Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>2023 WFE revenues amounted to $93 billion, representing a YoY decrease of just ~1%. Most had expected a 20% YoY decline at the start of last year</li>
<li>We forecast 2024 WFE revenues to grow modestly by around 5% YoY</li>
<li>China's WFE spend in 2023 was ~1.5x Taiwan &amp; ~2x Korea</li>
</ul>


2023 WFE revenues amounted to $93 billion, representing a YoY decrease of just ~1%. Most had expected a 20% YoY decline at the start of last year
We forecast 2024 WFE revenues to grow modestly by around 5% YoY
China's WFE spend in 2023 was ~1.5x Taiwan &amp; ~2x Korea


Semiconductor WFE 2023 In Review, 2024 Outlook

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (TKYMETRO JP)</a>’s shareholders, the Japanese and Tokyo Metropolitan Governments, could look to raise up to US$2bn by selling half of their stake via an IPO.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines.</li>
<li>In this note, we take an early look at the possible listing.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (TKYMETRO JP)’s shareholders, the Japanese and Tokyo Metropolitan Governments, could look to raise up to US$2bn by selling half of their stake via an IPO.
Tokyo Metro is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines.
In this note, we take an early look at the possible listing.


Tokyo Metro IPO Early Look - Could Raise Around US$2bn While Still Recovering from COVID

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul><li>Lattice is just too expensive for what it is. It’s one of the highest multiples in the space, but I acknowledge we are closer to the trough than the peak.</li><li><p>Tokyo Electron continues to be bullish high aspect etch and reports that they are winning in DRAM and hopefully in NAND in the future.</p></li><li><p>Arista says that AI revenue is yet to come, and 800G will mostly be in 2025, not 2024. The market got ahead of itself.</p></li></ul>

Lattice is just too expensive for what it is. It’s one of the highest multiples in the space, but I acknowledge we are closer to the trough than the peak.Tokyo Electron continues to be bullish high aspect etch and reports that they are winning in DRAM and hopefully in NAND in the future.Arista says that AI revenue is yet to come, and 800G will mostly be in 2025, not 2024. The market got ahead of itself.

Earnings (LSCC, ANET, GFS, Tokyo Electron, SITM, ENTG, AMAT)

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q124 revenues of $6.71 billion, at the high end of the guided range and essentially flat sequentially both QoQ and YoY</li>
<li>Q224 revenue $6.5 billion at the midpoint, a modest downward movement of 3% QoQ and in line with what we saw from peers KLAC and LRCX</li>
<li>Still a great company with excellent growth prospects, just not in 2024</li>
</ul>


Q124 revenues of $6.71 billion, at the high end of the guided range and essentially flat sequentially both QoQ and YoY
Q224 revenue $6.5 billion at the midpoint, a modest downward movement of 3% QoQ and in line with what we saw from peers KLAC and LRCX
Still a great company with excellent growth prospects, just not in 2024


AMAT. Post Earnings Surge For No Good Reason

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei hasn’t been this high since the Berlin Wall came toppling down. The Nikkei was up over 4% on the week and stands 15% higher YTD.</li>
<li>There were plenty of reasons not to be higher. US stocks closed marginally lower; AI stocks like  SMCI crashed on Friday; </li>
<li>Japanese stocks were higher but that hides significant divergence between the winners and losers after a heavy week of earnings releases. Perhaps a pause for breath next week.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei hasn’t been this high since the Berlin Wall came toppling down. The Nikkei was up over 4% on the week and stands 15% higher YTD.
There were plenty of reasons not to be higher. US stocks closed marginally lower; AI stocks like  SMCI crashed on Friday; 
Japanese stocks were higher but that hides significant divergence between the winners and losers after a heavy week of earnings releases. Perhaps a pause for breath next week.


Japan Weekly | Rakuten, Asics, Ebara, Tokyo Electron Chalk up Big Gains

Japan

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

DISCO CORPORATION manufactures abrasive and precision industrial machinery for cutting and grinding purposes.  The Company's products are applied in the semiconductor, electronics, and construction industries to produce consumer goods such as personal computers, digital cameras, video game systems, and Digital Video Disc (DVD) players.

Renesas Electronics Corporation researches, develops, designs and manufactures electronic components such as semiconductors and integrated devices.

ADVANTEST CORPORATION produces semiconductor testing devices and electronic measuring instruments.  The Company's products include large-scale integration (LSI) test systems, memory test systems, dynamic test handlers, network analyzers, electronic meters, optical testing devices, and signal sources.

SUMCO Corporation manufactures silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry. The Company produces silicon wafers used to produce solar batteries as well as ultra-high purity quartz used to produce vessels for silicon manufacturing process. SUMCO markets its products worldwide.

ROHM COMPANY LIMITED manufactures custom linear integrated circuits and semiconductor devices for use primarily in consumer electronics.  The Company has plants and sales offices worldwide.  Rohm's subsidiaries include Wako Electric and Apollo Electronics.

SCREEN Holdings Co Ltd.  manufactures and sell semiconductors, FPD devices, commercial printing and printed circuit boards(PCB). The company also provides additional services for its products.

RORZE CORPORATION manufactures printed circuit board conveyers and wafer handlers for semiconductor manufacturing.  The Company also produces sorters and vacuum chamber robots, as well as controllers and stepping motor drivers used in various automation systems.  Rorze provides parts replacement and repair services for its products.

TOKYO SEIMITSU CO., LTD. manufactures and sells semiconductor manufacturing equipment and measuring instruments.  The Company produces wafer probing machines, wafer dicing machines, electron beam lithography systems, wafer inspection systems, and chemical mechanical planarizers (CMP) systems.

ULVAC, Inc. manufactures vacuum devices for industries such as semiconductor, electronics, chemical, pharmaceutical and food.  The Company's products include pumps, valves, gas analyzers, leak detectors, and surface profile measurement.

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Skyworks Solutions, Inc., a wireless semiconductor company, designs and manufactures radio frequency and complete semiconductor system solutions for mobile communications applications.  The Company provides front-end modules, radio frequency subsystems, and system solutions to wireless handset and infrastructure customers worldwide.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

NXP Semiconductors NV operates as a global semiconductor company. The Company designs semiconductors and software for mobile communications, consumer electronics, security applications, in-car entertainment, and networking.  NXP offers its products to the automotive, identification, wireless infrastructure, lighting, mobile, and computing applications.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)

Semiconductor WFE 2023 In Review, 2024 Outlook

2023 WFE revenues $93 billion, -1%YoY. Most had expected a 20% YoY decline. We expect 2024 WFE revenues to grow by ~5% YoY. China's WFE spend in...

William Keating

Tokyo Metro IPO Early Look - Could Raise Around US$2bn While Still Recovering from COVID

Tokyo Metro’s shareholders, the Japanese and Tokyo Metropolitan Governments, could look to raise up to US$2bn by selling half of their stake via an...

Sumeet Singh

Earnings (LSCC, ANET, GFS, Tokyo Electron, SITM, ENTG, AMAT)

Lattice is just too expensive for what it is. It’s one of the highest multiples in the space, but I acknowledge we are closer to the trough than...

Fabricated Knowledge

AMAT. Post Earnings Surge For No Good Reason

Q124 revenues of $6.71 billion, flat both QoQ and YoY. Q224 revenue $6.5 billion, in line with peers. No full year 2024 guidance. WFE has more...

William Keating

Japan Weekly | Rakuten, Asics, Ebara, Tokyo Electron Chalk up Big Gains

Despite potential reasons for caution, the Nikkei reached a new high not seen since the fall of the Berlin Wall, with a 4% increase for the week...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Semiconductor WFE 2023 In Review, 2024 Outlook

2023 WFE revenues $93 billion, -1%YoY. Most had expected a 20% YoY decline. We expect 2024 WFE revenues to grow by ~5% YoY. China's WFE spend in...

William Keating

Tokyo Metro IPO Early Look - Could Raise Around US$2bn While Still Recovering from COVID

Tokyo Metro’s shareholders, the Japanese and Tokyo Metropolitan Governments, could look to raise up to US$2bn by selling half of their stake via an...

Sumeet Singh

Earnings (LSCC, ANET, GFS, Tokyo Electron, SITM, ENTG, AMAT)

Lattice is just too expensive for what it is. It’s one of the highest multiples in the space, but I acknowledge we are closer to the trough than...

Fabricated Knowledge

AMAT. Post Earnings Surge For No Good Reason

Q124 revenues of $6.71 billion, flat both QoQ and YoY. Q224 revenue $6.5 billion, in line with peers. No full year 2024 guidance. WFE has more...

William Keating

Japan Weekly | Rakuten, Asics, Ebara, Tokyo Electron Chalk up Big Gains

​Despite potential reasons for caution, the Nikkei reached a new high not seen since the fall of the Berlin Wall, with a 4% increase for the week...

Mark Chadwick

Despite potential reasons for caution, the Nikkei reached a new high not seen since the fall of the Berlin Wall, with a 4% increase for the week...