Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 23/Aug, US crude inventories fell by 846k barrels, while analysts expected a 2.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped more than expected, while distillate inventories unexpectedly rose.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rise 35 bcf for the week ending 23/Aug, exceeding analyst expectations of a 33 bcf buildup. Inventories are 12.1% above the 5-year seasonal average</li>
<li>Exxon expects global crude oil demand to remain around 100m bpd through 2050. Brokerages lowered target prices on Occidental and Halliburton.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 23/Aug, US crude inventories fell by 846k barrels, while analysts expected a 2.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped more than expected, while distillate inventories unexpectedly rose.
US natural gas inventories rise 35 bcf for the week ending 23/Aug, exceeding analyst expectations of a 33 bcf buildup. Inventories are 12.1% above the 5-year seasonal average
Exxon expects global crude oil demand to remain around 100m bpd through 2050. Brokerages lowered target prices on Occidental and Halliburton.


[ETP 2024/35] Crude Oil Slips Amid Demand Concerns; Nat-Gas Under Pressure from Oversupply

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 16/Aug, US crude inventories dropped by 4.6 mb, exceeding the expected 2 mb drawdown. Gasoline and distillate stocks also declined, surpassing analyst expectations.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rise 35 bcf for the week ending 16/Aug, exceeding analyst expectations of a 26 bcf buildup. Inventories are 12.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>UBS cut its target prices on Halliburton and Schlumberger but raised it for ExxonMobil and Occidental. Jefferies lowered its target price on Chevron.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 16/Aug, US crude inventories dropped by 4.6 mb, exceeding the expected 2 mb drawdown. Gasoline and distillate stocks also declined, surpassing analyst expectations.
US natural gas inventories rise 35 bcf for the week ending 16/Aug, exceeding analyst expectations of a 26 bcf buildup. Inventories are 12.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
UBS cut its target prices on Halliburton and Schlumberger but raised it for ExxonMobil and Occidental. Jefferies lowered its target price on Chevron.


[ETP 2024/34] Oil Slips on Weak Economic Indicators in US & China; Nat Gas Battles Oversupply

<ul>
<li>The milder drop in crude oil prices was reflected in energy stocks on Monday, with most major oil and gas companies, outperforming the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>Most of the oil companies’ volume PCR was elevated on Monday and Friday, with Haliburton’s volume PCR exceptionally high at 3.66 on Monday (5/Aug).</li>
<li>On 5/Aug, all major energy companies saw a rise in implied volatility due to recession fears, except Shell, whose IV dropped slightly to 20.01% from 20.28% on Friday.</li>
</ul>


The milder drop in crude oil prices was reflected in energy stocks on Monday, with most major oil and gas companies, outperforming the S&amp;P 500.
Most of the oil companies’ volume PCR was elevated on Monday and Friday, with Haliburton’s volume PCR exceptionally high at 3.66 on Monday (5/Aug).
On 5/Aug, all major energy companies saw a rise in implied volatility due to recession fears, except Shell, whose IV dropped slightly to 20.01% from 20.28% on Friday.


Oil & Gas Giants Hit by Recession-Driven Sell-Off but Outperform the S&P 500

<ul>
<li>US crude inventories fell for the fifth consecutive week by 3.4 mb, exceeding the 1.6 mb decline expected by analysts. Gasoline stocks also decreased by 3.7 mb.</li>
<li>As of the week ending 26/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 15.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>European oil majors beat Q2 profit estimates. BP’s Q2 underlying net profit beat estimates by 7.7%. Shell’s Q2 EPS beat estimates by 5.1%. </li>
</ul>


US crude inventories fell for the fifth consecutive week by 3.4 mb, exceeding the 1.6 mb decline expected by analysts. Gasoline stocks also decreased by 3.7 mb.
As of the week ending 26/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 15.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.
European oil majors beat Q2 profit estimates. BP’s Q2 underlying net profit beat estimates by 7.7%. Shell’s Q2 EPS beat estimates by 5.1%. 


[ETP 31/2024] Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions; BP and Shell Beat Earnings Expectations

<ul>
<li>US crude inventories fell for the fourth straight week, with a 3.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped by 5.6 mb, the largest decline since March.</li>
<li>As of 19/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.4% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>TotalEnergies’ Q2 revenue fell 5.2% YoY, missing estimates by 7.3%. EPS dropped 7.5% YoY and missed estimates by 7.2%.</li>
</ul>


US crude inventories fell for the fourth straight week, with a 3.7 mb drawdown. Gasoline stocks dropped by 5.6 mb, the largest decline since March.
As of 19/Jul, US natural gas inventories were up 8.4% YoY and 16.4% above the 5-year seasonal average.
TotalEnergies’ Q2 revenue fell 5.2% YoY, missing estimates by 7.3%. EPS dropped 7.5% YoY and missed estimates by 7.2%.


[ETP 30/2024] Oil Reels Under Macroeconomic Headwinds; Nat-Gas Sheds Gains to Oversupply Concerns

France

TotalEnergies SE operates as an energy company. The Company produces, transports, and supplies crude oil, natural gas, and low carbon electricity, as well as refines petrochemical products. TotalEnergies owns and manages gasoline filling stations worldwide.

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TotalEnergies (TTE US)

[ETP 2024/35] Crude Oil Slips Amid Demand Concerns; Nat-Gas Under Pressure from Oversupply

Weak U.S. crude withdrawal heightens demand concerns, while Libya and Israel-Hamas supply risks offer support. Exxon sees strong oil demand until...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/34] Oil Slips on Weak Economic Indicators in US & China; Nat Gas Battles Oversupply

Despite US crude stock plunging 4.6mb, prices fell on weak economic data from the US & China. The EU reached its 90% gas storage goal early. UBS...

Mint Finance

Oil & Gas Giants Hit by Recession-Driven Sell-Off but Outperform the S&P 500

Energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 on Monday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with elevated volume PCR and rising IV for most oil & gas...

Mint Finance

[ETP 31/2024] Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions; BP and Shell Beat Earnings Expectations

US crude inventories and gasoline stocks continue to decline, while US natural gas inventories are up YoY. European oil majors surpass Q2 profit...

Mint Finance

[ETP 30/2024] Oil Reels Under Macroeconomic Headwinds; Nat-Gas Sheds Gains to Oversupply Concerns

US crude inventories continue to decline, while gasoline stocks see largest drop since March. US natural gas inventories up YoY, TotalEnergies' Q2...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[ETP 2024/35] Crude Oil Slips Amid Demand Concerns; Nat-Gas Under Pressure from Oversupply

Weak U.S. crude withdrawal heightens demand concerns, while Libya and Israel-Hamas supply risks offer support. Exxon sees strong oil demand until...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/34] Oil Slips on Weak Economic Indicators in US & China; Nat Gas Battles Oversupply

Despite US crude stock plunging 4.6mb, prices fell on weak economic data from the US & China. The EU reached its 90% gas storage goal early. UBS...

Mint Finance

Oil & Gas Giants Hit by Recession-Driven Sell-Off but Outperform the S&P 500

​Energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 on Monday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with elevated volume PCR and rising IV for most oil & gas...

Mint Finance

[ETP 31/2024] Oil Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions; BP and Shell Beat Earnings Expectations

​US crude inventories and gasoline stocks continue to decline, while US natural gas inventories are up YoY. European oil majors surpass Q2 profit...

Mint Finance

[ETP 30/2024] Oil Reels Under Macroeconomic Headwinds; Nat-Gas Sheds Gains to Oversupply Concerns

​US crude inventories continue to decline, while gasoline stocks see largest drop since March. US natural gas inventories up YoY, TotalEnergies' Q2...

Mint Finance

Energy stocks outperformed the S&P 500 on Monday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with elevated volume PCR and rising IV for most oil & gas...

US crude inventories and gasoline stocks continue to decline, while US natural gas inventories are up YoY. European oil majors surpass Q2 profit...

US crude inventories continue to decline, while gasoline stocks see largest drop since March. US natural gas inventories up YoY, TotalEnergies' Q2...