Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dechra-pharmaceuticals-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21908:1" rel="noopener">Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/network-international-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28918:1" rel="noopener">Network International Holdings (NETW LN)</a> are currently involved in takeover situations. When those deals close, intra-review changes can be triggered.</li>
<li>Including these changes, there could be up to one F100 change and seven F250 changes between now and the end of the year.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.

Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN) and Network International Holdings (NETW LN) are currently involved in takeover situations. When those deals close, intra-review changes can be triggered.
Including these changes, there could be up to one F100 change and seven F250 changes between now and the end of the year.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: ~7 Changes Possible; LONG Playtech SHORT 888 Interesting

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be a couple of intra-review changes in the next 2-3 months but the intra-review replacement names could depend on the timing of these changes.</li>
<li>Separately, I see one regular ADD and DELETE for F250 in December 2023 but many names are close to the border and index change expectations could change if prices fluctuate.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.
There could be a couple of intra-review changes in the next 2-3 months but the intra-review replacement names could depend on the timing of these changes.
Separately, I see one regular ADD and DELETE for F250 in December 2023 but many names are close to the border and index change expectations could change if prices fluctuate.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).</li><li>The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.</li><li>The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).</li></ul>

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Securing additional loan to prepare for drilling – ADX is issuing A$1.5 mm of loan notes with a term of 18 months.</li>
<li>A$1.0 mm of the loan notes carry an interest rate of 8% per annum with 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.01 per share and 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.014 per share.</li>
<li>Chariot (CHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Adding portfolio depth and near term newsflow – Chariot has raised US$16.1 mm of new equity priced at £0.14 per share.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Securing additional loan to prepare for drilling – ADX is issuing A$1.5 mm of loan notes with a term of 18 months.
A$1.0 mm of the loan notes carry an interest rate of 8% per annum with 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.01 per share and 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.014 per share.
Chariot (CHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Adding portfolio depth and near term newsflow – Chariot has raised US$16.1 mm of new equity priced at £0.14 per share.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final predictions for index changes for the  F100 and F250 indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The index changes are likely to be confirmed after market close today.</li>
<li>We expect one change for the F100 index and six changes for the F250 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final predictions for index changes for the  F100 and F250 indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.
The index changes are likely to be confirmed after market close today.
We expect one change for the F100 index and six changes for the F250 index.


Quiddity Final Thoughts for F100/​250 June 23: Multiple High-Impact Changes Likely

United Kingdom

Tullow Oil plc explores for and produces oil and gas. The Group's assets are in Africa, Europe, South America and Asia.

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Tullow Oil PLC (TLW LN)

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: ~7 Changes Possible; LONG Playtech SHORT 888 Interesting

The top 7 F250 Potential ADDs currently have ~10 days of volume to buy and up to a couple of these names could be added on an intra-review basis...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Tullow Oil, Kier Group, and AO world are currently the top 3 F250 potential ADDs. Alfa Financial, ASOS, and XP power are next in line. There could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Auctus on Friday - 15/09/2023

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 14/07/2023

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Securing additional loan to prepare for drilling – ADX is issuing A$1.5 mm of loan notes...

Auctus Advisors

Quiddity Final Thoughts for F100/250 June 23: Multiple High-Impact Changes Likely

The F100 and F250 data cutoff has passed. The announcement of changes should come today after the London close. We see multiple high-impact...

Travis Lundy

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Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: ~7 Changes Possible; LONG Playtech SHORT 888 Interesting

The top 7 F250 Potential ADDs currently have ~10 days of volume to buy and up to a couple of these names could be added on an intra-review basis...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Tullow Oil, Kier Group, and AO world are currently the top 3 F250 potential ADDs. Alfa Financial, ASOS, and XP power are next in line. There could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Auctus on Friday - 15/09/2023

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 14/07/2023

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Securing additional loan to prepare for drilling – ADX is issuing A$1.5 mm of loan notes...

Auctus Advisors

Quiddity Final Thoughts for F100/​250 June 23: Multiple High-Impact Changes Likely

The F100 and F250 data cutoff has passed. The announcement of changes should come today after the London close. We see multiple high-impact...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: ~7 Changes Possible; LONG Playtech SHORT 888 Interesting

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Quiddity Final Thoughts for F100/250 June 23: Multiple High-Impact Changes Likely