Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP) 2H21 DPU +6.3% YoY; Weak reversions though occupancy remains steady</li><li>IREIT Global (IREIT SP) 3Q21 Business Updates – Leasing improvements reduce risk, dual currency trading and EUR distribution +ve</li><li>United Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP) 3Q21 Business Updates – Lower rental rates despite occupancy holding up</li></ul>

Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP) 2H21 DPU +6.3% YoY; Weak reversions though occupancy remains steadyIREIT Global (IREIT SP) 3Q21 Business Updates – Leasing improvements reduce risk, dual currency trading and EUR distribution +veUnited Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP) 3Q21 Business Updates – Lower rental rates despite occupancy holding up

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (11Nov21) - FLT Weak Reversions

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-hampshire-us-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28874" rel="noopener">United Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP)</a> to acquire two grocery-anchored assets in the US for US$78.3m</h3><ul><li>UHU has proposed to acquire two grocery-anchored freehold assets in Pennsylvania and Virginia, US, for US$78.3m. The acquisition is the REIT's first after its IPO in Mar20 and is also its first entry into Pennsylvania and Virginia. The purchase price comprises US$52m for Penrose Plaza in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and US$26.3m for Colonial Square Shopping Center, Colonial Heights in Richmond, Virginia. The NPI yield for the two properties are ~6.5%</li><li>Post-acquisition, UHU expects its portfolio value will grow 13.3% to US$665.4m, while its market capitalisation will increase 9.9% to US$365.2m. The enlarged portfolio's WALE will also increase to 8.1 years, with 0.9% of leases due in 2021 and less than 10% of leases due for renewal each year from 2022-25. The total acquisition cost will be financed with a combination of loans and proceeds from a private placement. The manager proposed a private placement to raise gross proceeds of no less than US$30m.</li></ul>

SingaporeUnited Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP) to acquire two grocery-anchored assets in the US for US$78.3mUHU has proposed to acquire two grocery-anchored freehold assets in Pennsylvania and Virginia, US, for US$78.3m. The acquisition is the REIT's first after its IPO in Mar20 and is also its first entry into Pennsylvania and Virginia. The purchase price comprises US$52m for Penrose Plaza in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and US$26.3m for Colonial Square Shopping Center, Colonial Heights in Richmond, Virginia. The NPI yield for the two properties are ~6.5%Post-acquisition, UHU expects its portfolio value will grow 13.3% to US$665.4m, while its market capitalisation will increase 9.9% to US$365.2m. The enlarged portfolio's WALE will also increase to 8.1 years, with 0.9% of leases due in 2021 and less than 10% of leases due for renewal each year from 2022-25. The total acquisition cost will be financed with a combination of loans and proceeds from a private placement. The manager proposed a private placement to raise gross proceeds of no less than US$30m.

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot</h3><ul><li>1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H20</li><li>1H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)</li><li>Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21</li><li>Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectively</li><li>Lodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management</li><li>1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and China</li><li>CAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.</li></ul>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H201H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectivelyLodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and ChinaCAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lhn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27234" rel="noopener">LHN Ltd (LHN SP)</a> 1H21 results boosted by dormitory management contracts; Continue to ride on co-living trend</h3><ul><li>1H21 revenue increased 24.9% YoY to S$64.5m, primarily due to higher contributions from Facilities Management Business (+225.5% YoY) and Logistics Services Business (+6.0% YoY), partially offset by lower revenue from Space Optimisation Business (-33.6% YoY)</li><li>Space Optimisation: Revenue fell 33.6% YoY to S$19.4m in 1H21, due to lower contributions from Industrial Properties (-42.7% YoY to S$8.8m) and Commercial Properties (-53.8% YoY to S$4.1m), partially offset by higher revenue from Residential Properties (+28.9% YoY to S$6.5m). Lower revenues from Industrial and Commercial Properties were mainly due to expiry of 6 master leases, negative reversions, downtime at 1557 Keppel Road due to AEI works and IFRS 16 impacts. Occupancy for Industrial Properties -0.9pp YoY to 89.0% in 1H21 (vs. 89.9% in 1H20), while occupancy for Commercial Properties -15.3pp YoY to 69.2% in 1H21 (vs. 84.5% in 1H20). Meanwhile, higher revenue from Residential Properties was boosted by new serviced residence in Cambodia (started in 1Q21) and increase in revenue at 1A Lutheran Road</li><li>Facilities Management: Revenue increased by 225.5% YoY to S$31.6m in 1H21, mainly due to the increase in facilities management services provided for short-term contracts under the dormitory business</li><li>Logistics Services: Revenue grew 6.0% YoY to S$13.5m in 1H21, mainly due to increase in transportation services provided from the trucking business</li><li>1H21 PATMI increased 366.3% YoY to S$14.8m on higher other income and share of results from associates and joint ventures. 1H21 dividend came in at S$0.75c per share (+300% YoY), translating to an annualised dividend yield of ~4.5%. LHN’s cash and bank balances came in at S$36.3m, while net gearing (excluding IFRS16 impact) stood at 0.31x</li><li>LHN is currently trading at 4.3% FY21E dividend yield and 5.30x FY21E P/E</li></ul><p>Comments: 1H21 Revenue and PATMI form 52.2% and 59.1% of our full-year FY21E forecasts, respectively. We have expected 1H21 results to be higher than 2H21E due to the frontloading of dormitory management contracts (expected to end in 3Q21). With the resurgence of Covid-19 cases in Singapore, we do not discount the probability of LHN renewing the dormitory management contracts. Nonetheless, we believe its string of expansion plans for co-living business should provide steady growth moving forward. In addition to the new serviced residence in Cambodia (commissioned since 1Q21), 1557 Keppel Road and Nan’an China should also start contributing in FY21E. Meanwhile, newly acquired 320 Balestier Road (16Dec20), as well as proposed acquisitions of 40 &amp; 42 Amber Road (to be completed by 8Jun21), 8 strata units at Fu Yuen Building (subject to completion of two underlying options), and 115 Geylang Road (to be completed by 21Jul21) should drive growth in FY22E and onwards. We are currently reviewing our recommendations.</p>

SingaporeLHN Ltd (LHN SP) 1H21 results boosted by dormitory management contracts; Continue to ride on co-living trend1H21 revenue increased 24.9% YoY to S$64.5m, primarily due to higher contributions from Facilities Management Business (+225.5% YoY) and Logistics Services Business (+6.0% YoY), partially offset by lower revenue from Space Optimisation Business (-33.6% YoY)Space Optimisation: Revenue fell 33.6% YoY to S$19.4m in 1H21, due to lower contributions from Industrial Properties (-42.7% YoY to S$8.8m) and Commercial Properties (-53.8% YoY to S$4.1m), partially offset by higher revenue from Residential Properties (+28.9% YoY to S$6.5m). Lower revenues from Industrial and Commercial Properties were mainly due to expiry of 6 master leases, negative reversions, downtime at 1557 Keppel Road due to AEI works and IFRS 16 impacts. Occupancy for Industrial Properties -0.9pp YoY to 89.0% in 1H21 (vs. 89.9% in 1H20), while occupancy for Commercial Properties -15.3pp YoY to 69.2% in 1H21 (vs. 84.5% in 1H20). Meanwhile, higher revenue from Residential Properties was boosted by new serviced residence in Cambodia (started in 1Q21) and increase in revenue at 1A Lutheran RoadFacilities Management: Revenue increased by 225.5% YoY to S$31.6m in 1H21, mainly due to the increase in facilities management services provided for short-term contracts under the dormitory businessLogistics Services: Revenue grew 6.0% YoY to S$13.5m in 1H21, mainly due to increase in transportation services provided from the trucking business1H21 PATMI increased 366.3% YoY to S$14.8m on higher other income and share of results from associates and joint ventures. 1H21 dividend came in at S$0.75c per share (+300% YoY), translating to an annualised dividend yield of ~4.5%. LHN’s cash and bank balances came in at S$36.3m, while net gearing (excluding IFRS16 impact) stood at 0.31xLHN is currently trading at 4.3% FY21E dividend yield and 5.30x FY21E P/EComments: 1H21 Revenue and PATMI form 52.2% and 59.1% of our full-year FY21E forecasts, respectively. We have expected 1H21 results to be higher than 2H21E due to the frontloading of dormitory management contracts (expected to end in 3Q21). With the resurgence of Covid-19 cases in Singapore, we do not discount the probability of LHN renewing the dormitory management contracts. Nonetheless, we believe its string of expansion plans for co-living business should provide steady growth moving forward. In addition to the new serviced residence in Cambodia (commissioned since 1Q21), 1557 Keppel Road and Nan’an China should also start contributing in FY21E. Meanwhile, newly acquired 320 Balestier Road (16Dec20), as well as proposed acquisitions of 40 &amp; 42 Amber Road (to be completed by 8Jun21), 8 strata units at Fu Yuen Building (subject to completion of two underlying options), and 115 Geylang Road (to be completed by 21Jul21) should drive growth in FY22E and onwards. We are currently reviewing our recommendations.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14May21) - LHN Robust 1H21, Boosted by Mgmt Contracts

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<p>2020 marked our second full year of operations as an Independent Research Company, and our fifth year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM). While the year started off on a precarious note for ECM, it ended with very strong momentum. Even as IPOs have hogged the limelight in 2020, we actually ended up covering more than twice the number of placements as IPOs. </p><p>We ended 2020 with an accuracy rate of 72.7% across 88 IPOs that we covered and 70.1% across 174 placements. While our placements hit rate improved, our IPO hit rate took a dip from 2019.</p><p>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex-Korea), including China ADRs.</p>

2020 marked our second full year of operations as an Independent Research Company, and our fifth year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM). While the year started off on a precarious note for ECM, it ended with very strong momentum. Even as IPOs have hogged the limelight in 2020, we actually ended up covering more than twice the number of placements as IPOs. We ended 2020 with an accuracy rate of 72.7% across 88 IPOs that we covered and 70.1% across 174 placements. While our placements hit rate improved, our IPO hit rate took a dip from 2019.For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex-Korea), including China ADRs.

Aequitas 2020 IPOs and Placements Performance - IPOs in the Limelight but Placements Stole the Show

Singapore

United Hampshire US REIT operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company owns and operates shopping, storage, grocery, and necessity-based retail properties.

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United Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (11Nov21) - FLT Weak Reversions

FLT weak reversions; IREIT leasing improvements; UHU lower rental rates; Daiwa House Logistics new IPO listing; Cairnhill 16 launching soon; MEG...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (6Oct21)

UHU expands with US$78m acquisitions; Retail sales fell in Aug21, F&B remains a drag; Chuan Park condo enbloc for S$938m; MY resi rental demand...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

CAPL residential and FM bright spots; UOL turnaround story intact; SASSR sustained recovery momentum; CERT strong reversions, VLL muted land...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14May21) - LHN Robust 1H21, Boosted by Mgmt Contracts

LHN robust 1H21, boosted by mgmt contracts; UHU riding on US consumer recovery; IREIT attractive 12% EUR yield; RLC eyes REIT listing by 2H21; MEG...

SCCM Asia Research

Aequitas 2020 IPOs and Placements Performance - IPOs in the Limelight but Placements Stole the Show

2020 marked our second year of operations as an Independent Research Company, and our fifth year covering ECM. In 2020 we had an accuracy rate of...

Sumeet Singh

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