Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shriram-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:253:1" rel="noopener">Shriram Finance (SHFL IN)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/upl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20776:1" rel="noopener">UPL Ltd (UPLL IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>We have <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> marginally ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> as lower probability replacements for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>The impact on the stocks will be large in terms of delivery volume to trade, but the stocks have moved a lot over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, Shriram Finance (SHFL IN) should replace UPL Ltd (UPLL IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the March rebalance.
We have Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) marginally ahead of Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) as lower probability replacements for Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) in the index.
The impact on the stocks will be large in terms of delivery volume to trade, but the stocks have moved a lot over the last few months.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: One Change for Sure; Second One Is a Maybe

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Our honourable Finance Minister Nirmala Sitaraman presented the Interim Budget 2024-25 today.</li><li>Being the “vote of account” budget before the Union Election 2024, the expectations of the budget were naturally low.</li><li>The finance minister delivered along the expected lines with an emphasis on the continuation of higher capital expenditure on top of the medium-term flavour of populism.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Our honourable Finance Minister Nirmala Sitaraman presented the Interim Budget 2024-25 today.Being the “vote of account” budget before the Union Election 2024, the expectations of the budget were naturally low.The finance minister delivered along the expected lines with an emphasis on the continuation of higher capital expenditure on top of the medium-term flavour of populism.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our October 26, 2023 Int'l Compass we discussed our expectations for a bounce in global equities (MSCI ACWI). So far, that has been the low.</li>
<li>Then, in our November 2, 2023 report, we discussed the bullish implications of the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency), before discussing expectations for a year-end rally on Nov.16</li>
<li>We see a massive opportunity in global gold/silver miners with gold nearing multi-year breakout. Also buy opportunities: Utilities in Europe, UK, and India; Materials, Industrials, Transportation, Real Estate, and Technology</li>
</ul>


In our October 26, 2023 Int'l Compass we discussed our expectations for a bounce in global equities (MSCI ACWI). So far, that has been the low.
Then, in our November 2, 2023 report, we discussed the bullish implications of the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency), before discussing expectations for a year-end rally on Nov.16
We see a massive opportunity in global gold/silver miners with gold nearing multi-year breakout. Also buy opportunities: Utilities in Europe, UK, and India; Materials, Industrials, Transportation, Real Estate, and Technology


Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight; Buying Global Gold/Silver Miners + More Buys

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Tata Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies</a> (TT) is looking to raise around US$370m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Tata Technologies (TT) is looking to raise around US$370m in its upcoming India IPO.
Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers.
In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Tata Technologies IPO - Parent and Peer Rally Helps

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a> (TT) is looking to raise around US$370m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison and provided our initial thoughts on valutions. In this note we talk about the RHP updates.</li>
</ul>



Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) (TT) is looking to raise around US$370m in its upcoming India IPO.
Tata Technologies is a global engineering services company offering product development and digital solutions, including turnkey solutions, to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their tier 1 suppliers.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison and provided our initial thoughts on valutions. In this note we talk about the RHP updates.


Tata Technologies Pre-IPO - RHP Updates - Headline Growth Picking Up

India

Adani Transmission Limited provides utility services. The Company offers electricity generation, transmission, and distribution services. Adani Transmission conducts its business globally.

Torrent Power Limited generates, transmits and distributes power. The Company also implements large power projects in India.

SJVN Limited develops, owns, and operates Hydro-electric power projects in India. The Company operates power generating plants in states that include Himachal Pradesh,

CESC Limited generates and supplies electricity in and around Kolkata. The Company also provides consultancy services for setting up power plants and for erecting transformers and electrical equipment.

India Grid Trust operates as an infrastructure investment trust. The Company invests, designs, finances, constructs, and maintains power transmission projects. India Grid Trust serves customers in India.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. generates, distributes, and transmits electricity. The Company also builds highways, roads, bridges, rapid transit systems, airports, and other projects. Reliance Infrastructure is a member of the Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group.

JSW Energy Limited generates power by using Corex gas and coal. The Company, through its subsidiary, also operates lignite thermal power plant in Rajasthan and has a capacity to produce 3,140 megawatts of electricity. JSW is also present in the power trading and transmission businesses.

GAIL India Limited processes and distributes natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas. The Company is a Government of India undertaking.

NHPC Ltd is a hydro-power development company based in India. The Company has constructed approximately 11 hydro-power projects in India and abroad with a total installed capacity of 2554.35 MW.

Gujarat Gas Limited provides natural gas. The Company supplies piped natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Gujarat Gas serves customers in India.

CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited (CKI) operates as a real assets investment company. The Company invests in energy, transportation, water, and electricity generation sectors. CKI serves customers worldwide.

Tenaga Nasional Berhad transmits, distributes, and sells electricity under license issued by the Director General of Electricity Supply. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures, sells and repairs transformers and switchgears. Tenaga Nasional also provides project management and consultancy, engineering works and energy project development services.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP owns and operates infrastructure assets. The Company operates utilities, transport, energy, and communications infrastructure assets in North and South America, Australia, and Europe.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP US)

Alliant Energy Corporation provides public-utility service to customers in the Midwest.  The Company's utility subsidiaries serve electric, natural gas, and water customers in Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

The Kansai Electric Power Company, Incorporated generates electricity from hydroelectric, thermal, geothermal, and nuclear power sources.  The Company distributes electricity to Osaka and the surrounding Kansai area.  Kansai Electric also constructs and maintains electrical power facilities.

Terna - Rete Elettrica Nazionale SpA transmits electricity over the high-voltage and extra-high voltage grid in Italy.  Through subsidiaries, the Company owns a substantial share of the national electricity transmission grid.

Terna - Rete Elettrica Nazionale (TRN IM)

EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A. generates, supplies and distributes electricity and the supply of gas in Portugal and Spain. Through subsidiaries, the Company is involved with electricity distribution, generation and supply in Brazil, and wind power promotion, construction and operations in Spain, Portugal, France and Belgium.

Fortum Oyj provides a full range of energy related products and services. The Company's activities cover the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity and heat and steam, as well as the operation of power plants and energy-related services. Fortum operates worldwide but mainly in Northern Europe.

Hydro One Limited is an electrical transmission and distribution utility in Ontario. The company delivers electricity safely and reliably to customers across the province, and to large industrial customers and municipal utilities. Hydro One owns and operates Ontario's transmission and low-voltage distribution network.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A. (Eletrobras) generates, transmits, and markets electricity through regional companies in Brazil.  The Company plans, finances, coordinates, and supervises expansion projects for its subsidiaries.

Tata Power Company Limited generates and supplies electricity in Mumbai and its suburbs. The Company also constructs and operates independent power plants as well as captive power plants for industrial concerns. Tata Power also provides various services related to electricity distribution, erects and commissions transmission lines, and is diversifying into the telecommunications market.

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Tata Power (TPWR IN)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: One Change for Sure; Second One Is a Maybe

One change for the NIFTY50 in March is a given. A second change is a possibility. Three changes, a lot to ask for. The potential changes have moved...

Brian Freitas

Post Budget Analysis and Stock Ideas

The finance minister delivered along the expected lines with an emphasis on the continuation of higher capital expenditure on top of the medium...

Axis Direct

Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight; Buying Global Gold/Silver Miners + More Buys

Our bullish outlook on global equities $ACWI remains intact. We are also upgrading Brazil $EWZ to overweight. We continue to expect a rally into...

Vermilion Research

Tata Technologies IPO - Parent and Peer Rally Helps

Tata Technologies (TT) is looking to raise around US$370m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Tata Technologies Pre-IPO - RHP Updates - Headline Growth Picking Up

Tata Technologies is looking to raise around US$370m in its upcoming India IPO. We have looked at its past performance and valuation in our earlier...

Sumeet Singh

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