Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Terex Corporation reported its second quarter earnings for 2024, exhibiting solid performance amid varied global economic scenarios.</li><li>The revenue for the quarter stood at $1.4 billion with adjusted earnings per share at $2.16, projecting a strong year with an expected annual adjusted EPS range of $7.15 to $7.45.</li><li>This outcome underscores a continued robust operation, aligning with Terex's execute, innovate, and grow strategy, which aims at driving sustainable long-term growth across its operations.</li></ul>

Terex Corporation reported its second quarter earnings for 2024, exhibiting solid performance amid varied global economic scenarios.The revenue for the quarter stood at $1.4 billion with adjusted earnings per share at $2.16, projecting a strong year with an expected annual adjusted EPS range of $7.15 to $7.45.This outcome underscores a continued robust operation, aligning with Terex's execute, innovate, and grow strategy, which aims at driving sustainable long-term growth across its operations.

Terex Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage - Acquisition of Environmental Solutions Group & Other Major Drivers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The European Union (EU) announced this week the proposed anti-dumping (AD) duties on aerial work platforms (AWP) made in China.</li><li>Sinoboom (not listed), Dingli (603338 CH, BUY), Genie (brand owned by Terex [TEX US, NR]) and JLG (brand owned by Oshkosh [OSK US, NR]) are subject to 56.1%, 31.3%, 25.6% and 23.6% AD duties, respectively.</li><li>Besides, other major AWP manufacturers that cooperated with the investigation are subject to 32% of AD duties, including Zoomlion (1157 HK / 000157 CH, BUY), XCMG (000425 CH, NR), Liugong (000528 CH, NR), Hangcha (603298 CH, NR), Lingong (not listed), Haulotte (PIG FP) etc. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The European Union (EU) announced this week the proposed anti-dumping (AD) duties on aerial work platforms (AWP) made in China.Sinoboom (not listed), Dingli (603338 CH, BUY), Genie (brand owned by Terex [TEX US, NR]) and JLG (brand owned by Oshkosh [OSK US, NR]) are subject to 56.1%, 31.3%, 25.6% and 23.6% AD duties, respectively.Besides, other major AWP manufacturers that cooperated with the investigation are subject to 32% of AD duties, including Zoomlion (1157 HK / 000157 CH, BUY), XCMG (000425 CH, NR), Liugong (000528 CH, NR), Hangcha (603298 CH, NR), Lingong (not listed), Haulotte (PIG FP) etc. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Overhang largely removed following EU’s preliminary results of AD duties on AWP

<ul><li>For Chinese machinery manufacturers, penetration overseas remains a longterm driver.</li><li>That said, with growth trend reversing since mid-2023 after 2-3 years of extraordinary growth, the way to overseas expansion will likely be bumpy in 2024E, especially when the overseas competitors are recovering from the supply chain bottleneck.</li><li>Geographically, we expect strong demand to continue in the US and the Middle East, but weakness in Europe and China. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For Chinese machinery manufacturers, penetration overseas remains a longterm driver.That said, with growth trend reversing since mid-2023 after 2-3 years of extraordinary growth, the way to overseas expansion will likely be bumpy in 2024E, especially when the overseas competitors are recovering from the supply chain bottleneck.Geographically, we expect strong demand to continue in the US and the Middle East, but weakness in Europe and China. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery / HDT – 2024 Outlook

<ul><li>Following a rally since early Feb, we believe the market has already priced in the upcoming recovery of machinery demand.</li><li>We see little upside potential in the near term, as (1) the recovery could be more seasonal (MoM) than structural (YoY), with sales of excavator (proxy for the sector) likely falling short of expectation in Mar; (2) We expect the strong credit growth will only translate into a moderate recovery of excavator demand this year (+10% YoY in our industry assumption).</li><li>Therefore, we are selective in our universe, and prefer only AWP (the only type of machinery that stands out by achieving 15% YoY growth in Jan). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following a rally since early Feb, we believe the market has already priced in the upcoming recovery of machinery demand.We see little upside potential in the near term, as (1) the recovery could be more seasonal (MoM) than structural (YoY), with sales of excavator (proxy for the sector) likely falling short of expectation in Mar; (2) We expect the strong credit growth will only translate into a moderate recovery of excavator demand this year (+10% YoY in our industry assumption).Therefore, we are selective in our universe, and prefer only AWP (the only type of machinery that stands out by achieving 15% YoY growth in Jan). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery – Near-Term Recovery More Seasonal than Structural

<ul><li>Major aerial work platform (AWP) manufacturers (Terex, Oshkosh) and rental company (United Rentals) in the US provide bullish guidance on 2023E outlook after reporting their 2022 results.</li><li>Key takeaways: (1) AWP manufacturers saw strong order flow with backlog visibility of &gt;12 months; (2) The mega projects, which are less macro reliant, will provide both rental companies and AWP manufacturers with growth certainty over the coming years; (3) manufacturers’ margin improvement trend will continue despite the fact that supply chain will remain a constraint this year, suggesting strong pricing power.</li><li>All these reaffirm our positive stance on the AWP sector this year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major aerial work platform (AWP) manufacturers (Terex, Oshkosh) and rental company (United Rentals) in the US provide bullish guidance on 2023E outlook after reporting their 2022 results.Key takeaways: (1) AWP manufacturers saw strong order flow with backlog visibility of &gt;12 months; (2) The mega projects, which are less macro reliant, will provide both rental companies and AWP manufacturers with growth certainty over the coming years; (3) manufacturers’ margin improvement trend will continue despite the fact that supply chain will remain a constraint this year, suggesting strong pricing power.All these reaffirm our positive stance on the AWP sector this year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery – Upbeat Guidance from US AWP Manufacturers

United States

Terex Corporation is a diversified global manufacturer operating in four business segments: aerial work platforms; construction; cranes; and materials processing.  Terex manufactures a broad range of equipment for use in various industries including the construction, infrastructure, quarrying, mining, shipping, transportation, refining, energy and utility industries.

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Terex Corp (TEX US)

Terex Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage - Acquisition of Environmental Solutions Group & Other Major Drivers

Terex Corporation reported its second quarter earnings for 2024, exhibiting solid performance amid varied global economic scenarios. The revenue...

Baptista Research

Capital Goods - Overhang largely removed following EU’s preliminary results of AD duties on AWP

The European Union (EU) announced this week the proposed anti-dumping (AD) duties on aerial work platforms (AWP) made in China.

CMB International

China Construction Machinery / HDT – 2024 Outlook

That said, with growth trend reversing since mid-2023 after 2-3 years of extraordinary growth, the way to overseas expansion will likely be bumpy...

CMB International

China Construction Machinery – Near-Term Recovery More Seasonal than Structural

Following a rally since early Feb, we believe the market has already priced in the upcoming recovery of machinery demand.

CMB International

China Construction Machinery – Upbeat Guidance from US AWP Manufacturers

Major aerial work platform (AWP) manufacturers (Terex, Oshkosh) and rental company (United Rentals) in the US provide bullish guidance on 2023E...

CMB International

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