Global Macro Strategy

Callum Henderson

Macroeconomics

* Concerns over China, the US and oil have driven this year's market slump, not the Fed* Yellen's Fed is likely to enact the most 'measured' tightening cycle in the history of the Federal Reserve* The offset to extremely measured Fed rate hikes will be the gradual end and reversal of the dollar rally* USD weakness on the back of growth competition will be a positive for high-beta assets, including EM* The focus within EM will be on alpha rather than beta and more specifically on relative value* Overweight ASEAN currencies vs. Underweight NEA currencies (ex-JPY) continues to generate alpha

* Concerns over China, the US and oil have driven this year's market slump, not the Fed* Yellen's Fed is likely to enact the most 'measured' tightening cycle in the history of the Federal Reserve* The offset to extremely measured Fed rate hikes will be the gradual end and reversal of the dollar rally* USD weakness on the back of growth competition will be a positive for high-beta assets, including EM* The focus within EM will be on alpha rather than beta and more specifically on relative value* Overweight ASEAN currencies vs. Underweight NEA currencies (ex-JPY) continues to generate alpha

Asia Calling: Measure for Measure - Why Fed Tightening Is Great News for High-Beta Assets

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Despite China's risks and macroeconomic issues, we believe even small rates of growth will yield significant opportunities for luxury firms.China's size, economic growth potential, and ultimate expansion of the high-end consumer market can substantially alter the outlook for many brands.With Chinese consumers already responsible for 30% of global luxury goods purchases, the continued growth of wealthy and upper-middle-class consumers appears to offer great potential, but also a high basis of comparison.We believe the market will experience solid growth, driven by the vast number of consumers entering the middle class. With this trend, we believe Chinese consumers will behave more like their Western counterparts, with more frequent lifestyle purchases of aspirational luxuries on a per household basis and fewer purchases of status symbol goods that were often a store of wealth.We see brands such as Ralph Lauren, Tiffany, Burberry, and Swatch as the most likely beneficiaries.Analyst: Paul Swinland

Despite China's risks and macroeconomic issues, we believe even small rates of growth will yield significant opportunities for luxury firms.China's size, economic growth potential, and ultimate expansion of the high-end consumer market can substantially alter the outlook for many brands.With Chinese consumers already responsible for 30% of global luxury goods purchases, the continued growth of wealthy and upper-middle-class consumers appears to offer great potential, but also a high basis of comparison.We believe the market will experience solid growth, driven by the vast number of consumers entering the middle class. With this trend, we believe Chinese consumers will behave more like their Western counterparts, with more frequent lifestyle purchases of aspirational luxuries on a per household basis and fewer purchases of status symbol goods that were often a store of wealth.We see brands such as Ralph Lauren, Tiffany, Burberry, and Swatch as the most likely beneficiaries.Analyst: Paul Swinland

China's Luxury Market Shifting From Status to Consumption As China's Middle Class Expands

United States

Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates a chain of beauty stores. The Company offers cosmetics, fragrance, skin, and hair care products, as well as salon services. Ulta Beauty serves customers throughout the United States.

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Ulta Beauty (ULTA US)

Asia Calling: Measure for Measure - Why Fed Tightening Is Great News for High-Beta Assets

* Concerns over China, the US and oil have driven this year's market slump, not the Fed* Yellen's Fed is likely to enact the most 'measured'...

Callum Henderson

China's Luxury Market Shifting From Status to Consumption As China's Middle Class Expands

Despite China's risks and macroeconomic issues, we believe even small rates of growth will yield significant opportunities for luxury firms.China's...

Morningstar, Inc.

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52-week Range

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