Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>June 2024 revenues of NT$207.87 billion, a decrease of 9.5% MoM but an increase of 32.9% YoY</li>
<li>Q224 revenue of US$20.9 billion, $457 million above the high end, up 10.5% QoQ and up 33.7% YoY. It was also TSMC's highest revenue quarter ever</li>
<li>At NT$1,266,154 (around US$39 billion), TSMC’s YTD revenues are up 28% YoY, well in line with the company’s forecast for a &gt;20% YoY increase in 2024.</li>
</ul>


June 2024 revenues of NT$207.87 billion, a decrease of 9.5% MoM but an increase of 32.9% YoY
Q224 revenue of US$20.9 billion, $457 million above the high end, up 10.5% QoQ and up 33.7% YoY. It was also TSMC's highest revenue quarter ever
At NT$1,266,154 (around US$39 billion), TSMC’s YTD revenues are up 28% YoY, well in line with the company’s forecast for a &gt;20% YoY increase in 2024.


TSMC's June Revenue Declined 9.5% MoM. Should We Be Worried?

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> could reach a growth rate of 25% YoY this year, with a very promising outlook for 2025.</li>
<li>Artificial Intelligence (AI) remains the primary focus, with plans to continue expanding capacity in 2H24 and 2025.</li>
<li>The demand from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> is expected to drive higher growth in 2H24.  </li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) could reach a growth rate of 25% YoY this year, with a very promising outlook for 2025.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) remains the primary focus, with plans to continue expanding capacity in 2H24 and 2025.
The demand from Apple (AAPL US) is expected to drive higher growth in 2H24.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 25% YoY Growth Rate Will Be Expected in 2024.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>TSMC June Sales Surge Higher Than Expectations; Apple Will Be Use TSMC's 2nm Node for Next Year's iPhone 17</li>
<li>Wiwynn GDR Offering - US$1.45bn Dilutive Offering, but Momentum Has Been Very Strong </li>
<li>Silergy (6415.TT): Trial-Run with Vanguard, and Recent Stock Drops Represent an Entry Opportunity. </li>
</ul>


TSMC June Sales Surge Higher Than Expectations; Apple Will Be Use TSMC's 2nm Node for Next Year's iPhone 17
Wiwynn GDR Offering - US$1.45bn Dilutive Offering, but Momentum Has Been Very Strong 
Silergy (6415.TT): Trial-Run with Vanguard, and Recent Stock Drops Represent an Entry Opportunity. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Beat High Expectations; Wiwynn GDR Offering; IPhone 17 to Use 2nm

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +15.1% Premium; Will It Break Down to Lower Past Trading Levels?</li>
<li>UMC: +2.4% Premium; Can Consider Shorting This Historically High Level</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -3.1% Discount; Long The Spread Given Historically Extreme Discount</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +15.1% Premium; Will It Break Down to Lower Past Trading Levels?
UMC: +2.4% Premium; Can Consider Shorting This Historically High Level
ChipMOS: -3.1% Discount; Long The Spread Given Historically Extreme Discount


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread on Brink of Falling to Past Levels; UMC Extreme Premium

<ul>
<li>Apple Increasing Chip Orders with TSMC -- Expecting iPhone 16 Sales to be Much Stronger Than iPhone 15 Thanks to AI</li>
<li>Google Said to be Shifting to TSMC from Samsung for Next Generation AI Mobile Phone Chips</li>
<li>This June 28th piece appears to be timely -- Memory Monitor: Micron's Shares May Be Falling But Results' Industry Implications Are Positive</li>
</ul>


Apple Increasing Chip Orders with TSMC -- Expecting iPhone 16 Sales to be Much Stronger Than iPhone 15 Thanks to AI
Google Said to be Shifting to TSMC from Samsung for Next Generation AI Mobile Phone Chips
This June 28th piece appears to be timely -- Memory Monitor: Micron's Shares May Be Falling But Results' Industry Implications Are Positive


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Hikes TSMC Orders on Strong IPhone 16 Hopes; Google Shifts AI Chip to TSMC

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

TSMC's June Revenue Declined 9.5% MoM. Should We Be Worried?

Q224 revenue of US$20.9 billion, $457 million above the high end, up 10.5% QoQ and up 33.7% YoY. It was also TSMC's highest revenue quarter ever

William Keating

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 25% YoY Growth Rate Will Be Expected in 2024.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) could poise for 25% YoY growth in 2024, driven by AI focus and Apple demand.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Beat High Expectations; Wiwynn GDR Offering; IPhone 17 to Use 2nm

TSMC's strong June sales exceed expectations, Apple to use TSMC's 2nm node for iPhone 17 next year. Wiwynn's US$1.45bn dilutive offering shows...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread on Brink of Falling to Past Levels; UMC Extreme Premium

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Hikes TSMC Orders on Strong IPhone 16 Hopes; Google Shifts AI Chip to TSMC

Apple and Google are increasing chip orders with TSMC for AI capabilities. Micron's shares inititially fell after reporting results previously,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC's June Revenue Declined 9.5% MoM. Should We Be Worried?

Q224 revenue of US$20.9 billion, $457 million above the high end, up 10.5% QoQ and up 33.7% YoY. It was also TSMC's highest revenue quarter ever

William Keating

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 25% YoY Growth Rate Will Be Expected in 2024.

​Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) could poise for 25% YoY growth in 2024, driven by AI focus and Apple demand.

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Beat High Expectations; Wiwynn GDR Offering; IPhone 17 to Use 2nm

​TSMC's strong June sales exceed expectations, Apple to use TSMC's 2nm node for iPhone 17 next year. Wiwynn's US$1.45bn dilutive offering shows...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread on Brink of Falling to Past Levels; UMC Extreme Premium

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Hikes TSMC Orders on Strong IPhone 16 Hopes; Google Shifts AI Chip to TSMC

​Apple and Google are increasing chip orders with TSMC for AI capabilities. Micron's shares inititially fell after reporting results previously,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) could poise for 25% YoY growth in 2024, driven by AI focus and Apple demand.

TSMC's strong June sales exceed expectations, Apple to use TSMC's 2nm node for iPhone 17 next year. Wiwynn's US$1.45bn dilutive offering shows...

Apple and Google are increasing chip orders with TSMC for AI capabilities. Micron's shares inititially fell after reporting results previously,...