Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

Budweiser Brewing  APAC  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a>'s  performance could improve from 2H2024, driven by a likely recovery in China's premium beer market and favourable commodity prices.</li>
<li>Stock's upside potential from current price levels seem to outweigh downside risk.</li>
<li>With a high dividend payout and strong free cash flow generation, Budweiser trades at a 5% dividend yield and an 11% FCF yield.</li>
</ul>



Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)'s  performance could improve from 2H2024, driven by a likely recovery in China's premium beer market and favourable commodity prices.
Stock's upside potential from current price levels seem to outweigh downside risk.
With a high dividend payout and strong free cash flow generation, Budweiser trades at a 5% dividend yield and an 11% FCF yield.


Budweiser APAC (1876 HK): Weak 2Q2024. Premium Beer, Cheap Valuations

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SEBI has overhauled F&amp;O eligibility criteria, introducing stricter norms for stock inclusion and exclusion for more active stocks. </li>
<li>As per calculation, New criteria will include 80 stocks and exclude 18 to 23, impacting market liquidity and stability.</li>
<li>This will lead to the creation of a more robust, transparent, and liquid for the F&amp;O Market.</li>
</ul>


SEBI has overhauled F&amp;O eligibility criteria, introducing stricter norms for stock inclusion and exclusion for more active stocks. 
As per calculation, New criteria will include 80 stocks and exclude 18 to 23, impacting market liquidity and stability.
This will lead to the creation of a more robust, transparent, and liquid for the F&amp;O Market.


SEBI's F&O Criteria Revision & Its Impact

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>In an attempt to cover more companies, we shift gears from individual companies to sectoral analysis, focusing on alcoholic beverages in this insight.</li>
<li>Companies in focus are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-spirits-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5146:1" rel="noopener">United Spirits (UNSP IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/radico-khaitan-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20842:1" rel="noopener">Radico Khaitan (RDCK IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sula-vineyards-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36206:1" rel="noopener">Sula Vineyards (SULA IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-breweries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18080:1" rel="noopener">United Breweries (UBBL IN)</a>. </li>
<li>UNSP remains the best among the pack in terms of earnings quality, and SULA occupies the other extreme. RDCK is chasing growth, and UBBL is facing challenges. </li>
</ul>


In an attempt to cover more companies, we shift gears from individual companies to sectoral analysis, focusing on alcoholic beverages in this insight.
Companies in focus are United Spirits (UNSP IN), Radico Khaitan (RDCK IN) , Sula Vineyards (SULA IN) &amp; United Breweries (UBBL IN). 
UNSP remains the best among the pack in terms of earnings quality, and SULA occupies the other extreme. RDCK is chasing growth, and UBBL is facing challenges. 


Narrative and Numbers | Alcoholic Beverages | FY24

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Allied Blenders & Distillers / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allied-blenders-distillers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36090:1" rel="noopener">Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we talked about various aspects of the company. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates and our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.
ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.
In our previous notes, we talked about various aspects of the company. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates and our thoughts on valuation.


Allied Blenders and Distillers - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allied-blenders-distillers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36090:1" rel="noopener">Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.  </li>
<li>ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide a summary of its refiling updates, undertake a quick peer comparison and share our initial thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.  
ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.
In this note, we provide a summary of its refiling updates, undertake a quick peer comparison and share our initial thoughts on valuation.


Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Initial Thoughts on Valuation

India

United Breweries Limited manufactures alcoholic beverages. The Company produces beer, as well as offers malt liquor and other beverages. United Breweries serves customers worldwide.

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United Breweries (UBBL IN)

Budweiser APAC (1876 HK): Weak 2Q2024. Premium Beer, Cheap Valuations

Worst could be past - expect a likely recovery in China premium beer market in 2H2024 and ongoing commodity tail winds to uplift company's...

Devi Subhakesan

SEBI's F&O Criteria Revision & Its Impact

SEBI introduces stricter F&O eligibility criteria, impacting market liquidity and stability by including 80 stocks and excluding 18 to 23. #SEBI...

Nimish Maheshwari

Narrative and Numbers | Alcoholic Beverages | FY24

United Spirits leads in earnings quality while Sula Vineyards lags behind, Radico Khaitan pursues growth, and United Breweries encounters challenges.

Pranav Bhavsar

Allied Blenders and Distillers - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Allied Blenders & Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates...

Ethan Aw

Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Allied Blenders & Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we share our initial thoughts...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Budweiser APAC (1876 HK): Weak 2Q2024. Premium Beer, Cheap Valuations

Worst could be past - expect a likely recovery in China premium beer market in 2H2024 and ongoing commodity tail winds to uplift company's...

Devi Subhakesan

SEBI's F&O Criteria Revision & Its Impact

​SEBI introduces stricter F&O eligibility criteria, impacting market liquidity and stability by including 80 stocks and excluding 18 to 23. #SEBI...

Nimish Maheshwari

Narrative and Numbers | Alcoholic Beverages | FY24

United Spirits leads in earnings quality while Sula Vineyards lags behind, Radico Khaitan pursues growth, and United Breweries encounters challenges.

Pranav Bhavsar

Allied Blenders and Distillers - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Allied Blenders & Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates...

Ethan Aw

Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Allied Blenders & Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we share our initial thoughts...

Ethan Aw

SEBI introduces stricter F&O eligibility criteria, impacting market liquidity and stability by including 80 stocks and excluding 18 to 23. #SEBI...