Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

While 2020 began on an optimistic note, sentiment has changed significantly with the outbreak of the COVID-19 coronavirus, which has spread rapidly across continents.آ  In our view, key concerns include: [1] potential demand impact on industries with significant human interaction; [2] potential impact on the economy if consumer sentiment deteriorates materially; [3] potential impact on labour force productivity; [4] potential impact on the supply chains of industries; and [5] potential impact on financial markets. We are cautious on companies which are highly levered, cyclical, have limited liquidity or significant debt maturities in the near term. In the report, we assess the impact of COVID-19 on: [1] Europe, China/Asia and the Americas; [2] supply chains; and [3] the sectors and companies under our coverage.

  While 2020 began on an optimistic note, sentiment has changed significantly with the outbreak of the COVID-19 coronavirus, which has spread rapidly across continents.آ    In our view, key concerns include: [1] potential demand impact on industries with significant human interaction; [2] potential impact on the economy if consumer sentiment deteriorates materially; [3] potential impact on labour force productivity; [4] potential impact on the supply chains of industries; and [5] potential impact on financial markets. We are cautious on companies which are highly levered, cyclical, have limited liquidity or significant debt maturities in the near term.   In the report, we assess the impact of COVID-19 on: [1] Europe, China/Asia and the Americas; [2] supply chains; and [3] the sectors and companies under our coverage. 

COVID-19: Impact On Global High Yield - Lucror Analytics

As in 2018, Brexit and US-China trade relations took centre stage in 2019. With a phase-one trade deal between the US and China reached and an uncontrolled Brexit averted for the time being, almost all asset classes recorded strong performance during the year, including European HY. Going forward, Brexit and US-China trade relations may well remain major market drivers. Other potential drivers include the coronavirus outbreak in China, tensions in the Middle East and the development of US-EU trade relations. Our HY investment outlook opens with a discussion on the key macro developments that defined 2019, and the outlook for 2020. We then provide an overview of the HY market performance, and offer our top trade ideas for the year. Finally, we zoom in on the developments for key sectors and companies in our coverage universe, including outlooks and trade recommendations.

   As in 2018, Brexit and US-China trade relations took centre stage in 2019. With a phase-one trade deal between the US and China reached and an uncontrolled Brexit averted for the time being, almost all asset classes recorded strong performance during the year, including European HY. Going forward, Brexit and US-China trade relations may well remain major market drivers. Other potential drivers include the coronavirus outbreak in China, tensions in the Middle East and the development of US-EU trade relations.    Our HY investment outlook opens with a discussion on the key macro developments that defined 2019, and the outlook for 2020. We then provide an overview of the HY market performance, and offer our top trade ideas for the year. Finally, we zoom in on the developments for key sectors and companies in our coverage universe, including outlooks and trade recommendations. 

European High Yield Outlook 2020 - Lucror Analytics

Differentiated global TMT & Internet Research

New Street Research Insights

New Street Research

Research is provided by our team of experienced analysts. Our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focused on fundamentals and valuation of telecoms and internet names globally. New Street is headquartered in London with offices in New York, Singapore and Australia. 

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
Global Emerging Market Telecoms
Japan Telecoms
Asian Internet
Pan European Healthcare
US Healthcare
Japanese Healthcare

We also provide debt research on:
Pan European Telecom Services and Cable

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

New Street Research attended this year's Mobile World Congress in Barcelona recently. While the move to 5G will bring huge increases in localized wireless capacity, the transition around 2020 to 5G looks increasingly likely to be smooth for many operators, with little impact on capex or revenue trajectories. 5G does not change the key economics of network densification. Where these are good, 5G will thrive. Where they are poor, 5G deployment will be slower. Only in markets with strong asymmetry…

New Street Research attended this year's Mobile World Congress in Barcelona recently. While the move to 5G will bring huge increases in localized wireless capacity, the transition around 2020 to 5G looks increasingly likely to be smooth for many operators, with little impact on capex or revenue trajectories. 5G does not change the key economics of network densification. Where these are good, 5G will thrive. Where they are poor, 5G deployment will be slower. Only in markets with strong asymmetry…

Report from Mobile World Congress: The Transition to 5G Comes into Focus.

Equity Bottom-Up

Five days after the surprise Brexit vote, much remains to be clarified in terms of future direction. If anything, the various political moves in the UK and the EU in recent days suggest we face a period of real uncertainty ahead. That said, as the fallout continues it is worth looking for investment opportunities.  We continue to review the market for dislocations in the telecoms sector as we believe a lot of the near-term movements have been predominantly driven by fund flow/ liquidity and…

Five days after the surprise Brexit vote, much remains to be clarified in terms of future direction. If anything, the various political moves in the UK and the EU in recent days suggest we face a period of real uncertainty ahead. That said, as the fallout continues it is worth looking for investment opportunities.  We continue to review the market for dislocations in the telecoms sector as we believe a lot of the near-term movements have been predominantly driven by fund flow/ liquidity and…

Post Brexit Fallout Continues: Looking for Opportunities in European Telcos?

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Fears of the impact of Britain's exit from the European Union have pushed down the prices of most European communication stocks. We think this is an overreaction as we view telecom as a sector somewhat immune to geopolitical changes. In our view, Brexit will have no effect on cross-border transfers of voice or data as mobile termination rates for voice have already been reduced to negligible levels and for data have been cut in half and will be down to local roaming rates by the end of 2017.Within the U.K., we think BT will likely be the most affected as the majority of its revenue is from the U.K. Its only non-U.K. revenue is from its global services division. However, we think what losses do accrue will be offset by stronger revenue from the global services division as revenue from other currencies is translated into a weaker pound.Analysts: Allan C. Nichols, CFA

Fears of the impact of Britain's exit from the European Union have pushed down the prices of most European communication stocks. We think this is an overreaction as we view telecom as a sector somewhat immune to geopolitical changes. In our view, Brexit will have no effect on cross-border transfers of voice or data as mobile termination rates for voice have already been reduced to negligible levels and for data have been cut in half and will be down to local roaming rates by the end of 2017.Within the U.K., we think BT will likely be the most affected as the majority of its revenue is from the U.K. Its only non-U.K. revenue is from its global services division. However, we think what losses do accrue will be offset by stronger revenue from the global services division as revenue from other currencies is translated into a weaker pound.Analysts: Allan C. Nichols, CFA

We Believe Brexit Fears Have Unfairly Driven Down Shares of Most European Communication Stocks

United Kingdom

TalkTalk Telecom Group PLC provides telecommunications services.  The Company provides fixed line communications services, serving residential and business-to-business customers in the United Kingdom.

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Talktalk Telecom (TALK LN)

COVID-19: Impact On Global High Yield - Lucror Analytics

While 2020 began on an optimistic note, sentiment has changed significantly with the outbreak of the COVID-19 coronavirus, which has spread...

Lucror Analytics

European High Yield Outlook 2020 - Lucror Analytics

As in 2018, Brexit and US-China trade relations took centre stage in 2019. With a phase-one trade deal between the US and China reached and an...

Lucror Analytics

Report from Mobile World Congress: The Transition to 5G Comes into Focus.

New Street Research attended this year's Mobile World Congress in Barcelona recently. While the move to 5G will bring huge increases in localized...

New Street Research

Post Brexit Fallout Continues: Looking for Opportunities in European Telcos?

Five days after the surprise Brexit vote, much remains to be clarified in terms of future direction. If anything, the various political moves in...

New Street Research

We Believe Brexit Fears Have Unfairly Driven Down Shares of Most European Communication Stocks

Fears of the impact of Britain's exit from the European Union have pushed down the prices of most European communication stocks. We think this is...

Morningstar, Inc.

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