DCAI strength, better operating leverage and expense discipline.</li><li>Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expected PC momentum to continue and sequential growth of datacentre and AI businesses in 4Q23E. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC market and a more competitive product pipeline.3Q revenue declined 8% YoY to US$14.2bn (above high-end of guidance) and EPS increased 11% YoY to US$0.41 (vs. US$0.2 for guidance), mainly driven by CCG/DCAI strength, better operating leverage and expense discipline.Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expected PC momentum to continue and sequential growth of datacentre and AI businesses in 4Q23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of Intel 3Q23

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

Novatek (3034.TT): It's Likely Quarterly Sales Will Return to Normal Seasonality in 2024F.

It's likely that quarterly sales will return to normal seasonality in 2024F. It is likely that quarterly sales will return to normal seasonality in...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Positive Signs for Memory, PC, Smartphones; Key Autos & Display Color This Week

Last week global heavyweights AMD, Samsung, and Qualcomm delivered good news, including for the Memory, PC, and Smartphone industries. Taiwan...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 3rd): Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlight foreign holding changes in Alchip Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Taiwan Cement.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 3rd): Alchip Tech, Via Tech, Wiwynn, Taiwan Cement, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Via Tech, Wiwynn, Taiwan Cement,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Technology – Implications of Intel 3Q23

Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC...

CMB International

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