Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

The INR is near all time lows. We are doubtful that people are aware that HDFC Bank has been the most aggressive bank in the country at increasing its foreign lending. This is not only at odds with the perception of the bank’s marginal lending focus, but it can result in meaningful new NPLs. This is especially the case where USD borrowings are used for INR investing.  It is also almost certainly the case that nearly all of this foreign lending is not consumer lending, which is purportedly what…

The INR is near all time lows. We are doubtful that people are aware that HDFC Bank has been the most aggressive bank in the country at increasing its foreign lending. This is not only at odds with the perception of the bank’s marginal lending focus, but it can result in meaningful new NPLs. This is especially the case where USD borrowings are used for INR investing.  It is also almost certainly the case that nearly all of this foreign lending is not consumer lending, which is purportedly what…

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The global banking system is constructed around the accrual of interest. Credit cards, loans, and other financial products rely on interest rates and lending as one of their central features. In the Islamic world, however, where the very concept of interest is forbidden under Sharia – Islamic law – consumers looking to reconcile their banking needs with their faith are increasingly turning toward Islamic banking systems.

The global banking system is constructed around the accrual of interest. Credit cards, loans, and other financial products rely on interest rates and lending as one of their central features. In the Islamic world, however, where the very concept of interest is forbidden under Sharia – Islamic law – consumers looking to reconcile their banking needs with their faith are increasingly turning toward Islamic banking systems.

Consumer Finance in an Interest-Free World – An Overview of Islamic Banking

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for Uber across cities, learnt during one of his early India visits. He was exhorting Indians to be hustlers during a guest lecture to aspiring tech entrepreneurs.  And India definitely seems to have lived up to its reputation of Jugaad/Hustlers once again after demonetization, as more than half of the outstanding High-Value notes (Rs8trn out of Rs15.3trn)…

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for Uber across cities, learnt during one of his early India visits. He was exhorting Indians to be hustlers during a guest lecture to aspiring tech entrepreneurs.  And India definitely seems to have lived up to its reputation of Jugaad/Hustlers once again after demonetization, as more than half of the outstanding High-Value notes (Rs8trn out of Rs15.3trn)…

'Indian Hustle' Undermines Govt Efforts to Curb Black Money: Demonetization May Be A Costly Mistake!

Managing Partner, Ampersand Investment Advisors

Rahul Singh

Managing Partner

Ampersand Investment Advisors

We have been incessantly cautioning for a corrective phase in our stock markets mainly due to excessive valuations based of unrealistic growth expectations. While we expected a correction, it came from completely unexpected quarters. The beneficiaries from the favorable macro tidings (monsoons, pay commission) in what was supposed to be a very strong 2HFY17 have suffered a setback post-demonetization. This prompts us to re-evaluate our sector and market cap preferences in this edition of the Ampersand newsletter.

We have been incessantly cautioning for a corrective phase in our stock markets mainly due to excessive valuations based of unrealistic growth expectations. While we expected a correction, it came from completely unexpected quarters. The beneficiaries from the favorable macro tidings (monsoons, pay commission) in what was supposed to be a very strong 2HFY17 have suffered a setback post-demonetization. This prompts us to re-evaluate our sector and market cap preferences in this edition of the Ampersand newsletter.

Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and substitute the notes with new INR500 and INR2000 notes. The move has been applauded by international observers who have for years condemned India's blind eye towards its 'black economy'. However, in India, the demonetization exercise has gained little popularity as the logistical challenges in replacing the ineffectual cash is significantly disrupting…

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and substitute the notes with new INR500 and INR2000 notes. The move has been applauded by international observers who have for years condemned India's blind eye towards its 'black economy'. However, in India, the demonetization exercise has gained little popularity as the logistical challenges in replacing the ineffectual cash is significantly disrupting…

Negative Impact of India's Demonetization Not to Be Underestimated

India

Union Bank of India Limited provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Company's activities include retail banking, commercial and personal banking, investment management, treasury and NRI services, cash management and assorted ATM facilities. Union Bank has an online tele-banking facility for all its core banking customers.

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Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN)

Peeling the Layers at HDFC Bank

The INR is near all time lows. We are doubtful that people are aware that HDFC Bank has been the most aggressive bank in the country at increasing...

Daniel Tabbush

Consumer Finance in an Interest-Free World – An Overview of Islamic Banking

The global banking system is constructed around the accrual of interest. Credit cards, loans, and other financial products rely on interest rates...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

'Indian Hustle' Undermines Govt Efforts to Curb Black Money: Demonetization May Be A Costly Mistake!

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for...

Asia Advisors

Negative Impact of India's Demonetization Not to Be Underestimated

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and...

Manu Bhaskaran

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Peeling the Layers at HDFC Bank

The INR is near all time lows. We are doubtful that people are aware that HDFC Bank has been the most aggressive bank in the country at increasing...

Daniel Tabbush

Consumer Finance in an Interest-Free World – An Overview of Islamic Banking

The global banking system is constructed around the accrual of interest. Credit cards, loans, and other financial products rely on interest rates...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

'Indian Hustle' Undermines Govt Efforts to Curb Black Money: Demonetization May Be A Costly Mistake!

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for...

Asia Advisors

Taking Fresh Guard - Nov 16 Newsletter

We have been incessantly cautioning for a corrective phase in our stock markets mainly due to excessive valuations based of unrealistic growth...

Ampersand Investment Advisors

Negative Impact of India's Demonetization Not to Be Underestimated

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and...

Manu Bhaskaran