Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q1FY25 results of the leading Indian pharmaceutical companies showed healthy and broad-based growth of the Indian pharmaceutical market, which grew 8.7% in Q1FY25.</li>
<li>Most of the top listed players registered double-digit revenue growth from their respective India formulation segments. Focus on chronic therapies remained major growth driver.</li>
<li>The Nifty Pharma Index has outperformed the benchmark Nifty 50, rising 32% YTD. The benchmark index has gained just 13% over the same period.</li>
</ul>


Q1FY25 results of the leading Indian pharmaceutical companies showed healthy and broad-based growth of the Indian pharmaceutical market, which grew 8.7% in Q1FY25.
Most of the top listed players registered double-digit revenue growth from their respective India formulation segments. Focus on chronic therapies remained major growth driver.
The Nifty Pharma Index has outperformed the benchmark Nifty 50, rising 32% YTD. The benchmark index has gained just 13% over the same period.


Indian Pharmaceutical Market: On A Healthy Growth Path; Momentum to Continue in Rest of the Year

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Government Considers Ethanol Price Increase to Meet Blending 20% Targets</li>
<li>Torrent Pharma is seeking up to $3 billion to buy KKR’s 54% stake in JB Chemicals.</li>
<li>Cochin Shipyard will deliver a new dredger worth INR 800 crore to DCI by September 2025.</li>
</ul>


Government Considers Ethanol Price Increase to Meet Blending 20% Targets
Torrent Pharma is seeking up to $3 billion to buy KKR’s 54% stake in JB Chemicals.
Cochin Shipyard will deliver a new dredger worth INR 800 crore to DCI by September 2025.


# 46 India Insight: Ethanol Price Increase, Torrent Pharma and JB Chemicals, Cochin Shipyard Dredger

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Q1FY25, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> posted 7% YoY revenue growth to INR66.9B. Despite surging R&amp;D expenditure, EBITDA increased 26% YoY to INR17.2B, leading to 154bps margin expansion to 25.6%.</li>
<li>Record high quarterly revenue in the U.S. market, double-digit revenue growth in India branded prescription business, and continued strong momentum in South Africa drove overall performance.</li>
<li>Cipla is well-positioned for mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth through FY27. Sitting on a robust cash balance of INR90B, Cipla is eyeing on M&amp;A. Valuation still looks reasonable.</li>
</ul>


In Q1FY25, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) posted 7% YoY revenue growth to INR66.9B. Despite surging R&amp;D expenditure, EBITDA increased 26% YoY to INR17.2B, leading to 154bps margin expansion to 25.6%.
Record high quarterly revenue in the U.S. market, double-digit revenue growth in India branded prescription business, and continued strong momentum in South Africa drove overall performance.
Cipla is well-positioned for mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth through FY27. Sitting on a robust cash balance of INR90B, Cipla is eyeing on M&amp;A. Valuation still looks reasonable.


Cipla (CIPLA IN): Starts FY25 On Firm Note; EBITDA Margin Ahead of Guidance Range

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.</li>
<li>Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level</li>
</ul>


Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.
Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level


Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) earnings were below our estimates on account of elevated provisioning (2.1%, adjusted for management overlay), and NIM compression, offsetting strong AUM growth (+31% YoY)</li><li>Loan growth continued to remain robust across segments except rural B2C (asset quality challenges) and urban sales finance (regulatory embargo)</li><li>While the management had indicated an uptick in credit costs during FY25, the sharp spike has been a negative surprise, although we expect some normalisation during H2FY25</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) earnings were below our estimates on account of elevated provisioning (2.1%, adjusted for management overlay), and NIM compression, offsetting strong AUM growth (+31% YoY)Loan growth continued to remain robust across segments except rural B2C (asset quality challenges) and urban sales finance (regulatory embargo)While the management had indicated an uptick in credit costs during FY25, the sharp spike has been a negative surprise, although we expect some normalisation during H2FY25Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Torrent Pharma, ICICI Prudential Life, Supreme Industries

India

Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. manufactures bulk drugs and pharmaceutical formulations. The Company's formulations include cardio-vascular, psychotropic and anti-biotic drugs while its bulk drugs include atenolol, ciprofloxacin and norfloxacin. Torrent Pharmaceuticals has wholly owned subsidiaries in several regulated and less regulated international markets.

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Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN)

Indian Pharmaceutical Market: On A Healthy Growth Path; Momentum to Continue in Rest of the Year

Indian pharmaceutical market grew 8.7% in Q1FY25. Most of the top players reported double-digit revenue growth in domestic market. Nifty Pharma...

Tina Banerjee

# 46 India Insight: Ethanol Price Increase, Torrent Pharma and JB Chemicals, Cochin Shipyard Dredger

Government may raise ethanol prices to achieve 20% blending target; Torrent Pharma eyes $3 billion for JB Chemicals stake; Cochin Shipyard to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Starts FY25 On Firm Note; EBITDA Margin Ahead of Guidance Range

In Q1FY25, Cipla posted 7% YoY revenue growth to INR66.9B. EBITDA increased 26% YoY to INR17.2B, leading to 154bps margin expansion to 25.6%, ahead...

Tina Banerjee

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Torrent Pharma, ICICI Prudential Life, Supreme Industries

Bajaj Finance (BAF) earnings were below our estimates on account of elevated provisioning (2.1%, adjusted for management overlay), and NIM...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Indian Pharmaceutical Market: On A Healthy Growth Path; Momentum to Continue in Rest of the Year

​Indian pharmaceutical market grew 8.7% in Q1FY25. Most of the top players reported double-digit revenue growth in domestic market. Nifty Pharma...

Tina Banerjee

# 46 India Insight: Ethanol Price Increase, Torrent Pharma and JB Chemicals, Cochin Shipyard Dredger

​Government may raise ethanol prices to achieve 20% blending target; Torrent Pharma eyes $3 billion for JB Chemicals stake; Cochin Shipyard to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Cipla (CIPLA IN): Starts FY25 On Firm Note; EBITDA Margin Ahead of Guidance Range

In Q1FY25, Cipla posted 7% YoY revenue growth to INR66.9B. EBITDA increased 26% YoY to INR17.2B, leading to 154bps margin expansion to 25.6%, ahead...

Tina Banerjee

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Torrent Pharma, ICICI Prudential Life, Supreme Industries

Bajaj Finance (BAF) earnings were below our estimates on account of elevated provisioning (2.1%, adjusted for management overlay), and NIM...

HDFC Securities

Indian pharmaceutical market grew 8.7% in Q1FY25. Most of the top players reported double-digit revenue growth in domestic market. Nifty Pharma...

Government may raise ethanol prices to achieve 20% blending target; Torrent Pharma eyes $3 billion for JB Chemicals stake; Cochin Shipyard to...