IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a> has disclosed a revised conditional proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhaojin-mining-industry-company-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4626:1" rel="noopener">Zhaojin Mining Industry H (1818 HK)</a> at A$0.68 per share, a 17.2% premium to the previous offer of A$0.58.</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition (which can be waived). The offer is declared best and final. </li>
<li>Despite the bump, the offer is below the IE’s valuation range of A$0.79 to A$0.93 per share. The IE’s valuation range would be around 25% higher at current gold prices. </li>
</ul>



Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU) has disclosed a revised conditional proposal from Zhaojin Mining Industry H (1818 HK) at A$0.68 per share, a 17.2% premium to the previous offer of A$0.58.
The offer is conditional on a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition (which can be waived). The offer is declared best and final. 
Despite the bump, the offer is below the IE’s valuation range of A$0.79 to A$0.93 per share. The IE’s valuation range would be around 25% higher at current gold prices. 


Tietto Minerals (TIE AU): Zhaojin’s Revised and Final Takeover Offer Remains Light

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>On the 30 October 2023, Chinese gold producer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhaojin-mining-industry-company-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4626:1" rel="noopener">Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK)</a> pitched a non-binding off-market <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1030/2023103000015.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Offer</a> for Aussie-listed West African gold miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals (TIE AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Zhaojin held 7.02% of shares out, and sought 50.1%. Tietto subsequently rejected the A$0.58/share cash proposal. The IE backed out a fair value range of A$0.793-A$0.927/share.</li>
<li>Zhaojin has now <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20240415/pdf/062hnfwkbt39c0.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it has secured all Chinese regulatory approvals; and that Côte d’Ivoire government approval is not required. Plus Zhaojin bumped terms to A$0.68/share - best and final. </li>
</ul>


On the 30 October 2023, Chinese gold producer Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK) pitched a non-binding off-market Offer for Aussie-listed West African gold miner Tietto Minerals (TIE AU).
Zhaojin held 7.02% of shares out, and sought 50.1%. Tietto subsequently rejected the A$0.58/share cash proposal. The IE backed out a fair value range of A$0.793-A$0.927/share.
Zhaojin has now announced it has secured all Chinese regulatory approvals; and that Côte d’Ivoire government approval is not required. Plus Zhaojin bumped terms to A$0.68/share - best and final. 


Tietto Minerals (TIE AU): Zhaojin Mining Secures Reg Approvals. Then Bumps

<ul>
<li>I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>'s rubbish Scheme; and the low-balled MBO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nagatanien-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8059:1" rel="noopener">Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services (APM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium (ALU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal  (ASB AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: Asia Cement China (743 HK)'s rubbish Scheme; and the low-balled MBO for Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP).
Key updates took place on: CPMC Holdings (906 HK), APM Human Services (APM AU), Altium (ALU AU), Austal  (ASB AU),Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), and Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: CPMC, Nagatanien, APM Services, Altium, Austal, Shinko Elect, Hollysys

<ul>
<li>For the month of May 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6.6bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~60%. The average premium YTD is ~46%. Japan is well up yoy. Hong Kong is down.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of May 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6.6bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~60%. The average premium YTD is ~46%. Japan is well up yoy. Hong Kong is down.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2024: Malaysia Airports, Alps Logistics, Nihon Housing, Great Eastern

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-property-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5841:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)</a>'s Scheme. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a> also suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qv-equities-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24284:1" rel="noopener">QV Equities (QVE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral (BLD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sciclone-pharmaceuticals-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17351:1" rel="noopener">Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week:Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)'s Scheme. Asia Cement China (743 HK) also suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. 
Key updates took place on: QV Equities (QVE AU), Boral (BLD AU), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600 HK), and Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Huafa Prop, Asia Cement, QV Equities, Sciclone, Chilled & Frozen Logistics

Australia

Tietto Minerals Limited provides metal exploration and mining services. The Company focuses on development and exploration of gold projects. Tietto Minerals serves customers in West Africa.

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Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)

Tietto Minerals (TIE AU): Zhaojin’s Revised and Final Takeover Offer Remains Light

Despite the bump, the offer is below the IE’s valuation range of A$0.79 to A$0.93 per share. The IE’s valuation range would be around 25% higher at...

Arun George

Tietto Minerals (TIE AU): Zhaojin Mining Secures Reg Approvals. Then Bumps

Trading tight at a 3.5% gross spread. Unless already in, I wouldn't chase it here. This may well get up. Do run a ruler over other Aussie-listed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: CPMC, Nagatanien, APM Services, Altium, Austal, Shinko Elect, Hollysys

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2024: Malaysia Airports, Alps Logistics, Nihon Housing, Great Eastern

For the month of May, 10 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$7bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Huafa Prop, Asia Cement, QV Equities, Sciclone, Chilled & Frozen Logistics

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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