Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The entire saga here of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teijin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5097:1" rel="noopener">Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)</a>'s disposal of its 55.1% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a> is being played out in the non-generally-public press. </li>
<li>There is reportedly a new piece of writing out late Thursday which suggests an approach.</li>
<li>I wrote about the "meaning" of words in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/infocom-4348-jp-the-meaning-of-binding-bids-and-250bn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:143766" rel="noopener">Infocom (4348 JP) - The Meaning of 'Binding Bids' and '¥250bn'</a> and now there is more nuance to parse.</li>
</ul>


The entire saga here of Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)'s disposal of its 55.1% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP) is being played out in the non-generally-public press. 
There is reportedly a new piece of writing out late Thursday which suggests an approach.
I wrote about the "meaning" of words in Infocom (4348 JP) - The Meaning of 'Binding Bids' and '¥250bn' and now there is more nuance to parse.


Infocom (4348 JP) - Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints

<ul>
<li>A variety of articles of recent from private media sources have suggested that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teijin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5097:1" rel="noopener">Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)</a> has its 55% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a> up for auction. </li>
<li>According to earlier articles, binding Second Round bids were due last week. According to an article out late last week, binding bids have been made, with some "around ¥250bn."</li>
<li>What that means for price may depend on what the "around ¥250bn" means. A brief exploration below. </li>
</ul>


A variety of articles of recent from private media sources have suggested that Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) has its 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP) up for auction. 
According to earlier articles, binding Second Round bids were due last week. According to an article out late last week, binding bids have been made, with some "around ¥250bn."
What that means for price may depend on what the "around ¥250bn" means. A brief exploration below. 


Infocom (4348 JP) - The Meaning of 'Binding Bids' and '¥250bn'

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a> have strong IPO debuts.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) and ZEEKR (ZK US) have strong IPO debuts.
Event-Driven developments China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Alps Logistics (9055 JP), Infocom Corp (4348 JP). 



Weekly Deals Digest (12 May) - China TCM, GA Pack, HEC CJ Pharma, CPMC, Alps Logistics, Infocom

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teijin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5097:1" rel="noopener">Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)</a> wants to sell its 55% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a>. The rumoured bidders are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a>, Blackstone and KKR. </li>
<li>Based on precedents, the offer structure will likely be structured such that Teijin provides an irrevocable NOT to accept but vote in favour of share consolidation at the EGM.</li>
<li>Bloomberg suggests that Infocom could be valued at JPY200 billion. If this refers to market cap, the tender offer is JPY3,472, a 16.5% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) wants to sell its 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP). The rumoured bidders are Sony Corp (6758 JP), Blackstone and KKR. 
Based on precedents, the offer structure will likely be structured such that Teijin provides an irrevocable NOT to accept but vote in favour of share consolidation at the EGM.
Bloomberg suggests that Infocom could be valued at JPY200 billion. If this refers to market cap, the tender offer is JPY3,472, a 16.5% premium to the last close.


Infocom (4348 JP): Rumoured Tender Offer as Teijin Seeks to Exit

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 38 adds/36 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 4.35% and a two-way trade of JPY 461bn (US$3.24bn).</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that will have same way flow from other index trackers within a few weeks of the JPX Nikkei 400 Index rebalance.</li>
</ul>


There are 38 adds/36 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 4.35% and a two-way trade of JPY 461bn (US$3.24bn).
There are a few stocks that will have same way flow from other index trackers within a few weeks of the JPX Nikkei 400 Index rebalance.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Names

Japan

KANEKA CORPORATION manufactures and sells a wide range of synthetic resins, and chemicals for foods and medicines.  The Company operates sales/manufacturing subsidiaries in Belgium, Malaysia, Singapore, and US.

LINTEC Corporation manufactures and markets adhesive products and paper.  The Company's pressure-sensitive adhesives are used in a wide range of applications such as labeling, sealing, and packaging, as well as marking and window filming in the architecture and automotive industries.  Lintec also produces packaging, labeling, and printing machines.

DIC Corp. is a chemical company that specializes in printing inks, organic pigments, and thermosetting resins.  The Company also manufactures polymers, specialty plastics and compounds, and others which include building materials, pressure-sensitive adhesives materials, and biochemicals.

FUJIMI INCORPORATED manufactures silicon wafer polishing materials.  The Company also produces mirror surface finishing materials and other related products.

ZEON CORPORATION produces synthetic rubbers, latex, and resins.  The Company's products are used as tires and other auto parts, and materials for electronic components.

OSAKA SODA CO., LTD. is a major producer of caustic soda and other chemical products. The Company markets its products in North America and Europe.

NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO., LTD. manufactures and sells basic and fine chemicals, synthetic resins, and catalysts.  The Company's products include acrylic acid, super absorbent polymers, and automobile catalysts.  Nippon Shokubai exports to Germany, US, and Singapore.

Ube Industries, Ltd. produces and sells chemical products such as nylon resins, plastics and synthetic rubbers, fine chemicals, and pharmaceutical bulk compounds and intermediates. The Company also manufactures cement, construction materials, and machineries.

C. Uyemura & Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells plating chemicals.  The Company also manufactures plating machinery.  C. Uyemura markets its products in North America and Asia.

Denka Co., Ltd. is a diversified manufacturer and supplier of chemical products, including basic chemicals, agrochemicals, petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, and construction materials.  The Company's primary products include styrene resins, polyvinyl chloride, and other synthetic resins.

Fufeng Group Limited manufactures corn-based bio-chemical products utilizing fermentation technology. The Company's products include glutamic acid and xanthan gum.

Nanning Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets organic and inorganic industrial chemicals.  The Company's products include chlorine and alkali products, pesticides, and disinfectants.

Nanning Chemical Industry Co., (600301 CH)

Zhejiang Transfar Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of organic fluorine and organic silicone such as water and oil repellent, pre-treating agents, dyeing auxiliaries, finishing treating auxiliaries, conning oil, and optical brightening agent.

Scientex Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries manufactures polyvinyl chloride (PVC), polyurethane leather sheetings, packaging materials, bricks, and automotive parts.  Scientex also operates in property investment, development, and leasing, as well as deals in securities.

DCM Shriram Ltd. is a business conglomerate. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates agricultural, energy and other businesses that provides sugar, fertilizers, crop care chemicals, seeds, caustic soda, chlorine, polyvinyl chloride (PVC) compounds and resin, calcium carbide, cement, windows, and textiles.

Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co.,Ltd. manufactures chemical products. The Company produces additives, methyl maltol, ethyl maltol, liquid ammonia, ammonium bicarbonate, melamine, formaldehyde, nitric acids, and other products. Anhui Jinhe Industrial also operates import and export businesses.

Inner Mongolia Lantai Industrial Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets salt for both consumer and industrial uses.  The Company also produces metal sodium, liquid chlorine, ADC blowing agent, carotene, and other related chemicals.

Inner Mongolia Lantai Industrial (600328 CH)

Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells pesticides and other chemical materials, including herbicides and organophosphorus insecticides, organosilicon materials, and other chemicals. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also sells coal, generates electric power, and manufactures crystal products.

Hunan Nanling Industry Explosive Material Co Ltd primarily manufactures and markets industrial explosives and fuses.

Taiwan Fertilizer Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets chemical fertilizers.  The Company predominately sells its products in Taiwan.

Teijin Ltd manufactures polyester and other fibers including nylon, acetate, aramid, and polyvinyl chloride for apparel and industrial materials.  Teijin also makes polyester films used in advanced magnetic media and electronics equipment through a joint venture with Dupont.  The Company also produces pharmaceuticals, medical products, and information system equipment.

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Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)

Infocom (4348 JP) - Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints

The deal for Infocom (and Teijin's stake) is being leaked slowly to an exclusive paywalled press and Street minorities are left with less...

Travis Lundy

Infocom (4348 JP) - The Meaning of 'Binding Bids' and '¥250bn'

Infocom has run 50% in a month since we learned Sony might bid against PE firms to take the co private. If one looks at this as SOTP, it's...

Travis Lundy

Weekly Deals Digest (12 May) - China TCM, GA Pack, HEC CJ Pharma, CPMC, Alps Logistics, Infocom

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (China TCM, GA Pack, HEC CJ Pharma, CPMC, Alps Logistics, Infocom, Hollysys, Adbri, Qantm...

Arun George

Infocom (4348 JP): Rumoured Tender Offer as Teijin Seeks to Exit

The rumoured JPY200 billion valuation is reasonable. If this refers to market cap, the tender offer is JPY3,472, a 16.5% premium to the last close....

Arun George

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Names

There are 38 adds and 36 deletes for the JPXNK400 Index. The adds have outperformed the deletes and there is a fair bit to trade on a lot of...

Brian Freitas

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