Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>This is our first report on Cigna Corporation, a leading player in health services and insurance.</li><li>Evernorth delivered strong top-and bottom-line results because of their innovation and affordability across pharmacy benefit services, specialty pharmacies, and Evernorth Care Solutions.</li><li>This collaboration with Centene builds on Express Scripts' reputation as a reliable partner and will eventually offer expansion options to offer more Evernorth Health services.</li></ul>

This is our first report on Cigna Corporation, a leading player in health services and insurance.Evernorth delivered strong top-and bottom-line results because of their innovation and affordability across pharmacy benefit services, specialty pharmacies, and Evernorth Care Solutions.This collaboration with Centene builds on Express Scripts' reputation as a reliable partner and will eventually offer expansion options to offer more Evernorth Health services.

Cigna Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Macro Vision report, we noted breaks below 3900 on the SPX and $293 on the QQQ opened the door for a test of YTD lows, or worse.</li>
<li>We are now getting a test of the YTD lows of 3636 on the S&amp;P 500 and $269 on QQQ</li>
<li>With so many indexes and key Sectors currently oversold and testing support, we could certainly see a bounce/pause at current levels.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Macro Vision report, we noted breaks below 3900 on the SPX and $293 on the QQQ opened the door for a test of YTD lows, or worse.
We are now getting a test of the YTD lows of 3636 on the S&amp;P 500 and $269 on QQQ
With so many indexes and key Sectors currently oversold and testing support, we could certainly see a bounce/pause at current levels.


Bloomberg Commodity Index Breaks 2.5-Year Uptrend; Key Indexes/Sectors Testing Support at YTD Lows

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US Value funds rotate in to Health Care, pushing allocations to their highest levels on record.</li>
<li>The average Health Care allocation stands at 18.25%, with 71.4% of Value managers overweight at +3.11% above benchmark.  Health Care has become the conviction sector holding among US Value managers.</li>
<li>The most widely held stocks in the sector are Cigna Corp and Unitedhealth Group, owned by 55.7% and 52.9% of Value managers respectively.</li>
</ul>


US Value funds rotate in to Health Care, pushing allocations to their highest levels on record.
The average Health Care allocation stands at 18.25%, with 71.4% of Value managers overweight at +3.11% above benchmark.  Health Care has become the conviction sector holding among US Value managers.
The most widely held stocks in the sector are Cigna Corp and Unitedhealth Group, owned by 55.7% and 52.9% of Value managers respectively.


Macroeconomic and Investing, The Macro Compass

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Macroeconomic and Investing

The Macro Compass

Actionable investment ideas and unique global macro insights. From the desk of a former Head of $20 bn Investment Portfolio straight to your inbox.

Actionable Investment Ideas

<ul><li>Healthcare stocks tend to do better than the broad S&amp;P 500 in risk-off environments and periods of slowing economic growth.</li><li>The purchasing managers’ index and various leading indicators continue to suggest economic deceleration is in store for 2022</li><li>Meanwhile, healthcare stocks generally have attractive valuations. They’ve not been piled into by hedge funds or meme traders</li></ul>

Healthcare stocks tend to do better than the broad S&amp;P 500 in risk-off environments and periods of slowing economic growth.The purchasing managers’ index and various leading indicators continue to suggest economic deceleration is in store for 2022Meanwhile, healthcare stocks generally have attractive valuations. They’ve not been piled into by hedge funds or meme traders

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oscar-health-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31499:1" rel="noopener">Oscar Health (OSCR US)</a>  stock continued to trade lower and plunged ~58% from its IPO price of $39 per share. Company will release its second quarter results after market on Thursday, August 12, 2021. Currently, Oscar Health shares trade on multiples lower than its peers, such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clover-health-investments-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33060:1" rel="noopener">Clover Health Investments Corp (CLOV US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bright-health-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33507:1" rel="noopener">Bright Health Group (BHG US)</a> . Oscar Health completed IPO in March and lock-up agreements will expire on the second trading day immediately following the public release of earnings for the second quarter. Assuming stock price of $16.20 per share, Oscar Health has enterprise value (EV) of ~$1.06 billion and ~$2.3 billion of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities. Keeping this in mind, company has raised a total of ~$1.6 billion from American leading investment and venture capital firms. We believe that Oscar Health is M&amp;A target and may be acquired by large managed healthcare and insurance corporation.

Oscar Health (OSCR US)  stock continued to trade lower and plunged ~58% from its IPO price of $39 per share. Company will release its second quarter results after market on Thursday, August 12, 2021. Currently, Oscar Health shares trade on multiples lower than its peers, such as Clover Health Investments Corp (CLOV US) and Bright Health Group (BHG US) . Oscar Health completed IPO in March and lock-up agreements will expire on the second trading day immediately following the public release of earnings for the second quarter. Assuming stock price of $16.20 per share, Oscar Health has enterprise value (EV) of ~$1.06 billion and ~$2.3 billion of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities. Keeping this in mind, company has raised a total of ~$1.6 billion from American leading investment and venture capital firms. We believe that Oscar Health is M&amp;A target and may be acquired by large managed healthcare and insurance corporation.

Is Oscar Health M&A Target After The Shares Plunged More Than 50% Below IPO Price?

United States

Molina Healthcare Inc. is a managed care organization.  The Company arranges for the delivery of health care services to persons eligible for Medicaid and other programs for low-income families and individuals.  Molina Healthcare has health plans in California, Washington, Utah, and Michigan, as well as primary care clinics located in Northern and Southern California.

Cardinal Health, Inc. provides complementary products and services to healthcare providers and manufacturers.  The Company's services include pharmaceutical distribution, health-care product manufacturing, distribution and consulting services, drug delivery systems development, pharmaceutical packaging, automated dispensing systems manufacturing, and retail pharmacy franchising.

Humana Inc. is a managed health care company with medical members located in the United States and Puerto Rico.  The Company offers coordinated health care through health maintenance organizations, preferred provider organizations, point-of-service plans, and administrative services products.  Humana offers its products to employer groups, government-sponsored plans, and individuals.

Cencora, Inc. operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company offers end-to-end pharmaceutical commercialization solutions, over-the-counter healthcare products, home healthcare supplies and equipment, and related services to healthcare providers. Cencora distributes its products internationally.

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings is a clinical laboratory company that offers clinical laboratory tests used by the medical profession in routine testing, patient diagnosis, and in the monitoring and treatment of disease. The Company develops specialty testing operations, such as oncology testing, HIV genotyping and phenotyping, diagnostic genetics and clinical trials.

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings (LH US)

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings

Centene Corporation is a multi-line managed care organization that provides Medicaid and Medicaid-related programs.  The Company has health plans in several states. The Company also provides specialty services, including behavioral health, nurse triage, and treatment compliance.

McKesson Corporation distributes pharmaceuticals, medical-surgical supplies, and health and beauty care products throughout North America. The Company also develops, implements, and supports software that facilitates the integration of data throughout the health enterprise.  In addition, McKesson offers analytic, care management, and patient solutions for payers.

Universal Health Services, Inc. is a healthcare management company. The Company operates acute care hospitals, behavioral health centers, and surgery centers. Universal provides services such as general surgery, internal medicine, radiology, and pediatric services throughout the United States and Puerto Rico.

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated provides diagnostic testing, information, and services.  The Company operates a national network of full-service laboratories, rapid response laboratories, and patient service centers.  Quest Diagnostics provides esoteric testing, routine medical testing, drugs of abuse testing, and non-hospital-based anatomicpathology testing.

Ensign Group, Inc. operates facilities offering nursing and rehabilitative care services in multiple states. The Company provides a broad spectrum of nursing and assisted living services, physical, occupational and speech therapies, and other rehabilitative and healthcare services, for both long-term residents and short-stay rehabilitation patients.

Fresenius SE & Co KGaA is a global health care group with products and services for dialysis, the hospital and the medical care of patients at home. The Company sells dialysis, infusion, transfusion, and diagnostics equipment and systems, blood separators, plasma, hemofilters, nutritional liquids, and solid and liquid pharmaceuticals.

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co., Ltd. manufactures, retails, and wholesales a variety of pharmaceuticals including biopharmaceuticals, chemical and Chinese traditional medicines, and healthcare products. The Company also invests in new medicine development and provides related services.

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (2607 HK)

Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company Limited operates Bangkok General Hospital. The Hospital specializes in cardiovascular, lung, neurological, eye and genitourinary cancer, as well as physical therapy and medical imaging.

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited owns and operates hospitals in India.  The Company also runs a 24-hour pharmacy network via over 120 outlets across India. Apollo Hospitals also runs clinics and offer managed care and family health plans. The Company has a variety of locations in Chennai, Hyderabad, Delhi, Dubai, Vizag, Bilaspur and Chengannur.

Aier Eye Hospital Group Co., Ltd provides ophthalmological services.  The Company's services include ophthalmological diagnosis and treatments.

Sonic Healthcare Limited is a medical diagnostics company with operations in Australia, New Zealand, and Europe.  The Company provides a comprehensive range of pathology and diagnostic imaging services to medical practitioners, hospitals and their patients along with providing administrative services and facilities to medical practitioners.

Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA offers kidney dialysis services and manufactures and distributes equipment and products used in the treatment of dialysis patients. The Company also offers clinical laboratory testing and diagnostic testing services and provides home infusion, respiratory therapy, ultrasound, and echo-cardiography. Fresenius operates worldwide.

Celltrion Healthcare Co.,Ltd develops and manufactures pharmaceutical biologics and chemically synthesized drugs. The Company specializes in the development of drugs for breast cancer, arthritis, leukemia, psoriasis, human rabies prevention, and influenza. Celltrion Healthcare markets its products to customers internationally.

Sinopharm Group Co Ltd is a pharmacy distribution company. The Company also owns several pharmacy enterprise groups in different industries such as logistics, retail stores, pharmaceutical manufacturing, and chemical testing.

The Cigna Group operates as an insurance company. The Company offers life, accident, disability, supplemental, medicare, and dental insurance products and services. The Cigna Group serves individuals, families, and businesses worldwide.

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Cigna Group (CI US)

Cigna Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

This is our first report on Cigna Corporation, a leading player in health services and insurance. Evernorth delivered strong top-and bottom-line...

Baptista Research

Bloomberg Commodity Index Breaks 2.5-Year Uptrend; Key Indexes/Sectors Testing Support at YTD Lows

Bloomberg Commodity index $DJP violating 2.5-yr uptrend; a break below $32.50 would send commodity prices much lower, & would be deflationary. $SPX...

Vermilion Research

US Value Funds Rotate in to Health Care

US Value managers have made an active rotation in to the Health Care sector, pushing allocations to their highest levels on record.

Steven Holden

A Healthy Long for Your Portfolio

Healthcare stocks tend to do better than the broad S&P 500 in risk-off environments and periods of slowing economic growth. The purchasing...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Is Oscar Health M&A Target After The Shares Plunged More Than 50% Below IPO Price?

We believe that investors underestimate technology component in Oscar Health’s valuation and insurtech may be M&A target for large insurance...

Andrei Zakharov

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