External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We hosted the ISG index call (link) and the key message was recovery in the business environment ahead</li><li>While ISG maintained the CY23 outlook on growth in managed services deal bookings (+5% for CY23), recovery ahead is based on (1) improving pipeline for new scope projects (vs renewals &amp; extension heavy recently that drove vendor consolidation) (2) approval threshold for projects and transition timelines normalising with stable pricing environment (3) pipeline build-up for SIs with increased enterprise interest in captives and (4) stability to return in BFSI, which was impacted by executive movement earlier in enterprises</li><li>The current disconnect between the growth in bookings and soft revenue growth is largely due to the impact on discretionary services</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted the ISG index call (link) and the key message was recovery in the business environment aheadWhile ISG maintained the CY23 outlook on growth in managed services deal bookings (+5% for CY23), recovery ahead is based on (1) improving pipeline for new scope projects (vs renewals &amp; extension heavy recently that drove vendor consolidation) (2) approval threshold for projects and transition timelines normalising with stable pricing environment (3) pipeline build-up for SIs with increased enterprise interest in captives and (4) stability to return in BFSI, which was impacted by executive movement earlier in enterprisesThe current disconnect between the growth in bookings and soft revenue growth is largely due to the impact on discretionary servicesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for a bunch of indices ended last week though the announcement of the changes will take 4-6 weeks.</li>
<li>There are no rebalance implementations in the coming week though focus will move to the implementation of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger and index changes the following week.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to China focused ETF with a lot of money going into Semiconductor and Chip focused ETFs.</li>
</ul>


The review period for a bunch of indices ended last week though the announcement of the changes will take 4-6 weeks.
There are no rebalance implementations in the coming week though focus will move to the implementation of the HDFC Limited/ HDFC Bank merger and index changes the following week.
There were big inflows to China focused ETF with a lot of money going into Semiconductor and Chip focused ETFs.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KQ150, LQ45, PCOMP, HDFC/HDFCB, Delta Electronics, Redox IPO, AMFI

Tube Investments of India  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations and some stocks have seen large price moves over the last couple of weeks.</li>
<li>Active managers would have started realigning their portfolios and that could continue for a couple of weeks. Unwind long positions into strength.</li>
</ul>


We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations and some stocks have seen large price moves over the last couple of weeks.
Active managers would have started realigning their portfolios and that could continue for a couple of weeks. Unwind long positions into strength.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Outperformance Continues

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We met the management of Tata Elxsi (TELX) to evaluate the demand environment</li><li>The key highlights include (1) strong momentum in the transportation vertical (2) expected recovery post-Q1 in the media &amp; communication and healthcare &amp; life sciences verticals (stronger recovery in the second half of FY24) and (3) operating band within 28-29% PBTM for FY24E notwithstanding investments in capacity expansion</li><li>We increase earnings estimates (~3% for FY25E), factoring in a recovery in revenue growth, but valuation remains expensive</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We met the management of Tata Elxsi (TELX) to evaluate the demand environmentThe key highlights include (1) strong momentum in the transportation vertical (2) expected recovery post-Q1 in the media &amp; communication and healthcare &amp; life sciences verticals (stronger recovery in the second half of FY24) and (3) operating band within 28-29% PBTM for FY24E notwithstanding investments in capacity expansionWe increase earnings estimates (~3% for FY25E), factoring in a recovery in revenue growth, but valuation remains expensiveContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tata Elxsi: Recovering but Valuation Remains Expensive.  Maintain SELL

India

Tata Elxsi Limited manufactures computers and workstations besides providing system design, software development and integration services. The Group supplies its products to a number of industries, including the automotive, metals, consumer products, finance, IT & Communications, energy, chemicals, engineering, pharmaceuticals, entertainment and agro industries.

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Tata Elxsi Ltd (TELX IN)

IT Sector Update: Recovery ahead

The current disconnect between the growth in bookings and soft revenue growth is largely due to the impact on discretionary service

HDFC Securities

IT Sector Update - Recovery Ahead

The current disconnect between the growth in bookings and soft revenue growth is largely due to the impact on discretionary services

HDFC Securities

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KQ150, LQ45, PCOMP, HDFC/HDFCB, Delta Electronics, Redox IPO, AMFI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Outperformance Continues

There could be 34 stocks migrating between size segments at the next reclassification. Active fund managers would have started rebalancing their...

Brian Freitas

Tata Elxsi: Recovering but Valuation Remains Expensive. Maintain SELL

We increase earnings estimates (~3% for FY25E), factoring in a recovery in revenue growth, but valuation remains expensive

HDFC Securities

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