Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 04/Oct, US crude inventories rose by 5.8m barrels, exceeding expectations of a 2m barrel build. However, gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose by 82 Bcf for the week ending 04/Oct, higher than analyst expectations of a 73 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Chevron and Shell experienced target price upgrades, while Schlumberger and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, BNP Paribas downgraded Exxon to Underperform from Neutral.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 04/Oct, US crude inventories rose by 5.8m barrels, exceeding expectations of a 2m barrel build. However, gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.
US natural gas inventories rose by 82 Bcf for the week ending 04/Oct, higher than analyst expectations of a 73 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Chevron and Shell experienced target price upgrades, while Schlumberger and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, BNP Paribas downgraded Exxon to Underperform from Neutral.


[ETP 2024/41] WTI Rises Amid Supply Disruption Fears; Nat-Gas Demand Wanes Due to Hurricane Milton

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Schlumberger’s Q3 2024 revenue is projected to increase by 12% YoY and EPS by 15.4%, driven by international growth, digital sales, and cost-efficiency programs.</li>
<li>Management expects 2024 EBITDA margin to reach or exceed 25%, driven by stronger H2 performance led by seasonally higher year-end digital and product sales.</li>
<li>Schlumberger announced a milestone in sustainable lithium production and secured significant contracts through its carbon capture and OneSubsea joint ventures.</li>
</ul>


Schlumberger’s Q3 2024 revenue is projected to increase by 12% YoY and EPS by 15.4%, driven by international growth, digital sales, and cost-efficiency programs.
Management expects 2024 EBITDA margin to reach or exceed 25%, driven by stronger H2 performance led by seasonally higher year-end digital and product sales.
Schlumberger announced a milestone in sustainable lithium production and secured significant contracts through its carbon capture and OneSubsea joint ventures.


[Earnings Preview] Schlumberger Set for Q3 Growth on Global Demand and Seasonal Boost

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 13/Sep, US crude inventories dropped by 1.6m barrels, surpassing the expected 0.2m barrel decline. Gasoline stockpiles grew less than forecasted, while distillate inventories rose more.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rise 58 Bcf for the week ending 13/Sep, more than analyst expectations of a 53 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 8.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, and Exxon Mobil see target price cuts. DBS Bank initiated a Buy rating on Schlumberger and Halliburton.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 13/Sep, US crude inventories dropped by 1.6m barrels, surpassing the expected 0.2m barrel decline. Gasoline stockpiles grew less than forecasted, while distillate inventories rose more.
US natural gas inventories rise 58 Bcf for the week ending 13/Sep, more than analyst expectations of a 53 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 8.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, and Exxon Mobil see target price cuts. DBS Bank initiated a Buy rating on Schlumberger and Halliburton.


[ETP 2024/38] Oil Rises on Fed Rate Cut and Geopolitics; Nat-Gas Gains on Warmer Forecasts

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 16/Aug, US crude inventories dropped by 4.6 mb, exceeding the expected 2 mb drawdown. Gasoline and distillate stocks also declined, surpassing analyst expectations.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rise 35 bcf for the week ending 16/Aug, exceeding analyst expectations of a 26 bcf buildup. Inventories are 12.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>UBS cut its target prices on Halliburton and Schlumberger but raised it for ExxonMobil and Occidental. Jefferies lowered its target price on Chevron.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 16/Aug, US crude inventories dropped by 4.6 mb, exceeding the expected 2 mb drawdown. Gasoline and distillate stocks also declined, surpassing analyst expectations.
US natural gas inventories rise 35 bcf for the week ending 16/Aug, exceeding analyst expectations of a 26 bcf buildup. Inventories are 12.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
UBS cut its target prices on Halliburton and Schlumberger but raised it for ExxonMobil and Occidental. Jefferies lowered its target price on Chevron.


[ETP 2024/34] Oil Slips on Weak Economic Indicators in US & China; Nat Gas Battles Oversupply

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 09/Aug, US crude inventories increased by 1.4 mb for the first time in seven weeks, contrary to analyst expectations of a 1.9 mb drawdown.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 6 Bcf, its first decline since 04/Apr. However, storage levels are up 6.8% YoY and 13% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Wells Fargo, UBS, and BMO Capital reduced their target prices on Occidental. BMO Capital lowered its targets on Chevron and Halliburton but raised its target on Exxon Mobil.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 09/Aug, US crude inventories increased by 1.4 mb for the first time in seven weeks, contrary to analyst expectations of a 1.9 mb drawdown.
US natural gas inventories fell by 6 Bcf, its first decline since 04/Apr. However, storage levels are up 6.8% YoY and 13% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Wells Fargo, UBS, and BMO Capital reduced their target prices on Occidental. BMO Capital lowered its targets on Chevron and Halliburton but raised its target on Exxon Mobil.


[ETP 2024/33] Oil Lost Gains to Demand Concerns and Unexpected Build in US Inventories

Switzerland

UBS Group AG provides financial services to private, corporate and institutional clients. The Company offers investment banking, retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, as well as holistic wealth management planning and asset management services. UBS also offers securities services such as fund administration and third-party fund management.

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UBS Group AG (UBSG VX)

[ETP 2024/41] WTI Rises Amid Supply Disruption Fears; Nat-Gas Demand Wanes Due to Hurricane Milton

WTI prices rise as supply concerns outweigh demand worries and larger-than-expected build in US crude inventories. US nat-gas inventories also...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] Schlumberger Set for Q3 Growth on Global Demand and Seasonal Boost

SLB's international operations are set to drive Q3 growth, offsetting North American weakness. Key advancements in carbon capture and lithium...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/38] Oil Rises on Fed Rate Cut and Geopolitics; Nat-Gas Gains on Warmer Forecasts

Oil prices are rising as demand prospects improve. Natural gas prices recovered due to warmer weather forecasts. TotalEnergies received a target...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/34] Oil Slips on Weak Economic Indicators in US & China; Nat Gas Battles Oversupply

Despite US crude stock plunging 4.6mb, prices fell on weak economic data from the US & China. The EU reached its 90% gas storage goal early. UBS...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/33] Oil Lost Gains to Demand Concerns and Unexpected Build in US Inventories

US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, while natural gas inventories fell for the first time since April. Major brokerages lowered target prices...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[ETP 2024/41] WTI Rises Amid Supply Disruption Fears; Nat-Gas Demand Wanes Due to Hurricane Milton

​WTI prices rise as supply concerns outweigh demand worries and larger-than-expected build in US crude inventories. US nat-gas inventories also...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] Schlumberger Set for Q3 Growth on Global Demand and Seasonal Boost

SLB's international operations are set to drive Q3 growth, offsetting North American weakness. Key advancements in carbon capture and lithium...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/38] Oil Rises on Fed Rate Cut and Geopolitics; Nat-Gas Gains on Warmer Forecasts

Oil prices are rising as demand prospects improve. Natural gas prices recovered due to warmer weather forecasts. TotalEnergies received a target...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/34] Oil Slips on Weak Economic Indicators in US & China; Nat Gas Battles Oversupply

Despite US crude stock plunging 4.6mb, prices fell on weak economic data from the US & China. The EU reached its 90% gas storage goal early. UBS...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/33] Oil Lost Gains to Demand Concerns and Unexpected Build in US Inventories

​US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, while natural gas inventories fell for the first time since April. Major brokerages lowered target prices...

Mint Finance

WTI prices rise as supply concerns outweigh demand worries and larger-than-expected build in US crude inventories. US nat-gas inventories also...

US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, while natural gas inventories fell for the first time since April. Major brokerages lowered target prices...