Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and offsetting the robust Indian business. The financial risk profile deteriorated significantly, due to lower earnings and soft cash flows. Liquidity was inadequate, driven by the poor cash flows and large dividends. We expect the steel industry's operating environment in FY 2024-25 to be constructive and support Tata Steel's earnings. However, the company's solid earnings for the Indian operations should be offset by the restructuring of the UK business, for which another GBP 1.6 bn of additional costs is projected. It is unclear if there is light at the end of the tunnel.

  Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and offsetting the robust Indian business. The financial risk profile deteriorated significantly, due to lower earnings and soft cash flows. Liquidity was inadequate, driven by the poor cash flows and large dividends.   We expect the steel industry's operating environment in FY 2024-25 to be constructive and support Tata Steel's earnings. However, the company's solid earnings for the Indian operations should be offset by the restructuring of the UK business, for which another GBP 1.6 bn of additional costs is projected. It is unclear if there is light at the end of the tunnel. 

Tata Steel - Earnings Flash - FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/lippo-malls-indonesia-retail-trust' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust</a></li><li><a href='/entities/vedanta-resources-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Vedanta Resources</a></li><li><a href='/entities/renew-energy-global-plc' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>ReNew Energy Global </a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail TrustVedanta ResourcesReNew Energy Global China Jinmao HoldingsGeely Autoand more...

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-2979'>Tata Steel Thailand</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Tata Steel Thailand

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>GAIL's Rs. 12,940-crore Urja Ganga gas pipeline delayed to March 2025 completion date</li>
<li>Tata Steel UK pursues legal action against Unite union over planned July 8 strike</li>
<li>IREDA could unlock Rs. 22-lakh crore debt market for renewables energy</li>
</ul>


GAIL's Rs. 12,940-crore Urja Ganga gas pipeline delayed to March 2025 completion date
Tata Steel UK pursues legal action against Unite union over planned July 8 strike
IREDA could unlock Rs. 22-lakh crore debt market for renewables energy


#21 India Insight: Zomato Tax Demand, Tata Steel Legal Action, NTPC Rs. 12,000 Fund-Raise

Tata Steel has released its Q2/23-24 results. Consolidated production and sales volume declined 3% and 2% y-o-y, respectively, to 7.31 mn tons and 7.07 mn tons, respectively. Consolidated revenue fell 7% to INR 55,682 cr, driven by lower volume and prices. EBITDA was INR 4,315 cr, with a margin of 8%. EBITDA margin/ton was INR 6,106. The Indian business continued to perform well, but the European business continued to weigh on the overall performance. While the results were decent, the Indian business' good performance was offset by increasing losses in the UK operations. The financial risk profile is deteriorating. Positively, liquidity is solid, with a large cash position. Key near-term credit drivers would be the restructuring of the UK business and a GBP 1.25 bn green steel manufacturing project in the UK.

  Tata Steel has released its Q2/23-24 results. Consolidated production and sales volume declined 3% and 2% y-o-y, respectively, to 7.31 mn tons and 7.07 mn tons, respectively. Consolidated revenue fell 7% to INR 55,682 cr, driven by lower volume and prices. EBITDA was INR 4,315 cr, with a margin of 8%. EBITDA margin/ton was INR 6,106. The Indian business continued to perform well, but the European business continued to weigh on the overall performance.   While the results were decent, the Indian business' good performance was offset by increasing losses in the UK operations. The financial risk profile is deteriorating. Positively, liquidity is solid, with a large cash position. Key near-term credit drivers would be the restructuring of the UK business and a GBP 1.25 bn green steel manufacturing project in the UK. 

Tata Steel - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

India

Tata Steel Ltd. is an integrated steel producer which manufactures a variety of steel products. The Company's products include steel ball bearing rings, alloy steel bearing rings, annular forgings, flanges, bearings, welded steel tubes, cold rolled strips and seamless tubes. Tata Steel also manufactures metallurgical machinery.

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Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)

Tata Steel - Earnings Flash - FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 19 Jan 2024

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Tata Steel Thailand

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

#21 India Insight: Zomato Tax Demand, Tata Steel Legal Action, NTPC Rs. 12,000 Fund-Raise

Delays in GAIL's gas pipeline, Tata Steel UK legal action, and IREDA's potential to unlock renewable energy debt market.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Tata Steel - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Tata Steel has released its Q2/23-24 results. Consolidated production and sales volume declined 3% and 2% y-o-y, respectively, to 7.31 mn tons...

Lucror Analytics

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tata Steel - Earnings Flash - FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 19 Jan 2024

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Tata Steel Thailand

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

#21 India Insight: Zomato Tax Demand, Tata Steel Legal Action, NTPC Rs. 12,000 Fund-Raise

​Delays in GAIL's gas pipeline, Tata Steel UK legal action, and IREDA's potential to unlock renewable energy debt market.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Tata Steel - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Tata Steel has released its Q2/23-24 results. Consolidated production and sales volume declined 3% and 2% y-o-y, respectively, to 7.31 mn tons...

Lucror Analytics

Delays in GAIL's gas pipeline, Tata Steel UK legal action, and IREDA's potential to unlock renewable energy debt market.