Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI China ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI), we believe upside remains limited with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), S&amp;P 500, and several European indexes still below major resistance.</li>
<li>We continue to expect rangebound price action in the months ahead on the MSCI ACWI.</li>
<li>And, rangebound price action could very well be the theme for all of 2023 (with resistance at $93 and support at $75-77 on ACWI-US)</li>
</ul>


We remain neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI), we believe upside remains limited with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), S&amp;P 500, and several European indexes still below major resistance.
We continue to expect rangebound price action in the months ahead on the MSCI ACWI.
And, rangebound price action could very well be the theme for all of 2023 (with resistance at $93 and support at $75-77 on ACWI-US)


Hang Seng and MSCI China Bottoming -- Add; Europe Still Leading; Shift From U.S. To Non-U.S.

Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

<ul>
<li>Although Fujitec's corporate governance framework has improved in places, the Statutory Auditor and Nominating Committee aren’t functioning, and the Board of Directors with a majority of independent directors isn't functioning.</li>
<li>METI survey shows that 20% of independent directors are friends of CEO, a glimpse of how companies expect independent outside directors to play a role in endorsing executive management policies.</li>
<li>With several revisions of Corporate Governance Code, companies have ostensibly made steady progress in corporate governance efforts. However, whether this has been accompanied by substance varies from company to company.</li>
</ul>


Although Fujitec's corporate governance framework has improved in places, the Statutory Auditor and Nominating Committee aren’t functioning, and the Board of Directors with a majority of independent directors isn't functioning.
METI survey shows that 20% of independent directors are friends of CEO, a glimpse of how companies expect independent outside directors to play a role in endorsing executive management policies.
With several revisions of Corporate Governance Code, companies have ostensibly made steady progress in corporate governance efforts. However, whether this has been accompanied by substance varies from company to company.


Time to Move Forward to Corporate Governance 2.0, Where the Substance Will Be Questioned

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>This insight is a follow-up to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusions-who-is-ready-dec-2022" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85784" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022)</a>. </li>
<li>Our latest top pick for TOPIX Inclusion pre-events is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/artspark-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20774:1" rel="noopener">Artspark Holdings (3663 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
This insight is a follow-up to TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2022). 
Our latest top pick for TOPIX Inclusion pre-events is Artspark Holdings (3663 JP). 


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jan 2023)

<ul>
<li>Shareholder returns, including dividend policy and treasury stock retirement/buyback and growth policies improved slightly. Still, cash allocations are weak in both shareholder returns and growth, so cash is piling up.</li>
<li>The policy shareholdings is decreasing year by year, but the holdings is so large that they still account for a large % of total assets, so cash is piling up.</li>
<li>Companies with ROEs above 12% achieved even higher returns, and Tobin's Q1.2-1.4 companies (with higher valuations than average) increased slightly. Investors may have valued companies that exhibit higher returns.</li>
</ul>


Shareholder returns, including dividend policy and treasury stock retirement/buyback and growth policies improved slightly. Still, cash allocations are weak in both shareholder returns and growth, so cash is piling up.
The policy shareholdings is decreasing year by year, but the holdings is so large that they still account for a large % of total assets, so cash is piling up.
Companies with ROEs above 12% achieved even higher returns, and Tobin's Q1.2-1.4 companies (with higher valuations than average) increased slightly. Investors may have valued companies that exhibit higher returns.


How Far Has Corporate Governance Progressed in 2021? (1) ~ Key Actions Section

<ul>
<li>The revised Corporate Governance Code and the inclusion of prime market listing criteria have resulted in significant improvements in % of independent directors and in the practices of Nominating/Compensation Committee.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the chairmanship of the board of directors and the ratio of female directors, for which the Code didn't specify improvements or provide numerical target, are improving at modest pace.</li>
<li>There is the issue of whether the board/committees require independent directors to function fully independently, and the % of female directors indicates the seriousness of improving management and governance.</li>
</ul>


The revised Corporate Governance Code and the inclusion of prime market listing criteria have resulted in significant improvements in % of independent directors and in the practices of Nominating/Compensation Committee.
Meanwhile, the chairmanship of the board of directors and the ratio of female directors, for which the Code didn't specify improvements or provide numerical target, are improving at modest pace.
There is the issue of whether the board/committees require independent directors to function fully independently, and the % of female directors indicates the seriousness of improving management and governance.


How Far Has Corporate Governance Progressed in 2021? (1) ~ Board Practices Section

Japan

The TOPIX, also known as the Tokyo Stock Price Index, is a capitalization-weighted index of all companies listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The index is supplemented by the subindices of the 33 industry sectors. The index calculation excludes temporary issues and preferred stocks, and has a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1968.

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)

Hang Seng and MSCI China Bottoming -- Add; Europe Still Leading; Shift From U.S. To Non-U.S.

We remain neutral on global equities $ACWI and expect rangebound price action in the months (possibly year) ahead. Specific $ACWI trading range we...

Vermilion Research

Time to Move Forward to Corporate Governance 2.0, Where the Substance Will Be Questioned

I would like to discuss the issues on the Nikkei article, "Oasis requests extraordinary general meeting for Fujitec, proposes 7 outside directors."

Metrical Inc

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jan 2023)

Out of the 1,600+ TSE-listed names that are not part of the Prime market, around 100+ can satisfy most of the key conditions for a prime market...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

How Far Has Corporate Governance Progressed in 2021? (1) ~ Key Actions Section

This year, continuing on from last year, I would like to examine how far companies have progressed in their corporate governance efforts over the...

Metrical Inc

How Far Has Corporate Governance Progressed in 2021? (1) ~ Board Practices Section

This year, continuing on from last year, I would like to examine how far companies have progressed in their corporate governance efforts over the...

Metrical Inc