Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Re-Introducing our weekly Namaste India 2.0. This iteration builds on our earlier version and is designed for investors keen to track developments in India.</li>
<li>Nuclear power currently contributes less than 2% of India's total electricity generation, indicating significant room for growth.</li>
<li>Going ahead, with earnings taking center stage, the high valuations commanded by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:282:1" rel="noopener">iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA US)</a> are likely to get challenged.  </li>
</ul>


Re-Introducing our weekly Namaste India 2.0. This iteration builds on our earlier version and is designed for investors keen to track developments in India.
Nuclear power currently contributes less than 2% of India's total electricity generation, indicating significant room for growth.
Going ahead, with earnings taking center stage, the high valuations commanded by iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA US) are likely to get challenged.  


Namaste India 🙏 | India’s Atomic Ambitions

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The IT sector growth is in the middle of its recovery, having bottomed out two quarters ago, and is expected to achieve a high single-digit over the next three quarters</li><li>Current stock prices reflect increased confidence in this trajectory</li><li>AI is proving to be a net positive for the sector, and with GCC growth differential peaking, concerns around terminal growth are easing, supporting sustained demand</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IT sector growth is in the middle of its recovery, having bottomed out two quarters ago, and is expected to achieve a high single-digit over the next three quartersCurrent stock prices reflect increased confidence in this trajectoryAI is proving to be a net positive for the sector, and with GCC growth differential peaking, concerns around terminal growth are easing, supporting sustained demandContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT Sector (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Recovery in progress

<ul><li>We hosted over 15 companies and several industry experts at the HDFC Securities’ 8th annual IT conference</li><li>Key takeaways included (1) continued (prosaic) commentary on cost optimisation focus but signs of improvement in demand</li><li>(2) stable to upward bias in pricing and some improvement in the decision cycle</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted over 15 companies and several industry experts at the HDFC Securities’ 8th annual IT conferenceKey takeaways included (1) continued (prosaic) commentary on cost optimisation focus but signs of improvement in demand(2) stable to upward bias in pricing and some improvement in the decision cycleContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following SEBI's review of eligibility criteria for entry/exit of stocks in the derivatives segment, there could be 18 deletions/79 inclusions in the F&amp;O segment over the next 6 months.</li>
<li>The introduction of some stocks in the F&amp;O segment could lead to their inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank</a> and CNXIT indices and weight changes in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next50</a>.</li>
<li>The inclusion of stocks in indices with a fixed number of constituents will result in deletion of some stocks from these indices. There should be methodology changes too.</li>
</ul>


Following SEBI's review of eligibility criteria for entry/exit of stocks in the derivatives segment, there could be 18 deletions/79 inclusions in the F&amp;O segment over the next 6 months.
The introduction of some stocks in the F&amp;O segment could lead to their inclusion in the NIFTY, SENSEX, Nifty Bank and CNXIT indices and weight changes in the Nifty Next50.
The inclusion of stocks in indices with a fixed number of constituents will result in deletion of some stocks from these indices. There should be methodology changes too.


India: Index Implications of Additions to the F&O Segment

<ul><li>IT sector (coverage universe) continues to transition from a protracted IT upgrade cycle and low discretionary spending to some normalisation in H2FY25E which is our ‘base’ case</li><li>We believe that the growth/earnings cut cycle has bottomed out, but the pace of recovery remains uncertain, especially with lingering macro events over the next couple of quarters</li><li>The relative under-ownership in the sector can still provide tactical opportunities, even as valuations relative to benchmarks are not compelling enough in aggregate—remain selective with preference for TCS within tier-1 and Persistent Systems within mid-tier IT.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT sector (coverage universe) continues to transition from a protracted IT upgrade cycle and low discretionary spending to some normalisation in H2FY25E which is our ‘base’ caseWe believe that the growth/earnings cut cycle has bottomed out, but the pace of recovery remains uncertain, especially with lingering macro events over the next couple of quartersThe relative under-ownership in the sector can still provide tactical opportunities, even as valuations relative to benchmarks are not compelling enough in aggregate—remain selective with preference for TCS within tier-1 and Persistent Systems within mid-tier IT.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Tata Elxsi Limited manufactures computers and workstations besides providing system design, software development and integration services. The Group supplies its products to a number of industries, including the automotive, metals, consumer products, finance, IT & Communications, energy, chemicals, engineering, pharmaceuticals, entertainment and agro industries.

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Tata Elxsi Ltd (TELX IN)

Namaste India 🙏 | India’s Atomic Ambitions

Weekly Namaste India 2.0 for investors tracking India; nuclear power at 2% of electricity generation, room for growth; high valuations of iShares...

Pranav Bhavsar

IT Sector (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Recovery in progress

The IT sector growth is in the middle of its recovery, having bottomed out two quarters ago, and is expected to achieve a high single-digit over...

HDFC Securities

IT Sector: Recovery Signs

Key takeaways included (1) continued (prosaic) commentary on cost optimisation focus but signs of improvement in demand (2) stable to upward bias...

HDFC Securities

India: Index Implications of Additions to the F&O Segment

With 79 stocks potentially added to the FnO market in the next few months, there will be a lot of changes for the NIFTY, NEXT50, NSEBANK, CNXIT,...

Brian Freitas

IT: More of the same is good news

IT sector (coverage universe) continues to transition from a protracted IT upgrade cycle and low discretionary spending to some normalisation in...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Namaste India 🙏 | India’s Atomic Ambitions

​Weekly Namaste India 2.0 for investors tracking India; nuclear power at 2% of electricity generation, room for growth; high valuations of iShares...

Pranav Bhavsar

IT Sector (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Recovery in progress

The IT sector growth is in the middle of its recovery, having bottomed out two quarters ago, and is expected to achieve a high single-digit over...

HDFC Securities

IT Sector: Recovery Signs

Key takeaways included (1) continued (prosaic) commentary on cost optimisation focus but signs of improvement in demand (2) stable to upward bias...

HDFC Securities

India: Index Implications of Additions to the F&O Segment

With 79 stocks potentially added to the FnO market in the next few months, there will be a lot of changes for the NIFTY, NEXT50, NSEBANK, CNXIT,...

Brian Freitas

IT: More of the same is good news

IT sector (coverage universe) continues to transition from a protracted IT upgrade cycle and low discretionary spending to some normalisation in...

HDFC Securities

Weekly Namaste India 2.0 for investors tracking India; nuclear power at 2% of electricity generation, room for growth; high valuations of iShares...