Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<p>India-based data management and analytics firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eclerx-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17312:1" rel="noopener">eClerx Services (ECLX IN)</a> released their public announcement document for their latest buyback after market close on 20th September 2021. The buyback was initially proposed in a board meeting on 13th August 2021 and later approved by shareholders (postal ballot) on 16th September 2021.  </p><p>The buyback price has been set at INR2,850/share and eClerx expects to buy up to 1,063,157 shares through a Tender Offer. The total size of the buyback will be approximately INR3bn (~US$41mn). </p><p><em>More below the fold. </em></p><hr><div class="content-remarks"><p><strong>For more on Indian Buybacks, please see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-india-buy-back-guide-2021-regulations-patterns" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:56892" rel="noopener">Quiddity India Buy-Back Guide 2021: Regulations &amp; Patterns</a> </strong></p></div>

India-based data management and analytics firm eClerx Services (ECLX IN) released their public announcement document for their latest buyback after market close on 20th September 2021. The buyback was initially proposed in a board meeting on 13th August 2021 and later approved by shareholders (postal ballot) on 16th September 2021.  The buyback price has been set at INR2,850/share and eClerx expects to buy up to 1,063,157 shares through a Tender Offer. The total size of the buyback will be approximately INR3bn (~US$41mn). More below the fold. For more on Indian Buybacks, please see Quiddity India Buy-Back Guide 2021: Regulations &amp; Patterns 

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We recommend a BUY rating and assign a 19x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 70/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,310/share, implying an upside of 16% from CMP.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We recommend a BUY rating and assign a 19x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 70/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,310/share, implying an upside of 16% from CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tech Mahindra: Strong Execution; Healthy Deal Pipeline

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

<p>HSIE Results Daily Tech Mahindra: We maintain a BUY rating on Tech Mahindra (TechM), based on better-than-expected revenue performance, healthy net-new deal wins (in both telecom and enterprise segments), and in-line margins. TechM delivered 3.9% QoQ CC growth, which was broad-based across verticals. The focus on large deal wins (net-new TCV of USD 815mn), following a healthy Q4 (Telefonica deal), improves growth visibility. The key attributes that underscore our positive outlook are (1) the largest deal win in the healthcare vertical (patient care modernisation); (2) healthy growth in BPS; (3) increase in intake of freshers after six quarters; (4) improvement in 5G related deals (~50% of telecom deals are related to 5G); and (5) continued growth momentum in enterprise segment, led by technology, BFSI and manufacturing verticals.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

HSIE Results Daily Tech Mahindra: We maintain a BUY rating on Tech Mahindra (TechM), based on better-than-expected revenue performance, healthy net-new deal wins (in both telecom and enterprise segments), and in-line margins. TechM delivered 3.9% QoQ CC growth, which was broad-based across verticals. The focus on large deal wins (net-new TCV of USD 815mn), following a healthy Q4 (Telefonica deal), improves growth visibility. The key attributes that underscore our positive outlook are (1) the largest deal win in the healthcare vertical (patient care modernisation); (2) healthy growth in BPS; (3) increase in intake of freshers after six quarters; (4) improvement in 5G related deals (~50% of telecom deals are related to 5G); and (5) continued growth momentum in enterprise segment, led by technology, BFSI and manufacturing verticals.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily 30 July 2021: Tech Mahindra, SRF Ltd, Colgate Palmolive and More

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

<p>In USD terms, revenue growth of 3.9% QoQ CC in 1QFY22 was above our estimate mainly on account of Communications (+2.9% v/s expectation of flat growth). The Enterprise business reported a growth of 4.7% QoQ CC. New deal wins fell 20% QoQ to USD815m (0.6x BTB), but stayed ahead of past trends, while the qualified pipeline remained at historical peaks. EBIT margin dipped by 130bp QoQ in 1QFY22 (led by wage hike, visa cost and seasonality in Communications), but was 90bp above our estimate.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

In USD terms, revenue growth of 3.9% QoQ CC in 1QFY22 was above our estimate mainly on account of Communications (+2.9% v/s expectation of flat growth). The Enterprise business reported a growth of 4.7% QoQ CC. New deal wins fell 20% QoQ to USD815m (0.6x BTB), but stayed ahead of past trends, while the qualified pipeline remained at historical peaks. EBIT margin dipped by 130bp QoQ in 1QFY22 (led by wage hike, visa cost and seasonality in Communications), but was 90bp above our estimate.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Improving outlook, but operational metrics stretched

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Nomura Research Institute / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>On 21 June 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-research-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18129:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Research Institute Ltd (4307 JP)</a> announced (<a href="https://ir.nri.com/jp/ir/news/auto_20210621452515/pdfFile.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>) a buyback program of up to 20,000,000 shares (3.30% of shares out) spending up to ¥60 billion, with the program running from 22 June 2021 to 30 December 2021, with possible buying on market and on ToSTNeT-3, but excluding dates in the 10 days around the day after the quarterly results announcements. </p><p>The company ALSO announced a ToSTNeT-3 buyback tomorrow morning for up to 16,925,200 shares at today's closing price of ¥3,545/share. </p><p>That 16.925mm shares at that price = ¥59,999,834,000 so one can assume that if the ToSTNeT-3 buyback is completed to the full extent, that will mean the buyback program will be done tomorrow before the market opens.</p><p>The announcement suggested that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:742:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Holdings (8604 JP)</a> intended to sell as many as 14.105 million shares in the buyback leaving 2.815mm shares for other holders if they want to sell Monday's close. </p><p>But I remind readers that a) short selling is allowed, and b) it is entirely <em>pro rata</em> (with some niggling little procedural exceptions) so if people stepped in to sell, they would probably get a decent portion of their offer sold at that price. </p><p>More below the fold. </p>

On 21 June 2021, Nomura Research Institute Ltd (4307 JP) announced (link) a buyback program of up to 20,000,000 shares (3.30% of shares out) spending up to ¥60 billion, with the program running from 22 June 2021 to 30 December 2021, with possible buying on market and on ToSTNeT-3, but excluding dates in the 10 days around the day after the quarterly results announcements. The company ALSO announced a ToSTNeT-3 buyback tomorrow morning for up to 16,925,200 shares at today's closing price of ¥3,545/share. That 16.925mm shares at that price = ¥59,999,834,000 so one can assume that if the ToSTNeT-3 buyback is completed to the full extent, that will mean the buyback program will be done tomorrow before the market opens.The announcement suggested that Nomura Holdings (8604 JP) intended to sell as many as 14.105 million shares in the buyback leaving 2.815mm shares for other holders if they want to sell Monday's close. But I remind readers that a) short selling is allowed, and b) it is entirely pro rata (with some niggling little procedural exceptions) so if people stepped in to sell, they would probably get a decent portion of their offer sold at that price. More below the fold. 

Nomura Research Institute ToSTNeT-3 Buyback

India

Tech Mahindra Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company markets software for telecommunications equipment manufacturers, telecom service providers, software vendors, and systems integrators.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tech Mahindra (TECHM IN)

EClerx Buyback: Adding Fuel to Momentum

India based data management firm eClerx Services launched a US$40mn buyback which is expected to open next month. Fundamentally, the stock appears...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tech Mahindra: Strong Execution; Healthy Deal Pipeline

We recommend a BUY rating and assign a 19x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 70/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,310/share, implying an upside...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily 30 July 2021: Tech Mahindra, SRF Ltd, Colgate Palmolive and More

HSIE Results Daily Tech Mahindra: We maintain a BUY rating on Tech Mahindra (TechM), based on better-than-expected revenue performance, healthy net...

HDFC Securities

Improving outlook, but operational metrics stretched

In USD terms, revenue growth of 3.9% QoQ CC in 1QFY22 was above our estimate mainly on account of Communications (+2.9% v/s expectation of flat...

Motilal Oswal

Nomura Research Institute ToSTNeT-3 Buyback

NRI is one of the higher-multiple (forward consensus EV/EBIT or EV/EBITDA) Japanese IT service companies. There is a PRE-OPEN ToSTNeT-3 buyback...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EClerx Buyback: Adding Fuel to Momentum

India based data management firm eClerx Services launched a US$40mn buyback which is expected to open next month. Fundamentally, the stock appears...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tech Mahindra: Strong Execution; Healthy Deal Pipeline

We recommend a BUY rating and assign a 19x P/E multiple to its FY23E earnings of Rs 70/share which gives a TP of Rs 1,310/share, implying an upside...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily 30 July 2021: Tech Mahindra, SRF Ltd, Colgate Palmolive and More

HSIE Results Daily Tech Mahindra: We maintain a BUY rating on Tech Mahindra (TechM), based on better-than-expected revenue performance, healthy net...

HDFC Securities

Improving outlook, but operational metrics stretched

In USD terms, revenue growth of 3.9% QoQ CC in 1QFY22 was above our estimate mainly on account of Communications (+2.9% v/s expectation of flat...

Motilal Oswal

Nomura Research Institute ToSTNeT-3 Buyback

NRI is one of the higher-multiple (forward consensus EV/EBIT or EV/EBITDA) Japanese IT service companies. There is a *PRE-OPEN* ToSTNeT-3 buyback...

Travis Lundy

NRI is one of the higher-multiple (forward consensus EV/EBIT or EV/EBITDA) Japanese IT service companies. There is a PRE-OPEN ToSTNeT-3 buyback...