SPAC Deep Dive, subSPAC

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SPAC Deep Dive

Each week we’ll identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>2021 was the year of EV Stocks, with automakers raising large sums of money without any vehicle deliveries or revenues.</li><li>Swedish EV Maker Polestar is the latest in a long list of EV makers to go public through a SPAC, but there’s more to this deal than first meets the eye</li><li>Polestar is set to make its public debut at a critical juncture in the nascent EV Market where Tesla has captured a lion’s share and the competition is struggling to scale</li></ul>

2021 was the year of EV Stocks, with automakers raising large sums of money without any vehicle deliveries or revenues.Swedish EV Maker Polestar is the latest in a long list of EV makers to go public through a SPAC, but there’s more to this deal than first meets the eyePolestar is set to make its public debut at a critical juncture in the nascent EV Market where Tesla has captured a lion’s share and the competition is struggling to scale

Polestar Is The Dark Horse in the EV Race

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P DJI Global Indices on Friday announced the changes to the S&amp;P500, S&amp;P Midcap 400, and S&amp;P 600 to be implement at the close on 17 December. </li>
<li>There were no surprises and the whole exercise is one of rearranging the deckchairs. Stocks move up an index, or down an index, but nothing moves out of the three.</li>
<li>The proprietary S&amp;P data suggests little opportunity, but empirical data suggests otherwise, and as in most cases, the interesting trades are the smaller ones.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P DJI Global Indices on Friday announced the changes to the S&amp;P500, S&amp;P Midcap 400, and S&amp;P 600 to be implement at the close on 17 December. 
There were no surprises and the whole exercise is one of rearranging the deckchairs. Stocks move up an index, or down an index, but nothing moves out of the three.
The proprietary S&amp;P data suggests little opportunity, but empirical data suggests otherwise, and as in most cases, the interesting trades are the smaller ones.


S&P500 Rebalance for December 2021 - Rearranging the Deckchairs

It's time for the S&amp;P500 Index Rebalance. Friday night on 3 Sep ahead of the long weekend we got the <a href="https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/indexnews/announcements/20210903-1443045/1443045_sept2021-546-shuf-rebal.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcement</a> from S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. This quarter we have 3 Additions...<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/match-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25903:1" rel="noopener">Match Group Inc (MTCH US)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ceridian-hcm-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27122:1" rel="noopener">Ceridian HCM Holding Inc (CDAY US)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brown-brown-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19532:1" rel="noopener">Brown &amp; Brown (BRO US)</a> </li>
</ul>Combined, the three ADDITIONS had US$6.4bn of revenue in the last 12 months, US$1.6bn of OP in that time, and they are forecast to have OP of $1.97bn in the next 12 months.and 3 Deletions... <ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perrigo-co-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:869:1" rel="noopener">Perrigo Co Plc (PRGO US)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unum-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2521:1" rel="noopener">Unum Group (UNM US)</a> </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-oilwell-varco-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3046:1" rel="noopener">National Oilwell Varco (NOV US)</a></li>
</ul>Combined, the three DELETIONS had US$21.97bn of revenue in the last 12 months, US$1.1bn of OP in that time, and they are forecast to have $2.13bn of OP in the next 12 months.<div class="content-highlight">
With 3+x the revenue and a combined OP forecast 8% higher than the ADDITIONS in the next 12 months, these three DELETIONS have a combined market cap of US$16bn as of Friday's close against the combined market cap of the ADDITIONS which are at US$75bn.
That may not make much sense but most major indices are like that - they buy what goes up, after it has gone up, and they sell what underperforms, after it has underperformed. 
</div>While these names are not really a surprise, they may prove interesting.Much more analysis below the fold.

It's time for the S&amp;P500 Index Rebalance. Friday night on 3 Sep ahead of the long weekend we got the announcement from S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices. This quarter we have 3 Additions...

Match Group Inc (MTCH US) 

Ceridian HCM Holding Inc (CDAY US) 

Brown &amp; Brown (BRO US) 
Combined, the three ADDITIONS had US$6.4bn of revenue in the last 12 months, US$1.6bn of OP in that time, and they are forecast to have OP of $1.97bn in the next 12 months.and 3 Deletions... 

Perrigo Co Plc (PRGO US) 

Unum Group (UNM US) 
National Oilwell Varco (NOV US)
Combined, the three DELETIONS had US$21.97bn of revenue in the last 12 months, US$1.1bn of OP in that time, and they are forecast to have $2.13bn of OP in the next 12 months.
With 3+x the revenue and a combined OP forecast 8% higher than the ADDITIONS in the next 12 months, these three DELETIONS have a combined market cap of US$16bn as of Friday's close against the combined market cap of the ADDITIONS which are at US$75bn.
That may not make much sense but most major indices are like that - they buy what goes up, after it has gone up, and they sell what underperforms, after it has underperformed. 
While these names are not really a surprise, they may prove interesting.Much more analysis below the fold. 

S&P500 September 2021 Rebalance:  3 OUT, 3 IN - The Deletions May Be More Interesting

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>One of the biggest trends impacting the fund flow in Korea this year has been the huge capital inflow into overseas equity ETFs. </li>
<li>The net asset value of the listed ETFs in Korea investing in overseas stocks surpassed the ETFs investing in domestic stocks for the first time in 17 years.</li>
<li>The ETFs that invest in overseas stocks were 35.8 trillion won on 12 November 2024, up 111% from 12 January 2024.</li>
</ul>


One of the biggest trends impacting the fund flow in Korea this year has been the huge capital inflow into overseas equity ETFs. 
The net asset value of the listed ETFs in Korea investing in overseas stocks surpassed the ETFs investing in domestic stocks for the first time in 17 years.
The ETFs that invest in overseas stocks were 35.8 trillion won on 12 November 2024, up 111% from 12 January 2024.


Overseas Equity ETFs Surpass Domestic Equity ETFs For the First Time in 17 Years

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Our Geopolitical team is wrapping up an analysis on the escalating Ukraine-Russia conflict.</li><li>In the meantime, here’s a piece we believe markets might not yet be fully tuned into:With Donald Trump and Elon Musk seemingly forming a close alliance, their influence on trade and economic policies has become a hot topic.</li><li>Notably, Vivek Ramaswamy and Musk have thrown their support behind Javier Milei’s economic strategy in Argentina, which includes radical measures such as aggressive spending cuts and a commitment to reducing trade barriers.</li></ul>

Our Geopolitical team is wrapping up an analysis on the escalating Ukraine-Russia conflict.In the meantime, here’s a piece we believe markets might not yet be fully tuned into:With Donald Trump and Elon Musk seemingly forming a close alliance, their influence on trade and economic policies has become a hot topic.Notably, Vivek Ramaswamy and Musk have thrown their support behind Javier Milei’s economic strategy in Argentina, which includes radical measures such as aggressive spending cuts and a commitment to reducing trade barriers.

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

Polestar Is The Dark Horse in the EV Race

2021 was the year of EV Stocks, with automakers raising large sums of money without any vehicle deliveries or revenues. Swedish EV Maker Polestar...

subSPAC

S&P500 Rebalance for December 2021 - Rearranging the Deckchairs

The S&P announced its changes to the S&P500, S&P Midcap 400, and S&P Small 600 Indices. All names moving in and out of these indices are coming...

Travis Lundy

S&P500 September 2021 Rebalance: 3 OUT, 3 IN - The Deletions May Be More Interesting

The S&P500 Quarterly Review is here. 3 in and 3 out. $14bn a side as of now. I expect the DELETIONS are more interesting though the headlines will...

Travis Lundy

Overseas Equity ETFs Surpass Domestic Equity ETFs For the First Time in 17 Years

One of the biggest trends impacting the fund flow in Korea this year has been the huge capital inflow into overseas equity ETFs.

Douglas Kim

Trump Watch: Possible U-Turn on Tariffs?

Our Geopolitical team is wrapping up an analysis on the escalating Ukraine-Russia conflict. In the meantime, here’s a piece we believe markets...

Steno Research

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