Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for October 2016 was announced on the evening of December 9, 2016. As against the consensus expectation of 1% yoy growth, the IIP contracted by 1.9%. While the continuous collapse of capital goods production has been consistently highlighted by the analysts and media, the significance of the poor performance of the higher weightage consumer non-durable (staples) has been largely ignored. While capital goods tends to be glamourous as it is directly…

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for October 2016 was announced on the evening of December 9, 2016. As against the consensus expectation of 1% yoy growth, the IIP contracted by 1.9%. While the continuous collapse of capital goods production has been consistently highlighted by the analysts and media, the significance of the poor performance of the higher weightage consumer non-durable (staples) has been largely ignored. While capital goods tends to be glamourous as it is directly…

Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and substitute the notes with new INR500 and INR2000 notes. The move has been applauded by international observers who have for years condemned India's blind eye towards its 'black economy'. However, in India, the demonetization exercise has gained little popularity as the logistical challenges in replacing the ineffectual cash is significantly disrupting…

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and substitute the notes with new INR500 and INR2000 notes. The move has been applauded by international observers who have for years condemned India's blind eye towards its 'black economy'. However, in India, the demonetization exercise has gained little popularity as the logistical challenges in replacing the ineffectual cash is significantly disrupting…

Negative Impact of India's Demonetization Not to Be Underestimated

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 6.1% y-o-y in July 2016 compared to a 5.8% y-o-y rise in June 2016– the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a sharp rise in food prices, especially vegetables and pulses. Inflation has moved up since reaching a low of 4.9% y-o-y in March 2016 and has averaged 5.9% over the 3-month period ended July 2016.Meanwhile, at 6.1%, India’s CPI inflation lies beyond the RBI’s target band of 2-6%, this after two years of…

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 6.1% y-o-y in July 2016 compared to a 5.8% y-o-y rise in June 2016– the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a sharp rise in food prices, especially vegetables and pulses. Inflation has moved up since reaching a low of 4.9% y-o-y in March 2016 and has averaged 5.9% over the 3-month period ended July 2016.Meanwhile, at 6.1%, India’s CPI inflation lies beyond the RBI’s target band of 2-6%, this after two years of…

INDIA: Reserve Bank of India's Inflation Targeting Regime Fails to Curb Inflation

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

The Indian government has cleared a key step in the implementation of Goods &amp; Services tax (GST) as it ensured acceptance of GST bill by Upper House of Parliament today. The Bill had been stalled in Upper House for over a year due to which the GST implementation got considerably delayed. GST reform is definitely a landmark legislation in Indian tax reform process that started with liberalisation in 1991 and is expected to benefit the economy (expected positive impact between 1-1.5% of GDP over…

The Indian government has cleared a key step in the implementation of Goods &amp; Services tax (GST) as it ensured acceptance of GST bill by Upper House of Parliament today. The Bill had been stalled in Upper House for over a year due to which the GST implementation got considerably delayed. GST reform is definitely a landmark legislation in Indian tax reform process that started with liberalisation in 1991 and is expected to benefit the economy (expected positive impact between 1-1.5% of GDP over…

Landmark GST Legislation (India): Upper House Finally Approves; Next Steps & Impact (Inflationary??)

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 5.8% in June 2016, similar to the rise recorded in May 2016 – the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a significant rise in food prices, especially vegetables.Food prices increased 7.8% y-o-y in June 2016 compared to a 7.5% y-o-y rise in May 2016. The percentage point contribution of food &amp; beverages inflation to overall inflation increased from 3.4% in May 2016 to 3.5% in June 2016. This was largely due to a…

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 5.8% in June 2016, similar to the rise recorded in May 2016 – the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a significant rise in food prices, especially vegetables.Food prices increased 7.8% y-o-y in June 2016 compared to a 7.5% y-o-y rise in May 2016. The percentage point contribution of food &amp; beverages inflation to overall inflation increased from 3.4% in May 2016 to 3.5% in June 2016. This was largely due to a…

INDIA: CPI Inflation at 22 Month High – Rate Cut Unlikely

India

Radico Khaitan Ltd. produces and distributes branded liquor.   The Company operates molasses and grain distilleries and produces whiskey, rum, brandy, and vodka.  Radico also produces country liquor and extra neutral alcohol.

United Spirits Ltd. manufactures and distributes alcoholic beverages. The Company provides a variety of alcohols and spirits, including whiskey, brandy, and rum. United Spirits also manufactures indian-made foreign liquor brands. United Spirits serves customers worldwide.

Tilaknagar Industries Limited manufactures a wide range of liquors. The Company's products include brandy, gin, whiskey, and vodka.

SOM Distilleries & Breweries Limited distills spirits and brews beer. The Company produces whiskey, vodka, gin, brandy, rum, and a variety of beers.

Globus Spirits Limited manufactures, markets, and sells industrial alcohol comprising rectified spirit and extra-neutral alcohol, country liquor, and Indian made foreign liquor.

G.M. Breweries Ltd. manufactures and distributes whisky, brandy, rum, gin, vodka, native liquors, and potable country liquors.

Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd operates distilleries and breweries.

Ruchi Soya Industries Limited manufactures soybean oil, vanaspati vegetable fat, texturized soya protein, soya flour and other soya products.  The Group has also developed Palm stearin and Palm olein cooking oils.

Jagatjit Industries Ltd. manufactures a variety of alcoholic beverages, including malt whiskey, gin and vodka.  The Company's products are marketed under the "Binnie Scot," "Aristocrat" and "Black Velvet" brand names.  Jagatjit Industries also produces and sells the "Milkfood" brand of frozen desserts, milk products and ghee in addition to glass bottles and containers.

Hatsun Agro Products Limited manufactures skimmed milk powder, skimmed milk powd er blends, instant skimmed milk powder, whole milk powder, and full cream milk p owder.

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Southbank, Victoria, Australia. The Company's line of business includes vineyard operations and international marketing and distribution of wine.

National Beverage Corp. is a holding company for subsidiaries that market, manufacture, and distribute a full line of beverage products.  The Company's products include multi-flavored and cola soft drinks, juice and juice products, flavored carbonated and spring water products, and specialty items.

Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Malt Sanayii AS is the holding company of the Efes Beverage Group. The group produces and markets beer, malt and Coca-Cola products across a geography that consists of Turkey, Russia, the CIS, countries Southeast Europe and the Middle East. Anadolu Efes is also an operating entity under which the Turkish brewing business is managed.

Coca-Cola Icecek AS bottles and distributes carbonated soft drinks and noncarbonated beverages.

Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells liquor products. The Company operates in China.

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. produces and markets distilled spirits and wine.

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. (Femsa) bottles beverages. The Company bottles and distributes branded beverages in parts of North, Central and South America. In some countries Femsa also markets water, beer, and other products.

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co., Ltd. operates in the brewery industry.  The Company's products include beer, spring water, beer raw materials, feeds, yeast, and other related products.

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co, Ltd. (000729 CH)

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited produces and distributes beer products.  The Company markets its products throughout China and around the world under the Tsingtao Beer brand name.

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited produces a wide range of branded beer and spirits in Thailand.

United Breweries Limited manufactures alcoholic beverages. The Company produces beer, as well as offers malt liquor and other beverages. United Breweries serves customers worldwide.

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United Breweries (UBBL IN)

Bleak Future for Consumer Staples

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for October 2016 was announced on the evening of December 9, 2016. As against the consensus expectation of...

Hemindra Hazari

Negative Impact of India's Demonetization Not to Be Underestimated

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and...

Manu Bhaskaran

INDIA: Reserve Bank of India's Inflation Targeting Regime Fails to Curb Inflation

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 6.1% y-o-y in July 2016 compared to a 5.8% y-o-y rise in June 2016– the highest rate since August...

Rajan Govil

Landmark GST Legislation (India): Upper House Finally Approves; Next Steps & Impact (Inflationary??)

The Indian government has cleared a key step in the implementation of Goods & Services tax (GST) as it ensured acceptance of GST bill by Upper...

Asia Advisors

INDIA: CPI Inflation at 22 Month High – Rate Cut Unlikely

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 5.8% in June 2016, similar to the rise recorded in May 2016 – the highest rate since August 2014....

Rajan Govil

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