Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The yearly growth target could approach 25% YoY in 2024.</li>
<li>TSMC's CoWoS demand continues to rise, with capacity expected to increase by approximately another 5% in 2024.</li>
<li>TSMC's stock price has risen by 55% in Taiwan and by 66.3% in US markets this year. We believe it has the potential to continue increasing further.</li>
</ul>


The yearly growth target could approach 25% YoY in 2024.
TSMC's CoWoS demand continues to rise, with capacity expected to increase by approximately another 5% in 2024.
TSMC's stock price has risen by 55% in Taiwan and by 66.3% in US markets this year. We believe it has the potential to continue increasing further.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Nokia and Foxconn are collaborating to manufacture 5G products in northern Vietnam, potentially boosting the country's tech industry.</li><li>Huawei's entry into the automotive tier-1 market raises questions about its impact on traditional car manufacturers.</li><li>The UK semiconductor industry and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) are highlighted at London Tech Week, showcasing their importance in the tech world.</li></ul>

Nokia and Foxconn are collaborating to manufacture 5G products in northern Vietnam, potentially boosting the country's tech industry.Huawei's entry into the automotive tier-1 market raises questions about its impact on traditional car manufacturers.The UK semiconductor industry and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) are highlighted at London Tech Week, showcasing their importance in the tech world.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Jun-2024): 5G products made by Nokia and Foxconn in northern Vietnam.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +21.3% Premium; Trading at New +15-25% Range This Year</li>
<li>ASE: +12.7% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Fresh Short Level</li>
<li>CHT: +1.2% Premium; Good Level to Short Relative to History</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +21.3% Premium; Trading at New +15-25% Range This Year
ASE: +12.7% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Fresh Short Level
CHT: +1.2% Premium; Good Level to Short Relative to History


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Global semi sales for April '24 were $46.4 billion,  +15.8% YoY &amp; +1.1% MoM</li>
<li>WSTS now forecasts a 16.1% increase in 2024 semi sales, up from 13.1% in their previous forecast</li>
<li>We think the WSTS forecast for Memory is too high &amp; their forecast for Logic is too low. Excluding memory, the WSTS forecast reflects just 3.1% growth in 2024.</li>
</ul>


Global semi sales for April '24 were $46.4 billion,  +15.8% YoY &amp; +1.1% MoM
WSTS now forecasts a 16.1% increase in 2024 semi sales, up from 13.1% in their previous forecast
We think the WSTS forecast for Memory is too high &amp; their forecast for Logic is too low. Excluding memory, the WSTS forecast reflects just 3.1% growth in 2024.


Global Semi Sales YTD 2024 & Outlook: The Good & The Not So Good

<ul>
<li>AI technology is driving sustainability efforts while posing environmental risks, as discussed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at London Tech Week 2024.</li>
<li>AI is revolutionizing computing and task optimization through advanced PCs and architectures, with AMD CEO predicting its dominance in the future and emphasizing Taiwan's crucial role in the tech industry.</li>
<li>Google is investing $5 billion in expanding its Singapore Data Center and Cloud Region campus, Apple is introducing VisionOS for spatial computing, and the UK is seeking Taiwanese partnerships for high-tech collaborations, while also focusing on privacy with Apple Intelligence at WWDC.</li>
</ul>


AI technology is driving sustainability efforts while posing environmental risks, as discussed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at London Tech Week 2024.
AI is revolutionizing computing and task optimization through advanced PCs and architectures, with AMD CEO predicting its dominance in the future and emphasizing Taiwan's crucial role in the tech industry.
Google is investing $5 billion in expanding its Singapore Data Center and Cloud Region campus, Apple is introducing VisionOS for spatial computing, and the UK is seeking Taiwanese partnerships for high-tech collaborations, while also focusing on privacy with Apple Intelligence at WWDC.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.

TSMC's strong growth outlook for 2024, driven by increasing CoWoS demand and impressive stock price performance, suggests continued success ahead.

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Jun-2024): 5G products made by Nokia and Foxconn in northern Vietnam.

Nokia and Foxconn are teaming up to produce 5G products in northern Vietnam, while Huawei makes gains in automotive tier-1 and London Tech Week...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

Latest analysis for Taiwan ADR premiums including key levels to long or short the ADRs' premium or discount to their respective local Taiwan shares.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Global Semi Sales YTD 2024 & Outlook: The Good & The Not So Good

Global semi sales for April '24 were $46.4 billion, +15.8% YoY & +1.1% MoM. Excluding memory, the latest WSTS forecast reflects just 3.1% growth...

William Keating

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.

AI is driving sustainability and innovation, but comes with environmental risks, while tech giants like Nvidia, AMD, Google, and Apple are making...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): CoWoS Demand Continues to Increase in 2024.

​TSMC's strong growth outlook for 2024, driven by increasing CoWoS demand and impressive stock price performance, suggests continued success ahead.

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Jun-2024): 5G products made by Nokia and Foxconn in northern Vietnam.

Nokia and Foxconn are teaming up to produce 5G products in northern Vietnam, while Huawei makes gains in automotive tier-1 and London Tech Week...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

Latest analysis for Taiwan ADR premiums including key levels to long or short the ADRs' premium or discount to their respective local Taiwan shares.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Global Semi Sales YTD 2024 & Outlook: The Good & The Not So Good

Global semi sales for April '24 were $46.4 billion, +15.8% YoY & +1.1% MoM. Excluding memory, the latest WSTS forecast reflects just 3.1% growth...

William Keating

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.

AI is driving sustainability and innovation, but comes with environmental risks, while tech giants like Nvidia, AMD, Google, and Apple are making...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TSMC's strong growth outlook for 2024, driven by increasing CoWoS demand and impressive stock price performance, suggests continued success ahead.