Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Outbound daily traffic during the long holiday down -15% vs 2019, and short of expectations</li>
<li>Total domestic trips up 4% vs 2019, but average daily trips -9% &amp; average daily spending -4%</li>
<li>Ten months in, the pace of China's 2023 tourism recovery remains disappointingly sluggish</li>
</ul>


Outbound daily traffic during the long holiday down -15% vs 2019, and short of expectations
Total domestic trips up 4% vs 2019, but average daily trips -9% &amp; average daily spending -4%
Ten months in, the pace of China's 2023 tourism recovery remains disappointingly sluggish


Quick Take on 'Golden Week' Headline Tourism Traffic: Limited Improvement, & Shy of Expectations

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>TSLA/JD：JD.com will launch Tesla car ordering service ( + )</li>
<li>JD：JD.com launches "Enjoy now, pay later" service, with high barriers and limited impact (/)</li>
<li>ATAT/TCOM: Highway traffic during national holiday will reach historicalhigh（ +）</li>
</ul>


TSLA/JD：JD.com will launch Tesla car ordering service ( + )
JD：JD.com launches "Enjoy now, pay later" service, with high barriers and limited impact (/)
ATAT/TCOM: Highway traffic during national holiday will reach historicalhigh（ +）


China TMT Update(Oct.8)-TSLA/JD/ATAT/TCOM/3690.HK-JD.com Launches "Enjoy Now, Pay Later" Service

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>During the last two weeks both discounts have widened by more than 1 percentage point, likely driven by risk-off sentiment as opposed to idiosyncratic factors. </li>
<li>Management have released the NAV update for Q2 of FY24. Naspers' NAV can be found <a href="https://www.naspers.com/investors/investing-in-naspers/net-asset-value" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and Prosus' NAV <a href="https://www.prosus.com/investors/investing-in-prosus/net-asset-value" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</li>
<li>During the quarter, Prosus' discount widened by 4.2 percentage points to 39.8% and Naspers' discount widened by 3.6 percentage points to 46.6%, erasing cross-holding unwind gains.</li>
</ul>


During the last two weeks both discounts have widened by more than 1 percentage point, likely driven by risk-off sentiment as opposed to idiosyncratic factors. 
Management have released the NAV update for Q2 of FY24. Naspers' NAV can be found here and Prosus' NAV here.
During the quarter, Prosus' discount widened by 4.2 percentage points to 39.8% and Naspers' discount widened by 3.6 percentage points to 46.6%, erasing cross-holding unwind gains.


Naspers & Prosus: Risk off Trade Puts Pressure on Discounts, NAV Update for Q2 FY24 Released

<ul>
<li>August outbound travel activity surged against easy 2022 comps, but offered no surprises</li>
<li>The pace of outbound capacity rebuild slowed in August -- what do airlines see ahead?</li>
<li>Is there really "pent-up" tourism demand among Chinese consumers? We don't think so</li>
</ul>


August outbound travel activity surged against easy 2022 comps, but offered no surprises
The pace of outbound capacity rebuild slowed in August -- what do airlines see ahead?
Is there really "pent-up" tourism demand among Chinese consumers? We don't think so


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | 'Pent-Up' Travel Demand -- Does China Have Any? | (September 2023)

<ul>
<li>NTES US/HK 700: NetEase Reveals More Information About Future Game Pipeline at Tokyo Game Show (+)/(-)</li>
<li>3690.HK/TCOM: Meituan publishes early consumption data for the upcoming “Golden Week” Holiday (+)</li>
<li>Futu Holdings : Futu Japan launched U.S. stock trading service</li>
</ul>


NTES US/HK 700: NetEase Reveals More Information About Future Game Pipeline at Tokyo Game Show (+)/(-)
3690.HK/TCOM: Meituan publishes early consumption data for the upcoming “Golden Week” Holiday (+)
Futu Holdings : Futu Japan launched U.S. stock trading service


China TMT Update-NTES/HK700/3690.HK/FUTU- NetEase Pipeline In Tokyo Game Show/Golden Week/Futu Japan

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

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Trip.com (TCOM US)

Quick Take on 'Golden Week' Headline Tourism Traffic: Limited Improvement, & Shy of Expectations

Preliminary tourism activity data from the long Golden Week holiday period appear to show a frustratingly sluggish recovery in Chinese travel demand.

Tracking Traffic

China TMT Update(Oct.8)-TSLA/JD/ATAT/TCOM/3690.HK-JD.com Launches "Enjoy Now, Pay Later" Service

JD.com will launch Tesla car ordering service; JD.com launches "Enjoy now, pay later" service, with high barriers and limited impact; Highway...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Naspers & Prosus: Risk off Trade Puts Pressure on Discounts, NAV Update for Q2 FY24 Released

Naspers & Prosus: discounts widen during last two weeks driven by risk-off sentiment plus Q2 FY24 NAV update released. Fresh opportunity for those...

DMA

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | 'Pent-Up' Travel Demand -- Does China Have Any? | (September 2023)

What is "pent-up" demand, and nine months into a recovery in travel activity, does China still have any? We review outbound activity, domestic...

Tracking Traffic

China TMT Update-NTES/HK700/3690.HK/FUTU- NetEase Pipeline In Tokyo Game Show/Golden Week/Futu Japan

NetEase Reveals More Information About Future Game Pipeline at Tokyo Game Show; Meituan publishes data for the “Golden Week” Holiday;Futu Holdings...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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