Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
 Sea Sale: Tencent sold 14.5 mn shares in Sea, raising approximately USD 3 bn in cash – reducing Tencent’s position in Sea from 21.3% to 18.7%;   </li>
<li>
 Not A Surprise: Given mainland China’s crackdown on the country’s largest internet companies, Tencent’s disposal of Sea shares is not a surprise; and  </li>
<li>
 Other Stake Sales To Follow: Further divestitures of major stakes are likely if Tencent wishes to remain on the right side of mainland China’s Communist Party.    </li>
</ul>



 Sea Sale: Tencent sold 14.5 mn shares in Sea, raising approximately USD 3 bn in cash – reducing Tencent’s position in Sea from 21.3% to 18.7%;   

 Not A Surprise: Given mainland China’s crackdown on the country’s largest internet companies, Tencent’s disposal of Sea shares is not a surprise; and  

 Other Stake Sales To Follow: Further divestitures of major stakes are likely if Tencent wishes to remain on the right side of mainland China’s Communist Party.    


Tencent Holdings – From Sea To Shining Sea

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2022. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking company filings and other sources.</li>
<li>For readers who aren't familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex A-shares), including China ADRs. </li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


We take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2022. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking company filings and other sources.
For readers who aren't familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex A-shares), including China ADRs. 
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> ended on 31 December. The changes will be announced on 18 February and implemented on 4 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> is a potential inclusion, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> though both names are very close to the cutoffs.</li>
<li>Changes in the free-float adjustment factors could result in no change to the index, while there is an outside chance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> being included in the index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index ended on 31 December. The changes will be announced on 18 February and implemented on 4 March.

Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) is a potential inclusion, replacing Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) though both names are very close to the cutoffs.
Changes in the free-float adjustment factors could result in no change to the index, while there is an outside chance of Bilibili (9626 HK) being included in the index.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): One Potential Change with Caveats

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>JD.com break down wedge support will dominate trade in Q1 and is near tactical support for a tradable reaction rise. Tencent decline is on track from our 510 short zone.</li>
<li>The bearish wedge break does set up a C wave decline into a new lows and a macro long opportunity.</li>
<li>Tencent 510 short bet will pressure the 410 pivot support with increasing odds of a break toward our macro trough target.</li>
</ul>


JD.com break down wedge support will dominate trade in Q1 and is near tactical support for a tradable reaction rise. Tencent decline is on track from our 510 short zone.
The bearish wedge break does set up a C wave decline into a new lows and a macro long opportunity.
Tencent 510 short bet will pressure the 410 pivot support with increasing odds of a break toward our macro trough target.


ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> has had a torrid market debut in Indonesia, falling more than 50% from its IPO price given limited lock ups and poor appreciation of its business model.</li>
<li>The company continues to broaden its product offering for its high-growth Mitra business, entering logistics, property finance, and more recently Buy Now Pay Later helping increase platform stickiness.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) </a>is also developing a return-enhancing Shopify-like approach to its e-commerce business and valuations are starting to look appealing, with an FY22E EV/Gross profit of 14.3x.</li>
</ul>



Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) has had a torrid market debut in Indonesia, falling more than 50% from its IPO price given limited lock ups and poor appreciation of its business model.
The company continues to broaden its product offering for its high-growth Mitra business, entering logistics, property finance, and more recently Buy Now Pay Later helping increase platform stickiness.

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) is also developing a return-enhancing Shopify-like approach to its e-commerce business and valuations are starting to look appealing, with an FY22E EV/Gross profit of 14.3x.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Hitting Mitras with More Product

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Tencent Holdings – From Sea To Shining Sea

TENCENT: Tencent sold 14.5 mn shares in Sea, raising USD 3 bn and reducing its position from 21.3% to 18.7%, Other stake sales will follow.

Thomas J. Monaco

Aequitas 2022 Asia IPO Pipeline

We take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2022. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking company filings and...

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): One Potential Change with Caveats

Xinyi Solar could replace Evergrande Property Services in the HSCEI at the March rebalance. Changes in the FAF for the stocks could either mean no...

Brian Freitas

JD.com and Tencent Short and Bull Levels

JD.com break down wedge support will dominate trade in Q1 and is near tactical support for a tradable reaction rise. Tencent decline is on track...

Thomas Schroeder

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Hitting Mitras with More Product

Bukalapak continues to develop new products for both its Mitra and e-commerce business, which should help to improve take-rates with valuations now...

Angus Mackintosh

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