Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 2Q24F, customer demand has slowed down in the traditional low season, as inventory levels normalize.  </li>
<li>In summary, sales in USD are expected to grow in the mid-teens YoY in 2024F. Smartphone growth will be the strongest driver of this growth. </li>
<li>MediaTek is a leader in the Wi-Fi 7 market and aims to gain significant market share with its diverse product portfolio this year.</li>
</ul>


In 2Q24F, customer demand has slowed down in the traditional low season, as inventory levels normalize.  
In summary, sales in USD are expected to grow in the mid-teens YoY in 2024F. Smartphone growth will be the strongest driver of this growth. 
MediaTek is a leader in the Wi-Fi 7 market and aims to gain significant market share with its diverse product portfolio this year.


MediaTek (2454.TT): 1Q24 Results Beat; 2Q24F Revenue Outlook Shows a Flat to Downward Scenario.

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Land Mark Optoelectronics / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Corporations need to adapt to smarter AI as 6G, the next evolution in mobile communication, is coming soon, bringing faster speeds and advanced technology.</li><li>Taiwan's AI startups showcase cutting-edge B2B solutions at 2024 AI Expo, while Microsoft's third-quarter revenue reaches a record high with the help of AI technology.</li><li>Despite record high SiPh shipments, LMOC had a net loss in 1Q24. Taiwan's biggest curved interactive MiniLED display, 'Wishing Tree,' steals the show at Touch Taiwan 2024.</li></ul>

Corporations need to adapt to smarter AI as 6G, the next evolution in mobile communication, is coming soon, bringing faster speeds and advanced technology.Taiwan's AI startups showcase cutting-edge B2B solutions at 2024 AI Expo, while Microsoft's third-quarter revenue reaches a record high with the help of AI technology.Despite record high SiPh shipments, LMOC had a net loss in 1Q24. Taiwan's biggest curved interactive MiniLED display, 'Wishing Tree,' steals the show at Touch Taiwan 2024.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Apr-2024): Corporations must adapt to smarter AI.

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Intel misses 1H24 market consensus again, post market correction of over 7%. Can shifting focus away from foundry/manufacturing help?</li>
<li>Is the breakdown change for future spin off/IPO of foundry/manufacturing, and non focus businesses like Altera and Mobileye positive?</li>
<li>We disagree Intel foundry to breakeven in two years; we see AI product lagging behind competitors and non AI server CPU being squeezed by AI server GPU and GPU/CPU integration.</li>
</ul>


Intel misses 1H24 market consensus again, post market correction of over 7%. Can shifting focus away from foundry/manufacturing help?
Is the breakdown change for future spin off/IPO of foundry/manufacturing, and non focus businesses like Altera and Mobileye positive?
We disagree Intel foundry to breakeven in two years; we see AI product lagging behind competitors and non AI server CPU being squeezed by AI server GPU and GPU/CPU integration.


Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?

ASE Technology Holding   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Almost every sectors are recovery since 1Q24, and auto and industrial applications sectors still need more time to digest inventory. .    </li>
<li>The capex for 2024F has been increased by 10% for further investments in the testing business, targeting turnkey or testing customers. </li>
<li>All product lines expected to grow in 2H24F, with APT outperforming corporate average. UTR growth expected in 2H24F, reaching above 70%. </li>
</ul>


Almost every sectors are recovery since 1Q24, and auto and industrial applications sectors still need more time to digest inventory. .    
The capex for 2024F has been increased by 10% for further investments in the testing business, targeting turnkey or testing customers. 
All product lines expected to grow in 2H24F, with APT outperforming corporate average. UTR growth expected in 2H24F, reaching above 70%. 


ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): 1Q24F Results Were Better, and the Outlook for 2024F Was Very Positive.

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UMC expects macro uncertainties and cost headwinds to linger into 2H24. </li>
<li>The P3 project has received strong support from the Singapore government with a US$5 billion Capex. </li>
<li>UMC has seen high interest from customers for its 14nm capacity. </li>
</ul>


UMC expects macro uncertainties and cost headwinds to linger into 2H24. 
The P3 project has received strong support from the Singapore government with a US$5 billion Capex. 
UMC has seen high interest from customers for its 14nm capacity. 


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 2Q14F in Line; Singapore Fab Expansion Received Adds.

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

MediaTek (2454.TT): 1Q24 Results Beat; 2Q24F Revenue Outlook Shows a Flat to Downward Scenario.

Customer demand has slowed in 2Q24F. Sales in USD are expected to grow in the mid-teens YoY and Smartphone growth will be the strongest driver in...

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Apr-2024): Corporations must adapt to smarter AI.

Corporations face the challenge of adapting to smarter AI while preparing for the arrival of 6G technology, promising faster speeds and advanced...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Three structural improvement check points to follow

Andrew Lu

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): 1Q24F Results Were Better, and the Outlook for 2024F Was Very Positive.

Almost every sectors are recovery since 1Q24, and auto and industrial applications sectors still need more time to digest inventory. All product...

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 2Q14F in Line; Singapore Fab Expansion Received Adds.

UMC still a bit conservative into 2H24F. The P3 project has received strong support from the Singapore government with a US$5 billion Capex.

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MediaTek (2454.TT): 1Q24 Results Beat; 2Q24F Revenue Outlook Shows a Flat to Downward Scenario.

​Customer demand has slowed in 2Q24F. Sales in USD are expected to grow in the mid-teens YoY and Smartphone growth will be the strongest driver in...

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Apr-2024): Corporations must adapt to smarter AI.

Corporations face the challenge of adapting to smarter AI while preparing for the arrival of 6G technology, promising faster speeds and advanced...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Three structural improvement check points to follow

Andrew Lu

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): 1Q24F Results Were Better, and the Outlook for 2024F Was Very Positive.

Almost every sectors are recovery since 1Q24, and auto and industrial applications sectors still need more time to digest inventory. All product...

Patrick Liao

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 2Q14F in Line; Singapore Fab Expansion Received Adds.

UMC still a bit conservative into 2H24F. The P3 project has received strong support from the Singapore government with a US$5 billion Capex.

Patrick Liao

Customer demand has slowed in 2Q24F. Sales in USD are expected to grow in the mid-teens YoY and Smartphone growth will be the strongest driver in...