CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

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Equity Bottom-Up

Thai Airways International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Cheap on a gross profit basis, low price-to-sales, and low correlation to the Thai market relative to its sector</li><li>THAI plans on replacing 23 of its aircraft, a quarter of its fleet, which should provide fuel efficiency together with comfort and quality for passengers. The delivery of two A350-900s should follow in 3Q16</li><li>THAI has plans for more rationalization of its network, including better connections for routes, which should help to improve profit margins</li><li>Trades below ASEAN Transportation at 16CE* 13.8x PE, with an expected massive rebound in earnings in 2016 as THAI has started to turn</li><li>Risks: A sudden strong rally in oil prices</li></ul>* Consensus Estimates

Cheap on a gross profit basis, low price-to-sales, and low correlation to the Thai market relative to its sectorTHAI plans on replacing 23 of its aircraft, a quarter of its fleet, which should provide fuel efficiency together with comfort and quality for passengers. The delivery of two A350-900s should follow in 3Q16THAI has plans for more rationalization of its network, including better connections for routes, which should help to improve profit marginsTrades below ASEAN Transportation at 16CE* 13.8x PE, with an expected massive rebound in earnings in 2016 as THAI has started to turnRisks: A sudden strong rally in oil prices* Consensus Estimates

THAI: Flag Carrier Plane Reboot to Save Fuel, Add Comfort

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.</li>
<li>ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.</li>
<li>A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.</li>
<li>Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.</li>
<li>BUY…</li>
</ul>


Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.
ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.
A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.
Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.
BUY…


Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Samui Airport Property Fund / Equity Bottom-Up

Thailand accounts for almost half the ASEAN tourism receipts, but further expansion at AOT's key Suvanabhummi Airport will be slow due to the civil servant's culture still looming at large. We prefer to look at Samui Airports (SPF), a monopoly at one of Thailand's hottest tourist spot controlled by a much more expensive parent company Bangkok Airways (BA).In the airline space, check out Asia Aviation (AAV), which operates Air Asia in Thailand. The company is revolutionizing Thai airline industry, having grown low-cost travel tenfolds over the last decade and marginalizing legacy flag carrier Thai Airways (THAI). Also, we suspect Tony Fernandes has grand design of building his own airports in Thailand. Scroll down and find out: 1) why we sold BA, a really well run boutique airline; 2) why AAV is the only Thai-based airline stock being closely watched for potential investment at MCorp Review; and 3) what we think about the King Power deal with AAV.

Thailand accounts for almost half the ASEAN tourism receipts, but further expansion at AOT's key Suvanabhummi Airport will be slow due to the civil servant's culture still looming at large. We prefer to look at Samui Airports (SPF), a monopoly at one of Thailand's hottest tourist spot controlled by a much more expensive parent company Bangkok Airways (BA).In the airline space, check out Asia Aviation (AAV), which operates Air Asia in Thailand. The company is revolutionizing Thai airline industry, having grown low-cost travel tenfolds over the last decade and marginalizing legacy flag carrier Thai Airways (THAI). Also, we suspect Tony Fernandes has grand design of building his own airports in Thailand. Scroll down and find out: 1) why we sold BA, a really well run boutique airline; 2) why AAV is the only Thai-based airline stock being closely watched for potential investment at MCorp Review; and 3) what we think about the King Power deal with AAV.

Aviators & Airports: The Ongoing Revolution

Thailand

Nok Airlines PCL operates as an airline carrier in the aviation industry. The Company provides air transportation services for passengers, baggage, and cargo.

Asia Aviation PCL owns a budget airline.  The airline offers low fare flights, online booking, hospitality packages, and courier and cargo services. Asia Aviation serves travelers throughout Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

Bangkok Aviation Fuel Services Public Company Limited is provider of aviation fuel services including aviation depot and aircraft refueling services at the Bangkok International Airport (Donmuang) and the New Bangkok International Airport at Suvarnabhumi.

WICE Logistics Public Company Limited provides freight shipping services. The Company offers marine freight shipping, air freight shipping and trucking services.

Triple i Logistics Public Company Limited provides logistics services. The Company offers sea and air freight forwarding, warehousing, distribution, shipping, goods transportation, and container depot services. Triple i Logistics serves customers worldwide.

Namyong Terminal PCL is a roll on roll off terminal operator. The Company offers terminal services, car storage areas and warehousing services in Thailand.

Thoresen Thai Agencies PCL is a maritime and commodity-focused business group with Transport, Energy, and Infrastructure businesses in the Asia-Pacific region. The Group's businesses include dry bulk shipping, inter-island petroleum and gas tankering, offshore oil and gas services, coal mining, fertilizer production and distribution, and integrated port and logistics services.

Bangkok Airways Company Limited offers air transportation services. The Company operates flights and airports to various resort destinations in Thailand, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, China, and Japan.

Precious Shipping Public Company Limited is a ship owner providing regional marine shipping services. The Company operates in the tramp freight market sector where its vessels are employed on a time charter as well as voyage charter basis.  Precious Shipping has a network of shipping agents worldwide.

Kiattana Transport PCL provides transportation services.

Air Busan Co., Ltd. operates as an airline company. The Company offers international and domestic flight, hotel, and car booking services. Air busan also provides reissuance of ticket, baggage, airport, and in flight services. Air busan offers services worldwide.

AirAsia X Berhad is a long-haul, low-cost airline based in Malaysia. The Company is an affiliate carrier of the AirAsia Group. AirAsia X offers flights on the Airbus A330-300 aircraft on routes beyond 4 hours flight duration across Asia Pacific and the Middle East.

Skymark Airlines Inc. provides air transportation services.  The Company's services include scheduled flights for passengers and air courier services. Skymark Airlines conducts businesses in Japan.

Icelandair Group hf is a holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers scheduled air carrier operations, tourist services and transport operations; buys and sells real estate; and conducts credit operations and other related services.  Icelandair flies between Iceland, Western Europe, and North America.

Spirit Airlines Inc. is a low-fare airline based in Miramar, Florida. The Airline provides low-cost travel opportunities principally to and from South Florida, the Caribbean and Latin America. Spirit Airlines basic service combines with a range of optional services for additional fees, targets price sensitive leisure travelers and travelers visiting friends and relatives.

PT Garuda Indonesia Persero Tbk provides airline services. The Company offers domestic and international flights, online check in, and associated services for passengers, baggage, and cargo.

Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes S.A. provides low-fare, non-stop passenger flight services through its fleet of next generation Boeing airplanes.  The company provides domestic flights in Brazil.

Alliance Aviation Services Ltd. is a mining services company. The Company specializes in providing transportation by air of its mining and energy customers' employees and contractors to and from remote locations, ad hoc charter services - operating commercial air charters servicing the needs of Government and corporate customers, and wet leasing services.

Cebu Air, Inc. operates an airline under the Cebu Pacific Air name in the Philippines. It offers scheduled air travel services to passengers, as well as airport-to-airport cargo services on its domestic and international routes. The company also provides ancillary services, such as cancellation and rebooking options; in-flight merchandising, including sale of duty-free products on international flights; baggage services; and travel-related products and services. As of December 31, 2015, Cebu Air, Inc. operated a fleet of 55 aircraft, which includes 8 Airbus A319, 33 Airbus A320, 6 Airbus A330, and 8 ATR 72-500 aircraft. The company has a strategic alliance with Tigerair. Cebu Air, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Pasay City, the Philippines. Cebu Air, Inc. is a subsidiary of CPAir Holdings, Inc.

Star Flyer Inc. operates as an airline carrier in the aviation industry. The Company provides air transportation services for passengers, baggage, and cargo. Star Flyer also offers shuttle services between key Japanese cities.

Thai Airways International Public Company Limited is Thailand's national airline providing air transportation, freight and mail services on domestic and international routes including Asia, Europe, North America, Africa and South West Pacific.  The Company is a state enterprise which is controlled by the government and partly owned by the public.

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Thai Airways International (THAI TB)

THAI: Flag Carrier Plane Reboot to Save Fuel, Add Comfort

Cheap on a gross profit basis, low price-to-sales, and low correlation to the Thai market relative to its sector THAI plans on replacing 23 of its...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos. ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with...

David Riedel

Aviators & Airports: The Ongoing Revolution

Thailand accounts for almost half the ASEAN tourism receipts, but further expansion at AOT's key Suvanabhummi Airport will be slow due to the civil...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

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