Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We spoke with multiple channels covering 3Ws, 2Ws, and 4Ws to understand the current dynamics of the Electric Vehicle (EV) scene in India.</li>
<li>Adoption of E-3 and E-4 Wheelers is hindered by high prices, range issues, inadequate charging infrastructure, and platform stability concerns.</li>
<li>E-2 Wheelers show resilience with stable sales led by aggressive pricing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We spoke with multiple channels covering 3Ws, 2Ws, and 4Ws to understand the current dynamics of the Electric Vehicle (EV) scene in India.
Adoption of E-3 and E-4 Wheelers is hindered by high prices, range issues, inadequate charging infrastructure, and platform stability concerns.
E-2 Wheelers show resilience with stable sales led by aggressive pricing from Ola Electric (1700674D IN). 


India Channel Insight | What Is the EV Scene in India?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Premier Energies Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/premier-energies-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42190:1" rel="noopener">Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN)</a> is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. It is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, and solar modules. </li>
<li>It also executes engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects and provides follow-up operation and maintenance (O&amp;M) services. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. It is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, and solar modules. 
It also executes engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects and provides follow-up operation and maintenance (O&amp;M) services. 
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Premier Energies Pre-IPO - Still Ramping up but Already Profitable

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a>'s deletion from Sensex is imminent but there are question marks over the top replacement names as this involves some subjectivity.  </li>
<li>For BSE 100, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)</a> is a new potential ADD and that has caused major changes to the index change expectations I had previously.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the June 2024 index rebal event.

Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)'s deletion from Sensex is imminent but there are question marks over the top replacement names as this involves some subjectivity.  
For BSE 100, Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) is a new potential ADD and that has caused major changes to the index change expectations I had previously.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 24: Jio Financial Addition Creates New Possibilities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.</li>
<li>For this postcard, we travel to the magnificent and iconic city of Agra. </li>
<li>We were pleasantly surprised by the rapid pace of electrification among three-wheelers, which is the topic of this postcard.</li>
</ul>


With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.
For this postcard, we travel to the magnificent and iconic city of Agra. 
We were pleasantly surprised by the rapid pace of electrification among three-wheelers, which is the topic of this postcard.


Postcard from Agra | India's 3W EV Adaptation On the Ground

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> too.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the NIFTY Index and Nifty Next 50 Index too.
The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

India

MRF Limited manufactures and distributes tyres and tubes for automobiles, aircrafts, motorcycles and cycles. The Company also manufactures conveyor belts, paint and coats, and hoses. Every MRF tyre designed is the result of a special acid test on the race and rally tracks.

Bosch Limited manufactures a wide range of automotive parts. The Company'products includes fuel injection pumps, spark plugs, including nozzles and nozzle holders, elements, delivery valves, filters and filter inserts, glow plugs, starter motors, alternators and wipers. Bosch also manufactures hydraulics and pneumatic equipment and electric power tools and fixtures.

Bharat Forge Limited manufactures steel forgings and machined components for the automotive, diesel engine, railway, earthmoving, cement, sugar, steel, coal, ship building and oilfield industries. The Company specializes in Closed Die as well as Open Die Forgings.

Balkrishna Industries Ltd. manufactures automobile tires and tubes. The Company also manufactures different varieties of paper & paper boards and processes synthetic textiles.

UNO Minda Limited designs, develops, and manufactures sales diverse auto components. The Company offers alternate fuel and air filtration systems, canisters, brake and fuel hoses, noise suppressor caps, alloy wheels, seat belts, air brakes, air ducts and washer bottle, and body sealing products. UNO Minda serves customers worldwide.

Exide Industries Ltd. manufactures a wide range of lead and electric storage batteries. The Company's batteries for automobiles, railways, aircrafts, power stations, telephone exchanges, and other uses.

Apollo Tyres Limited manufactures tires and tubes for cars, trucks, farm equipment and light commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures automobile flaps and retreading materials.

Sundram Fasteners Limited manufactures a wide range of nuts, bolts and related fastener equipment.  Products include high-tensile fasteners and equipment for the automotive industry, such as cold extruded parts, radiator caps and gear shifters.  The Company also manufactures water pumps and fuel pumps.

Samvardhana Motherson International Limited manufactures and distributes automotive parts. The Company offers products such as HVAC systems, air intake manifolds, highway vehicle cabins, air compressors, and pedal box assembly. Samvardhana Motherson International markets its products worldwide.

Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited manufactures automotive parts.  The Company produces electronic braking, stability, and suspension and transmission control systems for heavy-duty commercial trucks, trailers and buses.

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited (WIL IN)

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited

NGK SPARK PLUG Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets spark plugs for automobiles, motorcycles, agricultural machinery, ships, and aircrafts.  The Company also makes ceramic products for semiconductor and telecommunication equipment. NGK Spark Plug markets its products under the NGK and NTK brand names and has subsidiaries in the US, Canada, France, Germany, and South Korea.

Sailun Group Co.,Ltd. manufactures and sells rubber tire products. The Company produces commercial car tires, truck tires, special tires, and other products. Sailun Group also produces mechanical equipment, molds, chemicals, and other products.

Modine Manufacturing Company manufactures heat-transfer and heat-storage technology products.  The Company develops, manufactures, and markets heat exchangers and systems for use in various original equipment manufacturer applications and for sale to the automotive aftermarket and to a wide array of building markets.

China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power Co., Ltd. designs, produces, and markets power systems including electricity, gas, steam, chemical, diesel, civil-nuclear, and stirling engines.

China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power (600482 CH)

Huayu Automotive Systems Company Limited manufactures and sells auto parts. The Company's main products include interior and exterior auto parts, functional assembly autoparts and thermo processed auto parts etc.

Gentex Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets products that use electro-optic technology.  The Company's product lines include automatic-dimming rearview mirrors and fire protection products.  Gentex's Night Vision Safety Mirror automatically darkens to the degree required to eliminate rearview headlight glare.  The Company sells its products around the world.

Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. manufactures electric wires, cables, and their related equipment.  The Company's products include optical fibers, wire harnesses, antennas for broadcasting stations, and electric monitoring systems.  Sumitomo Electric also produces disc brakes and antilock braking systems for automobiles and printed circuit board.

Aisin Corporation manufactures and distributes motor vehicle parts. The Company produces drive train, transmissions, clutches, disc brakes, anti-skid brake system, suspensions, oil pumps, power windows, power door locks, and more. Aisin operates sales and production subsidiaries worldwide.

Lear Corporation manufactures automobile parts.  The Company produces seating systems; wiring harnesses; terminals; connectors; junction boxes; body control electronics; wireless products; and audio systems.

BorgWarner, Inc. supplies engineered systems and components, primarily for automotive powertrain applications. The Company's products are manufactured and sold worldwide, primarily to original equipment manufacturers of passenger cars, sport utility vehicles, and light trucks. BorgWarner operates manufacturing facilities in North America, Europe, and Asia.

Tube Investments of India Limited manufactures fabricated metal products. The Company specializes in cycles, steel tubes, strips, chains, and metal formed items. Tube Investments of India serves customers in India.

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Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA IN)

India Channel Insight | What Is the EV Scene in India?

Current dynamics of Electric Vehicles in India show hindrances in adoption of 3 and 4 wheelers due to various challenges, while E-2 wheelers led...

Pranav Bhavsar

Premier Energies Pre-IPO - Still Ramping up but Already Profitable

Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. It is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV)...

Ethan Aw

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 24: Jio Financial Addition Creates New Possibilities

Wipro will be replaced by Adani Ports & S.E.Zone in the SENSEX index as expected. There will be five changes for BSE 100 which are consistent with...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Postcard from Agra | India's 3W EV Adaptation On the Ground

Exploring the rapid electrification of three-wheelers in Agra, providing on-ground insights from tier 2 and tier 3 locations.

Pranav Bhavsar

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

We see 41 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India Channel Insight | What Is the EV Scene in India?

​Current dynamics of Electric Vehicles in India show hindrances in adoption of 3 and 4 wheelers due to various challenges, while E-2 wheelers led...

Pranav Bhavsar

Premier Energies Pre-IPO - Still Ramping up but Already Profitable

Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. It is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV)...

Ethan Aw

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 24: Jio Financial Addition Creates New Possibilities

Wipro will be replaced by Adani Ports & S.E.Zone in the SENSEX index as expected. There will be five changes for BSE 100 which are consistent with...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Postcard from Agra | India's 3W EV Adaptation On the Ground

​Exploring the rapid electrification of three-wheelers in Agra, providing on-ground insights from tier 2 and tier 3 locations.

Pranav Bhavsar

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

We see 41 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Current dynamics of Electric Vehicles in India show hindrances in adoption of 3 and 4 wheelers due to various challenges, while E-2 wheelers led...

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 24: Jio Financial Addition Creates New Possibilities

Exploring the rapid electrification of three-wheelers in Agra, providing on-ground insights from tier 2 and tier 3 locations.