European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>FTSE-250 constituent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vistry-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21858:1" rel="noopener">Vistry Group (VTY LN)</a> has agreed to buy rival <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/countryside-partnerships-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35428:1" rel="noopener">Countryside Partnerships (CSP LN)</a> in a recommended cash&amp;stock deal that values embattled Countryside at c.£1.25 billion (lower than previous offers).</li>
<li>Consideration is 1 CSP LN=0.255 VTY LN+60p, 9.1% premium, 7.0x EV/Fwd EBITDA and 1.3x P/Fwd BV, which seems cheap. The sector is pricing in many potential bad news.</li>
<li>Gross spread is +2.1%. It has only been negative during three days since the deal announcement. I would wait for the spread to become negative before taking a position. </li>
</ul>


FTSE-250 constituent Vistry Group (VTY LN) has agreed to buy rival Countryside Partnerships (CSP LN) in a recommended cash&amp;stock deal that values embattled Countryside at c.£1.25 billion (lower than previous offers).
Consideration is 1 CSP LN=0.255 VTY LN+60p, 9.1% premium, 7.0x EV/Fwd EBITDA and 1.3x P/Fwd BV, which seems cheap. The sector is pricing in many potential bad news.
Gross spread is +2.1%. It has only been negative during three days since the deal announcement. I would wait for the spread to become negative before taking a position. 


Vistry/Countryside Partnerships:  Agreed Offer

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE) continue to hold above critical support levels and market dynamics remain largely positive. Until this changes, we believe global equities are headed higher in the coming weeks and months. Additionally, we are reiterating our overweight recommendations on small-caps and value as we believe outperformance from these areas is likely to continue.</p>

Major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE) continue to hold above critical support levels and market dynamics remain largely positive. Until this changes, we believe global equities are headed higher in the coming weeks and months. Additionally, we are reiterating our overweight recommendations on small-caps and value as we believe outperformance from these areas is likely to continue.

Global Equity Strategy: Small-Caps and Value Stocks Remain in Focus

Asia Ex-J Consumer/ Transport analyst

Valerie Law, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>It has been slightly over half a year since I joined this community, so here is a brief summary of stock calls that worked and stock calls that didn't work for me. </p><blockquote><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>But first, a note of thanks to the SK community</strong></p></blockquote><p>Besides doing an update, it is also an opportunity to thank everyone here at Smartkarma for your wonderful support (especially the Data Desk team) and collaborative work with fellow insight providers. Looking forward to a stellar year ahead together!</p><h2>Table showing IPO deals covered</h2><table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
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<td><strong>IPO</strong></td>
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</tbody></table>…

It has been slightly over half a year since I joined this community, so here is a brief summary of stock calls that worked and stock calls that didn't work for me. But first, a note of thanks to the SK communityBesides doing an update, it is also an opportunity to thank everyone here at Smartkarma for your wonderful support (especially the Data Desk team) and collaborative work with fellow insight providers. Looking forward to a stellar year ahead together!Table showing IPO deals covered

IPO

…

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Last week the immediate shock from the Brexit eased considerably. It has become clear that all the Brexit vote really did was guarantee a prolonged period of uncertainty. It has also become clear that it will take months to gauge the impact that this prolonged period of uncertainty will have on both the Eurozone and global economy.</span></p>

Last week the immediate shock from the Brexit eased considerably. It has become clear that all the Brexit vote really did was guarantee a prolonged period of uncertainty. It has also become clear that it will take months to gauge the impact that this prolonged period of uncertainty will have on both the Eurozone and global economy.

What Investors Should Be Asking About A Brexit

Frontier and emerging markets (Vietnam)

Dylan Waller

Nomadic Equity

<p><strong>Transition from the Irish Stock Exchange to the London Stock Exchange</strong></p><p>Dragon Capital’s fund <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/22754" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22754">Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited</a>, which currently trades on the Irish Stock Exchange, may trade on the main market of the London Stock Exchange next month.  The company plans to hold an Extraordinary General Meeting on June the 21st to vote on the approval of this transfer, which is expected to potentially take place next month.  The fund currently manages over $850 million, and is most notable for…</p>

Transition from the Irish Stock Exchange to the London Stock ExchangeDragon Capital’s fund Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited, which currently trades on the Irish Stock Exchange, may trade on the main market of the London Stock Exchange next month.  The company plans to hold an Extraordinary General Meeting on June the 21st to vote on the approval of this transfer, which is expected to potentially take place next month.  The fund currently manages over $850 million, and is most notable for…

Dragon Capital's VEIL Fund: A 3rd London Listing for Vietnam May Emerge Next Month

United Kingdom

Taylor Wimpey plc, through its subsidiaries, conducts business in the housing, construction and engineering, and property development and investment sectors. The Group has international housing activities in the United Kingdom and Spain.

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Taylor Wimpey (TW/ LN)

Vistry/Countryside Partnerships: Agreed Offer

Vistry agreed to acquire the entire share capital of Countryside in a stock swap transaction via scheme of arrangement, at a lower price than that...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Global Equity Strategy: Small-Caps and Value Stocks Remain in Focus

We are reiterating our overweight recommendations on small-caps and value as we believe outperformance from these areas is likely to continue.

Vermilion Research

A Summary of Stock Calls and Actions

It has been slightly over half a year since I joined this community, so here is a brief summary of stock calls that worked and stock calls that...

Valerie Law, CFA

What Investors Should Be Asking About A Brexit

Last week the immediate shock from the Brexit eased considerably. It has become clear that all the Brexit vote really did was guarantee a prolonged...

David Riedel

Dragon Capital's VEIL Fund: A 3rd London Listing for Vietnam May Emerge Next Month

Transition from the Irish Stock Exchange to the London Stock ExchangeDragon Capital’s fund Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited, which currently...

Nomadic Equity

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