Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P500 E-Mini (ES) is approaching a DAILY resistance level at a point in time where it could perform a quick reversal - a SHORT trade opportunity.</li>
<li>Watch the 4483-4525 price area, today is the 3rd consecutive day up, the reversal could begin in that area, today or tomorrow.</li>
<li>The probability for a quick reversal, after 3 days up, in the 4483-4525 price area, is between 67% to 79%, depending on the resistance levels reached.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P500 E-Mini (ES) is approaching a DAILY resistance level at a point in time where it could perform a quick reversal - a SHORT trade opportunity.
Watch the 4483-4525 price area, today is the 3rd consecutive day up, the reversal could begin in that area, today or tomorrow.
The probability for a quick reversal, after 3 days up, in the 4483-4525 price area, is between 67% to 79%, depending on the resistance levels reached.


EQD | S&P500 E-Mini (ES) DAILY SHORT, Speculative High-Probability Trade

Independent Research, US Dominant Players, Investment Talk

Investment Talk

Independent Research, US Dominant Players

Investment Talk is for readers who wish to learn about companies that are potentially outside of their own circle of research, as well as those who are longing to become part of a community of like-minded investors and learn more about investment research. I would describe myself as a long-term investor who typically takes a 3Y to 5Y outlook, before reassessing once that period matures. I follow the adage that one should research, reach a conclusion, and then verify and continue to hold so long as the thesis remains intact. My own investing style is one that seeks to find dominant players within their respective market who have shown signs of monopoly or oligopolistic behaviour, unlikely to be disrupted, in tandem with discovering market disruptors who have a high likelihood of disrupting their respective market. Equally (and weighted accordingly) I seek to discover more nuanced, misunderstood, situations with a shorter time frame.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>You might have heard the news that Nasdaq Inc announced1 a “special rebalance” for the Nasdaq 100; an index which tracks the largest technology stocks across a range of America’s sectors.</li><li>This reshuffle seeks to “address overconcentration in the index by redistributing the weights”; specifically the weightings of the Big 7 (Google, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta) who, together, account for ~54% of the index.</li><li>The rebalance will be based on the shares outstanding as of July 3rd, and changes are expected to be announced on July 14th; taking effect by July 24th2.</li></ul>

You might have heard the news that Nasdaq Inc announced1 a “special rebalance” for the Nasdaq 100; an index which tracks the largest technology stocks across a range of America’s sectors.This reshuffle seeks to “address overconcentration in the index by redistributing the weights”; specifically the weightings of the Big 7 (Google, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta) who, together, account for ~54% of the index.The rebalance will be based on the shares outstanding as of July 3rd, and changes are expected to be announced on July 14th; taking effect by July 24th2.

The Nasdaq's Special Rebalance Is Not So Special

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order in China auto market (+/+/+/+/+)</li>
<li>XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50%, outperforming the industry (+)</li>
<li>ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn Efgartigimod received NMPA approval. We expect 2023 revenue US$10mn (-)</li>
</ul>


XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order in China auto market (+/+/+/+/+)
XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50%, outperforming the industry (+)
ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn Efgartigimod received NMPA approval. We expect 2023 revenue US$10mn (-)


China TMT Update-XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK/ZLAB: 16 Automakers Pledge to Maintain Order;G6 Conversion

Concise Playbook for the Week, Global Markets Playbook

Kevin George

Concise Playbook for the Week

Global Markets Playbook

I am an active trader in stocks, FX and commodities with over 15 years' market experience. I hold a master's degree in finance and have developed a strong skill base in technical analysis. 

Alongside technical setups I will provide earnings analysis, company valuation analysis and macroeconomic studies for the key market releases.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China accounts for over half of the automaker's global sales.</li>
<li>There is also potential for Chinese brands to encroach on European markets.</li>
<li>Tesla's valuation could be impacted by protectionism and nationalism, with questions over how China will tolerate overseas competitors in its electric vehicle market.</li>
</ul>


China accounts for over half of the automaker's global sales.
There is also potential for Chinese brands to encroach on European markets.
Tesla's valuation could be impacted by protectionism and nationalism, with questions over how China will tolerate overseas competitors in its electric vehicle market.


Tesla Earnings Preview: Cash Flow Negative And An Elephant In The Room

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul>
<li>We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li>
<li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li>
<li>We are of the view that Tesla is still resilient, while NIO’s key metrics in Jun were below our expectation.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.
Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.
We are of the view that Tesla is still resilient, while NIO’s key metrics in Jun were below our expectation.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jun leading indicators: NIO weaker than expected

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

EQD | S&P500 E-Mini (ES) DAILY SHORT, Speculative High-Probability Trade

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the S&P500 Futures (ES) DAILY resistance levels + probability of trend reversal for the next few days,...

Nico Rosti

The Nasdaq's Special Rebalance Is Not So Special

The rebalance will be based on the shares outstanding as of July 3rd, and changes are expected to be announced on July 14th; taking effect by July...

Investment Talk

China TMT Update-XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK/ZLAB: 16 Automakers Pledge to Maintain Order;G6 Conversion

XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order;XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50% (+)ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tesla Earnings Preview: Cash Flow Negative And An Elephant In The Room

China accounts for over half of the automaker's global sales. There is also potential for Chinese brands to encroach on European markets. Tesla's...

Kevin George

China Auto Sector – Jun leading indicators: NIO weaker than expected

We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

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