Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> will have the largest inflows due to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a> inclusion while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> will have the largest outflow due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> capping.</li>
<li>There will be passive selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings (5 HK)</a> for yet another rebalance due to capping of the stock in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.

Li Auto (2015 HK) will have the largest inflows due to the HSI inclusion while Xiaomi (1810 HK) will have the largest outflow due to HSTECH capping.
There will be passive selling in HSBC Holdings (5 HK) for yet another rebalance due to capping of the stock in the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Dec 2023)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, a premium EV brand by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.</li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.


Zeekr Pre-IPO - Quick Note - Recent Filing Updates - 007, Earnings on Track

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> is best positioned to capture post-COVID travel, especially in lower-tier cities. This is reflected in a 146.5% growth in 3Q23 adjusted net profit.</li>
<li>The cooperation with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> continues to bear fruits and will drive accelerated momentum as it leverages on QQ Browser, Weixin mini-program, and Tencent Docs.</li>
<li>3Q23 net cash increased 1.5x from the end-FY22 level and now represents 10.9% of market capitalisation. Its earnings valuations are attractive relative to both growth and peers.</li>
</ul>



Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) is best positioned to capture post-COVID travel, especially in lower-tier cities. This is reflected in a 146.5% growth in 3Q23 adjusted net profit.
The cooperation with Tencent (700 HK) continues to bear fruits and will drive accelerated momentum as it leverages on QQ Browser, Weixin mini-program, and Tencent Docs.
3Q23 net cash increased 1.5x from the end-FY22 level and now represents 10.9% of market capitalisation. Its earnings valuations are attractive relative to both growth and peers.


Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Rides on the Tourism Upswing

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US)</a> will take place at the close of trading on 8 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenbi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36640:1" rel="noopener">Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ysb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35982:1" rel="noopener">YSB (9885 HK)</a> will be added to the index and there are no deletions.</li>
<li>There is a big lock-up expiry in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ysb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35982:1" rel="noopener">YSB (9885 HK)</a> soon after the index inclusion and this could be an opportunity to access liquidity in the stock.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US) will take place at the close of trading on 8 December.

Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK) and YSB (9885 HK) will be added to the index and there are no deletions.
There is a big lock-up expiry in YSB (9885 HK) soon after the index inclusion and this could be an opportunity to access liquidity in the stock.


KWEB Index Rebalance: Fenbi (2469 HK) & YSB (9885 HK) Added

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 24th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan and Li Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 24th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan and Li Auto.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 24th): Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Tencent (700 HK)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Dec 2023)

The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across...

Brian Freitas

Zeekr Pre-IPO - Quick Note - Recent Filing Updates - 007, Earnings on Track

ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about the updates...

Sumeet Singh

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Rides on the Tourism Upswing

Tongcheng is thriving post-COVID, with a 146.5% growth in adjusted net profit in 3Q23. Cooperation with Tencent is driving momentum and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

KWEB Index Rebalance: Fenbi (2469 HK) & YSB (9885 HK) Added

Fenbi and YSB will be bought by the KWEB ETF at the close on 8 December. Fenbi also has some passive inflows at month end. YSB has a big lock up...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 24th): Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Dec 2023)

The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across...

Brian Freitas

Zeekr Pre-IPO - Quick Note - Recent Filing Updates - 007, Earnings on Track

ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about the updates...

Sumeet Singh

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Rides on the Tourism Upswing

​Tongcheng is thriving post-COVID, with a 146.5% growth in adjusted net profit in 3Q23. Cooperation with Tencent is driving momentum and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

KWEB Index Rebalance: Fenbi (2469 HK) & YSB (9885 HK) Added

Fenbi and YSB will be bought by the KWEB ETF at the close on 8 December. Fenbi also has some passive inflows at month end. YSB has a big lock up...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 24th): Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Xpeng, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tongcheng is thriving post-COVID, with a 146.5% growth in adjusted net profit in 3Q23. Cooperation with Tencent is driving momentum and...