Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

J&T Global Express  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we examine <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a>'s operation in SE Asia, where it's the region's dominant player, with market share of 22.5% by volume </li>
<li>We profile SE Asian demand and supply and compare these to the development of China's express industry, acknowledging the key role <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> has played there</li>
<li>We also present a framework for estimating the value of J&amp;T's SE Asian operation by identifying the most appropriate comps and EV valuation multiples</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we examine J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)'s operation in SE Asia, where it's the region's dominant player, with market share of 22.5% by volume 
We profile SE Asian demand and supply and compare these to the development of China's express industry, acknowledging the key role Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) has played there
We also present a framework for estimating the value of J&amp;T's SE Asian operation by identifying the most appropriate comps and EV valuation multiples


J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 2: SE Asia Operation | Demand, Supply Profiles | Valuation Approach

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>TOWR has approved a total dividend distribution of Rp800bn for the 2024 fiscal year.</li><li>This includes an interim dividend of Rp300bn or Rp6 per share paid on January 22, 2025, and a final dividend of approximately Rp500bn, translating to Rp9.9 per share (yield: 1.8%), as ratified in its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders (AGMS). (Kontan)</li><li>Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk (TOWR) has received approval from its Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders (EGMS) to conduct a rights issue of up to 15bn new shares.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TOWR has approved a total dividend distribution of Rp800bn for the 2024 fiscal year.This includes an interim dividend of Rp300bn or Rp6 per share paid on January 22, 2025, and a final dividend of approximately Rp500bn, translating to Rp9.9 per share (yield: 1.8%), as ratified in its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders (AGMS). (Kontan)Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk (TOWR) has received approval from its Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders (EGMS) to conduct a rights issue of up to 15bn new shares.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS TMT News - Thursday, April 24, 2025

<ul><li>Revenue Rp5.36tr, +28%yoy, above cons., driven by strong growth in Data Center &amp; Cloud Infra (+42%yoy).</li><li>Gross profit Rp964bn, +11%yoy, but GPM compressed to 18% (vs 21% in FY23) due to a higher portion of hardware.</li><li>Net profit Rp530bn, +18%yoy, in line with consensus 103%, with NPM steady at 11%, due to effective cost control.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Revenue Rp5.36tr, +28%yoy, above cons., driven by strong growth in Data Center &amp; Cloud Infra (+42%yoy).Gross profit Rp964bn, +11%yoy, but GPM compressed to 18% (vs 21% in FY23) due to a higher portion of hardware.Net profit Rp530bn, +18%yoy, in line with consensus 103%, with NPM steady at 11%, due to effective cost control.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The ironically named warung-tech segment in Indonesia has seen a recent spate of layoffs by a number of key players, as the path to profitability becomes the key focus. </li>
<li>One company that stands out as a potential beneficiary is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a>, which is already the dominant player in this space through its Mitra business, especially outside Tier 1 cities. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a> saw some dramatic improvements in both take rates and contribution margins in 3Q2022, with more to come in 4Q2022 and beyond, from both its Mitra and Specialty store segments.</li>
</ul>


The ironically named warung-tech segment in Indonesia has seen a recent spate of layoffs by a number of key players, as the path to profitability becomes the key focus. 
One company that stands out as a potential beneficiary is Bukalapak, which is already the dominant player in this space through its Mitra business, especially outside Tier 1 cities. 

Bukalapak saw some dramatic improvements in both take rates and contribution margins in 3Q2022, with more to come in 4Q2022 and beyond, from both its Mitra and Specialty store segments.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Opportunity from Adversity

Research from Tech in Asia, Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia

Research from Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia (YC W15) is the largest English-language technology media company that focuses on Asia. From the latest news to the hottest trends and the boldest startups to the strongest titans, we cover everything tech in the region. Our goal is to build and serve Asia’s tech and startup community.

News from Tech in Asia

<ul><li>Southeast Asia’s digital economy is poised to hit US$200 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in 2022 – three years earlier than predicted.</li><li>Over the past three years, 100 million users have come online in Southeast Asia, with the region housing over 460 million internet users.</li><li>However, the report stated that after years of acceleration and growth, digital players are more concerned about deepening engagement with current consumers rather than acquiring new ones.</li></ul>

Southeast Asia’s digital economy is poised to hit US$200 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in 2022 – three years earlier than predicted.Over the past three years, 100 million users have come online in Southeast Asia, with the region housing over 460 million internet users.However, the report stated that after years of acceleration and growth, digital players are more concerned about deepening engagement with current consumers rather than acquiring new ones.

SEA Digital Economy to Grow in 2022 Despite Headwinds: Report

Indonesia

Tokopedia PT provides e-commerce services. The Company owns and operates an online e-commerce platform that allows individuals and small-to-mid-sized business owners to start their online stores.

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Tokopedia PT (1087142D IJ)

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 2: SE Asia Operation | Demand, Supply Profiles | Valuation Approach

We're pulling this insight out of the archives in light of J&T's updated filing and its decision to begin pushing forward with its IPO in Hong Kong...

Tracking Traffic

BRIDS TMT News - Thursday, April 24, 2025

TOWR has approved a total dividend distribution of Rp800bn for the 2024 fiscal year. This includes an interim dividend of Rp300bn or Rp6 per share...

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS TMT News - Tuesday, March 25 2025

Revenue Rp5.36tr, +28%yoy, above cons., driven by strong growth in Data Center & Cloud Infra (+42%yoy). Gross profit Rp964bn, +11%yoy, but GPM...

BRI Danareksa Research

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Opportunity from Adversity

Bukalapak saw some dramatic improvements in both take rates and contribution margins in 3Q2022, with more to come in 4Q2022 and beyond, from both...

Angus Mackintosh

SEA Digital Economy to Grow in 2022 Despite Headwinds: Report

Southeast Asia’s digital economy is poised to hit US$200 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in 2022 – three years earlier than predicted.

Tech in Asia

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