Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This morning Institutional Shareholder Services recommended against both Toshiba’s break up plan and 3D’s alternative proposal. </li>
<li>Both proposals looked uncertain and with ISS coming out against them it now appears more likely that both will be rejected. </li>
<li>That leaves Toshiba in limbo once again and we aren’t convinced the exit will be a privatisation.</li>
</ul>


This morning Institutional Shareholder Services recommended against both Toshiba’s break up plan and 3D’s alternative proposal. 
Both proposals looked uncertain and with ISS coming out against them it now appears more likely that both will be rejected. 
That leaves Toshiba in limbo once again and we aren’t convinced the exit will be a privatisation.


Toshiba – ISS Advises Against Breakup Plan

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/international-business-machines-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1064:1" rel="noopener">International Business Machines (IBM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> are the top five AI innovators.</li>
<li>Top "non-tech" companies include medical diagnostic/surgical players like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-johnson" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1132:1" rel="noopener">Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a>, and financials like State Farm Mutual, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capital-one-financial-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:255:1" rel="noopener">Capital One Financial (COF US)</a>
</li>
<li>Since AI technology includes integrating several areas of technology, we have data-mined from multiple technological areas that we think are fundamental to AI, We have detailed these in the report.</li>
</ul>



International Business Machines (IBM US), Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US)Apple Inc (AAPL US), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US), and Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) are the top five AI innovators.
Top "non-tech" companies include medical diagnostic/surgical players like Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US), Medtronic Plc (MDT US), and financials like State Farm Mutual, and Capital One Financial (COF US)

Since AI technology includes integrating several areas of technology, we have data-mined from multiple technological areas that we think are fundamental to AI, We have detailed these in the report.


Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - A Look into Artificial Intelligence

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Major global indices have relegated Russia to the "standalone" and "unclassified" market status. Talk of significant flows into major non-Russia EM markets such as China, Taiwan, Korea, etc is misguided. </li>
<li>Even if OLX and VK Group are written down to zero, the fall in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>'s implied stub has overshot the mark</li>
<li>The founder and former chairman and CEO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16032:1" rel="noopener">Nexon (3659 JP)</a> has passed away. The estate may wish to sell Nexon shares, or its entire stake, at some point near-term.</li>
</ul>


Major global indices have relegated Russia to the "standalone" and "unclassified" market status. Talk of significant flows into major non-Russia EM markets such as China, Taiwan, Korea, etc is misguided. 
Even if OLX and VK Group are written down to zero, the fall in Prosus (PRX NA)'s implied stub has overshot the mark
The founder and former chairman and CEO of Nexon (3659 JP) has passed away. The estate may wish to sell Nexon shares, or its entire stake, at some point near-term.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Russia/Indices, Prosus, Virtus, Crown, Nexon, Hitachi Metals

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Renesas’ investor day today focused on providing more details on existing themes such as the progress of synergies from Dialog. </li>
<li>The strong overall growth outlook and progress offering integrated solutions was also emphasised. </li>
<li>However, what we found most interesting was some of their commentary on RISC-V developments.</li>
</ul>


Renesas’ investor day today focused on providing more details on existing themes such as the progress of synergies from Dialog. 
The strong overall growth outlook and progress offering integrated solutions was also emphasised. 
However, what we found most interesting was some of their commentary on RISC-V developments.


Renesas – Synergies Outperform and Some Potentially Bad News for Arm

<ul>
<li>Yesterday <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-27/toshiba-ceo-says-going-private-too-risky-as-activists-seek-sale" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg published an interview</a> with Toshiba CEO Satoshi Tsunakawa where he effectively said a privatisation was not going to happen. </li>
<li>Today, Toshiba announced that Tsunakawa and his deputy, Mamoru Hatazawa would be resigning effective immediately. </li>
<li>What an interesting coincidence… one which could make shorting Toshiba quite attractive.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday Bloomberg published an interview with Toshiba CEO Satoshi Tsunakawa where he effectively said a privatisation was not going to happen. 
Today, Toshiba announced that Tsunakawa and his deputy, Mamoru Hatazawa would be resigning effective immediately. 
What an interesting coincidence… one which could make shorting Toshiba quite attractive.


Toshiba – Privatisation Rebuttal and Then a Change in CEO…

Japan

Toshiba Corporation manufactures and markets electrical and electronic products. The Company's products include digital products such as PCs and televisions, NAND flash memories, and system LSIs (large-scale integrated), as well as social infrastructures such as power generators, medical equipment, and home appliances.

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Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)

Toshiba – ISS Advises Against Breakup Plan

This morning Institutional Shareholder Services recommended against both Toshiba’s break up plan and 3D’s alternative proposal leaving Toshiba in...

Mio Kato

Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - A Look into Artificial Intelligence

The global artificial intelligence (AI) market is forecast to grow rapidly in the coming years. In this report, we data-mine publications to rank...

Pyari Menon

Last Week in Event SPACE: Russia/Indices, Prosus, Virtus, Crown, Nexon, Hitachi Metals

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Renesas – Synergies Outperform and Some Potentially Bad News for Arm

Renesas’ investor day today focused on providing more details on existing themes such as the progress of synergies from Dialog but what we found...

Mio Kato

Toshiba – Privatisation Rebuttal and Then a Change in CEO…

After downplaying prospects for a privatisation in a Bloomberg interview, CEO Tsunakawa just resigned. That is an interesting coincidence… one...

Mio Kato

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