Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Vanguard's order visibility is about two months, and its order backlog is also about two months now.</li>
<li>Vanguard's goal is to establish a 12" wafer Fab, which we estimate will likely be viable around 2026F.</li>
<li>We believe that technology nodes below 28nm HKMG, specifically 40nm and below, would be suitable for transfer.</li>
</ul>


Vanguard's order visibility is about two months, and its order backlog is also about two months now.
Vanguard's goal is to establish a 12" wafer Fab, which we estimate will likely be viable around 2026F.
We believe that technology nodes below 28nm HKMG, specifically 40nm and below, would be suitable for transfer.


VIS (5347:TT): The Outlook Is a Bit Slower in 4Q23F

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul><li>First, let’s talk about Huawei. I want to highlight how lackadaisically the export restrictions have even been applied.</li><li>BIS granted validated end-user status to SMIC in 2007, which meant that as late as 2020, multiple SMIC entities were still receiving tools from American companies.</li><li>BIS got lobbied by tool makers to undo commerce control list regulations in 2018. Also, AMEC has outright stolen tools from US companies.</li></ul>

First, let’s talk about Huawei. I want to highlight how lackadaisically the export restrictions have even been applied.BIS granted validated end-user status to SMIC in 2007, which meant that as late as 2020, multiple SMIC entities were still receiving tools from American companies.BIS got lobbied by tool makers to undo commerce control list regulations in 2018. Also, AMEC has outright stolen tools from US companies.

Huawei and Kirin 9000S, Memory Markets, Intel, Nordic, and Broadcom TPUs

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>TSMC, MediaTek, ASPEED and Nanya all announced August revenues with MoM growth, albeit YoY comps remind us that semiconductors are still very much in the depths of a downturn</li>
<li>Global semi sales for July continued their MoM increase for the fifth consecutive month. YTD semi sales are down 18.7% YoY</li>
<li>MediaTek and TSMC announced that the former has just produced its first chip on the latter's 3nm process. Volume production of the Dimensity SOC will be in H2'24. </li>
</ul>


TSMC, MediaTek, ASPEED and Nanya all announced August revenues with MoM growth, albeit YoY comps remind us that semiconductors are still very much in the depths of a downturn
Global semi sales for July continued their MoM increase for the fifth consecutive month. YTD semi sales are down 18.7% YoY
MediaTek and TSMC announced that the former has just produced its first chip on the latter's 3nm process. Volume production of the Dimensity SOC will be in H2'24. 


Semiconductor Events Deserving Your Attention @9/9/23

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia will report its earnings today U.S.-time, we outline the key Taiwan AI supply chain names to watch around the earnings.</li>
<li>TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance despite media reports questioning whether a further downgrade was coming.</li>
<li>Hon Hai produces over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware according to media reports.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia will report its earnings today U.S.-time, we outline the key Taiwan AI supply chain names to watch around the earnings.
TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance despite media reports questioning whether a further downgrade was coming.
Hon Hai produces over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware according to media reports.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Supply Chain Names to Watch for Nvidia's Earnings Today

<ul>
<li>
<p>Alphawave reported last week.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>The results were not good; they were great.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>I actually am excited to see Tony and the team execute like this. Bookings are growing, and while revenue has not come out yet, it seems very likely they will hit their 2023 revenue estimates.</p>
<div></div>
</li>
</ul>



Alphawave reported last week.


The results were not good; they were great.


I actually am excited to see Tony and the team execute like this. Bookings are growing, and while revenue has not come out yet, it seems very likely they will hit their 2023 revenue estimates.




Alphawave, TSMC and Lam Research Follow-up, DISCO and Lasertec

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

VIS (5347:TT): The Outlook Is a Bit Slower in 4Q23F

Vanguard's order outlook is a bit slower in 4Q23F. Vanguard's goal is to establish a 12" wafer Fab, which we estimate will likely be viable with...

Patrick Liao

Huawei and Kirin 9000S, Memory Markets, Intel, Nordic, and Broadcom TPUs

A news filled week in semiconductors. Let's discuss. First, let’s talk about Huawei. I want to highlight how lackadaisically the export...

Fabricated Knowledge

Semiconductor Events Deserving Your Attention @9/9/23

August revenue numbers for TSMC, ASPEED, MediaTek and Nanya all showing MoM increases but YoY comp are still terrible for most. Semi sales for July...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Supply Chain Names to Watch for Nvidia's Earnings Today

Also -- TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance and Hon Hai is said to produce over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Alphawave, TSMC and Lam Research Follow-up, DISCO and Lasertec

Alphawave reported last week. The results were not good; they were great. I actually am excited to see Tony and the team execute like this....

Fabricated Knowledge

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P/E

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