Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q1 2023 revenues of $16.72 billion, at the bottom end of the guided range, down 16.1% sequentially and 4.8% compared to the year ago period</li>
<li>TSMC pegged Q2 2023 as their trough quarter of the current semiconductor downturn</li>
<li>2023 CapEx of $34 billion at the midpoint, while flat sequentially, represents yet another in a long series of big bets on the future of semiconductors</li>
</ul>


Q1 2023 revenues of $16.72 billion, at the bottom end of the guided range, down 16.1% sequentially and 4.8% compared to the year ago period
TSMC pegged Q2 2023 as their trough quarter of the current semiconductor downturn
2023 CapEx of $34 billion at the midpoint, while flat sequentially, represents yet another in a long series of big bets on the future of semiconductors


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

iMotion Automotive Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imotion-automotive-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36900:1" rel="noopener">IMotion Automotive Technology (1812706D CH)</a> is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. </li>
<li>The company possesses advanced full-stack R&amp;D capabilities including self-developed algorithms and hardware-software co-design capabilities. It provides two AD domain controller product lines, and the self-designed iDC series. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



IMotion Automotive Technology (1812706D CH) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. 
The company possesses advanced full-stack R&amp;D capabilities including self-developed algorithms and hardware-software co-design capabilities. It provides two AD domain controller product lines, and the self-designed iDC series. 
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


IMotion Automotive Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - But Profitability Still a Black Box

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) is by far the most dominant stock holding among active EM investors.</li>
<li>TSMC is owned by 87.5% of EM funds with an average weight of 6.1%, it is also the largest portfolio holding for 64.5% of managers.  </li>
<li>Despite high levels of positioning, there are no obvious signs that managers are scaling back positions. The risk of not holding TSMC may be greater than playing the contrarian.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) is by far the most dominant stock holding among active EM investors.
TSMC is owned by 87.5% of EM funds with an average weight of 6.1%, it is also the largest portfolio holding for 64.5% of managers.  
Despite high levels of positioning, there are no obvious signs that managers are scaling back positions. The risk of not holding TSMC may be greater than playing the contrarian.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC is cutting its 2023E capex plans by 12% according to Taiwan's EDN. The company will also report earnings this Thursday.</li>
<li>TSMC suppliers ASML and Lam Research will also be reporting this week. Realtek will report this week as well.</li>
<li>Delta Thailand valuation still precarious relative to Delta Taiwan. Apple has continued to outperform the Quanta &amp; Pegatron pair.</li>
</ul>


TSMC is cutting its 2023E capex plans by 12% according to Taiwan's EDN. The company will also report earnings this Thursday.
TSMC suppliers ASML and Lam Research will also be reporting this week. Realtek will report this week as well.
Delta Thailand valuation still precarious relative to Delta Taiwan. Apple has continued to outperform the Quanta &amp; Pegatron pair.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Cutting Capex, Earnings This Week; Suppliers ASML & Lam Also Will Report

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (A) (300750 CH)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kimberly-clark-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2292:1" rel="noopener">Kimberly Clark (KMB US)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackberry-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25472:1" rel="noopener">BlackBerry Ltd (BB CN)</a></strong> </li>
<li>For the twenty-one weeks since inception ended 14 April the combined innovation portfolio was +3.6%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&amp;P500 +4.3%, Nasdaq +8.8%, Russell2000 -3.7%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +6.2%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>For the same period the small cap innovation portfolio was up +5.9%, the mid cap portfolio was up +4.4% and the large cap portfolio was up +3.4%</li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are CATL (A) (300750 CH) , Kimberly Clark (KMB US) and BlackBerry Ltd (BB CN) 
For the twenty-one weeks since inception ended 14 April the combined innovation portfolio was +3.6%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&amp;P500 +4.3%, Nasdaq +8.8%, Russell2000 -3.7%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +6.2%, all in US$ terms
For the same period the small cap innovation portfolio was up +5.9%, the mid cap portfolio was up +4.4% and the large cap portfolio was up +3.4%


The Innovations Portfolios - Week Twenty One

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC. Betting Big Is Nothing New

Q1 2023 revenues of $16.72 billion, at the bottom end of the guided range, down 16.1% QoQ and 4.8% YoY. Q2 will be the trough. 2023 CapEx at $34...

William Keating

IMotion Automotive Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - But Profitability Still a Black Box

IMotion Automotive Technology (1812706D CH) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so...

Ethan Aw

TSMC: Crowded Trade?

Active EM managers are heavily positioned in TSMC. It is the largest portfolio holding for 64.6% of the funds in our analysis. But is the risk of...

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Cutting Capex, Earnings This Week; Suppliers ASML & Lam Also Will Report

Delta Thailand valuation still precarious relative to Delta Taiwan. Apple has continued to outperform the Quanta & Pegatron pair.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Innovations Portfolios - Week Twenty One

For the twenty-one weeks since inception ended 14 April the innovation small cap portfolio was up 5.9%, mid cap portfolio was up 4.4% and the large...

Pyari Menon

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