Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the SET50 index rebalance in June 2023.</li>
<li>Based on the latest available data, I expect 2 ADDs/DELs but there are couple of names close to the border and final rankings could change with changes in share prices.</li>
<li>The three-month reference period used for the June 2023 rebalance will end on 31st May 2022.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the SET50 index rebalance in June 2023.
Based on the latest available data, I expect 2 ADDs/DELs but there are couple of names close to the border and final rankings could change with changes in share prices.
The three-month reference period used for the June 2023 rebalance will end on 31st May 2022.


Quiddity Leaderboard for SET50 Jun 23 Review: TLI ADD & JMART DEL Likely; BJC Is a Question Mark

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB)</a> has been added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a> following the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> merger.</li>
<li>Passive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a> trackers will need to buy 9.7m shares (THB 534m; 1x ADV) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB)</a> at the close of trading today.</li>
<li>There could be two more changes in June with relatively new listings, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betagro-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36222:1" rel="noopener">Betagro (BTG TB)</a>, being added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a>.</li>
</ul>



Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB) has been added to the SET50 INDEX following the Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) / True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) merger.
Passive SET50 INDEX trackers will need to buy 9.7m shares (THB 534m; 1x ADV) of Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB) at the close of trading today.
There could be two more changes in June with relatively new listings, Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) and Betagro (BTG TB), being added to the SET50 INDEX.


SET50 Index Rebalance: SAWAD Added; Buying at the Close Today

<ul>
<li>The completion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> merger could cause an intra-review change next week.</li>
<li>There could be two more index changes in the regular review in June 2023.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the current rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs and their recent price and volume performance. </li>
</ul>


The completion of the Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) - True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) merger could cause an intra-review change next week.
There could be two more index changes in the regular review in June 2023.
In this insight, we take a look at the current rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs and their recent price and volume performance. 


Quiddity Leaderboard for SET Jun 23: DTAC-TRUE Intra-Review Changes

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB)</a> is likely to join the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> in early March following the DTAC/TRUE merger.</li>
<li>Then there should be one change in June with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jaymart-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12053:1" rel="noopener">Jaymart PCL (JMART TB)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>There is one stock close to failing the liquidity test and that could lead to another change with a few stocks vying for index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB) is likely to join the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) in early March following the DTAC/TRUE merger.
Then there should be one change in June with Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) replacing Jaymart PCL (JMART TB) in the index.
There is one stock close to failing the liquidity test and that could lead to another change with a few stocks vying for index inclusion.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes from Now to June

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>I-Tail, an OEM in the wet pet food category, aims to raise around US$600m in its Thailand IPO. It is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>  .</li>
<li>As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at various aspects of the deal. In this note, we talk about its 3Q22 updates and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


I-Tail, an OEM in the wet pet food category, aims to raise around US$600m in its Thailand IPO. It is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB)  .
As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.
In our previous notes, we have looked at various aspects of the deal. In this note, we talk about its 3Q22 updates and run the deal through our ECM framework.


I-Tail Corporation IPO - Blowout 3Q22, Revised Earnings, Updated Thoughts on Valuation

Thailand

Bangkok Life Assurance PCL offers life insurance services.

Bangkok Insurance Public Company Limited provides non-life insurance including fire, hull, marine, automobile, property, as well as other miscellaneous insurance.

Allianz Ayudhya General Insurance Public Company Limited operates as a non-life insurance company. The Company offers claim for individual, business, and package insurance coverage. Allianz Ayudhya General Insurance serves customers in Thailand.

Muang Thai Insurance PCL is a non-life insurance company. The company main products include fire insurance, marine insurance, motor insurance, and miscellaneous insurance.

Nam Seng Insurance Public Company Limited provides non-life insurance including fire, marine, motor and miscellaneous insurance.

Thaivivat Insurance Public Company Limited provides non-life insurance including fire, marine, automobile, and miscellaneous insurance to its customers in Thailand.

Thai Reinsurance Public Company Limited provides reinsurance services for both life and non-life insurance with concentration on property, casualty, marine, engineering, automobile, and life insurance.

Navakij Insurance Public Company Limited provides a variety of non-life insurance including fire, marine, automobile and miscellaneous insurance.

Thaire Life Assurance PCL provides a range of reinsurance products and services. The Company offers reinsurance coverage for business, individual, group, mortgage, credit, life, personal accident, critical illness and health.

Indara Insurance Public Company Limited provides non-life insurance including fire, marine, automobile,  and miscellaneous insurance.

SiriusPoint Ltd. operates as a global insurance and reinsurance company. The Company offers services in insurance lines which includes environmental, property, energy, workers compensation, and aviation and space, and reinsurance lines includes life, accident and health, property, marine and energy, casualty, and credit and bond. SiriusPoint serves customers worldwide.

NIB Holdings Ltd. offers health insurance products.  Depending on the specific product, the Company covers ambulance costs; and reimburses for costs not covered by Medicare including dental, optical, physiotherapy and natural therapies; and some hospitalization costs.

AUB Group Limited provides financial services. The Company offers equity-based risk management, insurance broking, and specialist underwriting agencies, as well as focuses on risk solutions for clients and strengthening our partners risk advisory capabilities.

Coface SA offers financial services. The Company specializes in trade risk and also offers other financial services including credit insurance, receivable management, debt collection, factoring and business information solutions. Coface SA serves customers around the world.

ZhongAn Online P & C Insurance Co., Ltd. operates as an insurance company. The Company develops and sells health, airline, and automotive insurance, and other products. ZhongAn Online P & C Insurance also offers online consumer finance services.

Palomar Holdings, Inc. provides insurance services. The Company offers legal protection for properties damaged from earthquake, wind, and flood. Palomar Holdings serves customers in the United Sates.

China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation is a reinsurance company. The company operates four principal business segments, consisting of P&C reinsurance, life and health reinsurance, primary P&C insurance and asset management businesses.

Stewart Information Services Corporation provides title insurance and related services through locations in the United States and several international markets. The Company meets the needs of real estate and mortgage industries through the electronic delivery of services required for settlement. Stewart's services include title reports, flood determinations, and credit reports.

Hanwha Life Insurance Co., Ltd. offers life insurance services and reinsurance services.  The Company also does insurance against loss business, beverages business, real estate rental, and securities investment business through its subsidiaries.

Genworth Financial Inc. offers insurance, wealth management, investment and financial solutions   The Company offers products that include life insurance products, long-term care insurance, and mortgage guarantee insurance coverage on residential mortgage loans.  Genworth is active in the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Mexico and multiple European countries.

Thai Life Insurance Public Company Limited operates as an insurance company. The Company offers life, investment, health, accident, elderly, critical illness, and retail insurance services. Thai Life Insurance serves customers in Thailand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)

Quiddity Leaderboard for SET50 Jun 23 Review: TLI ADD & JMART DEL Likely; BJC Is a Question Mark

Currently, Thai Life Insurance and Berli Jucker are ADDs and Jaymart PCL and Ngern Tid Lor are DELs in June 2023. Potential ADD WHA Corp and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SET50 Index Rebalance: SAWAD Added; Buying at the Close Today

SAWAD will be added to the SET50 index at the close today following the DTAC/TRUE merger. TLI and BTG could then replace JMART and TIDLOR in June,...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard for SET Jun 23: DTAC-TRUE Intra-Review Changes

There could be 8.2mn shares to buy in Srisawad which translates to an estimated impact of 0.8 days of volume and a flow size of US$13mn.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes from Now to June

SAWAD could be added to the index in March. Then TLI should replace JMART in June. INTUCH is a close delete on liquidity and there are multiple...

Brian Freitas

I-Tail Corporation IPO - Blowout 3Q22, Revised Earnings, Updated Thoughts on Valuation

I-Tail, an OEM in the wet pet food category, aims to raise around US$600m in its Thailand IPO. It is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)