Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following 2 years of exceptional performance, share prices have started to correct. The demand outlook remains robust, but revenue and earnings growth rates are decelerating off a high base.</li>
<li>The key catalysts will be the FY2023 outlook and guidance, due April 2022, and the impact of increased shareholder returns.</li>
<li>Based on their recent financial performance, short- to medium-term growth outlook, shareholder return policies, and current valuation levels, the sector remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>


Following 2 years of exceptional performance, share prices have started to correct. The demand outlook remains robust, but revenue and earnings growth rates are decelerating off a high base.
The key catalysts will be the FY2023 outlook and guidance, due April 2022, and the impact of increased shareholder returns.
Based on their recent financial performance, short- to medium-term growth outlook, shareholder return policies, and current valuation levels, the sector remains unattractive.


Indian IT Services: Medium-Term Outlook Unattractive as Growth Slows, on Premium Valuation Levels

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>India moves to largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers.  Current underweight the highest on record.</li>
<li>Among Value managers, India saw net fund outflows of $322m, the underweight increase by -1.92% and a further 7.7% of managers move to underweight over the last 6-months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> is the key underweight, whilst <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-airtel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:953:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larsen-toubro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2499:1" rel="noopener">Larsen &amp; Toubro </a>have been avoided by EM Value managers altogether.</li>
</ul>


India moves to largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers.  Current underweight the highest on record.
Among Value managers, India saw net fund outflows of $322m, the underweight increase by -1.92% and a further 7.7% of managers move to underweight over the last 6-months.

Reliance Industries (RIL IN) is the key underweight, whilst Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) and Larsen &amp; Toubro have been avoided by EM Value managers altogether.


Value Funds Move to Record Underweight in India

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> saw very strong demand for its mega US$10bn+ IPO.</li>
<li>While other IPO markets were in torpor, a number of placements continued to flow in.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) saw very strong demand for its mega US$10bn+ IPO.
While other IPO markets were in torpor, a number of placements continued to flow in.


ECM Weekly (16th Jan 2022) - LG Energy, Hyundai Engineering, Nippon Paint, Sunac, JL Mag, JREITs

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tata Consultancy Services Ltd (TCS) reported a 4.3% revenue growth QoQ in Q3FY22 in Rupee terms, much in line with our expectations</li><li>The company’s revenues stood at Rs 48,885 Cr, up 16.3% YoY and 4.3% QoQ</li><li>We recommend a HOLD rating on the stock and assign a 31x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 135.2/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 4,200/share</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd (TCS) reported a 4.3% revenue growth QoQ in Q3FY22 in Rupee terms, much in line with our expectationsThe company’s revenues stood at Rs 48,885 Cr, up 16.3% YoY and 4.3% QoQWe recommend a HOLD rating on the stock and assign a 31x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 135.2/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 4,200/shareContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TCS: A Mixed Bag Result; Revenue In-Line But Margins Decline

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<p>TCS reported 3QFY22 revenue of USD6.52b, up 4.0% QoQ in constant currency (CC) above our estimate of 3.2% QoQ growth. 3Q topline was driven by Communication, Technology and Regional markets, while Manufacturing and Retail verticals dragged down growth. EBIT margin contracted 60bp QoQ to 25.0%, 100bp lower than our estimate of 26.0%, as TCS augmented its employee intake (all-time high at 28k), along with a spike in sub-contracting cost.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

TCS reported 3QFY22 revenue of USD6.52b, up 4.0% QoQ in constant currency (CC) above our estimate of 3.2% QoQ growth. 3Q topline was driven by Communication, Technology and Regional markets, while Manufacturing and Retail verticals dragged down growth. EBIT margin contracted 60bp QoQ to 25.0%, 100bp lower than our estimate of 26.0%, as TCS augmented its employee intake (all-time high at 28k), along with a spike in sub-contracting cost.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Healthy topline beat to assuage growth concern; outlook strong

India

Tata Consultancy Services, a division of Tata Sons Limited, is a global IT services organization that provides a comprehensive range of IT services to its clients in diverse industries. The Company, caters to finance and banking, insurance, telecommunication, transportation, retail, manufacturing, pharmaceutical, and utility industries.

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Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)

Indian IT Services: Medium-Term Outlook Unattractive as Growth Slows, on Premium Valuation Levels

In this insight, I take a longer-term view on the 4 largest companies in the Indian IT Services sector, analysing their recent financial...

Wium Malan, CFA

Value Funds Move to Record Underweight in India

India moves to the largest underweight country holding among EM Value managers. Current underweight the highest on record.

Steven Holden

ECM Weekly (16th Jan 2022) - LG Energy, Hyundai Engineering, Nippon Paint, Sunac, JL Mag, JREITs

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

TCS: A Mixed Bag Result; Revenue In-Line But Margins Decline

We recommend a HOLD rating on the stock and assign a 31x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 135.2/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 4,200/share,...

Axis Direct

Healthy topline beat to assuage growth concern; outlook strong

TCS reported 3QFY22 revenue of USD6.52b, up 4.0% QoQ in constant currency (CC) above our estimate of 3.2% QoQ growth. 3Q topline was driven by...

Motilal Oswal

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