Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan ADR premiums vs. their local shares have generally decreased across the board.</li>
<li>Is TSMC's high ADR premium a thing of the past?</li>
<li>UMC and ChipMOS ADRs are both trading at historically rare discounts to their Taiwan shares.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan ADR premiums vs. their local shares have generally decreased across the board.
Is TSMC's high ADR premium a thing of the past?
UMC and ChipMOS ADRs are both trading at historically rare discounts to their Taiwan shares.


Taiwan Dual-Listings – TSMC Premium Almost Wiped Out, UMC & ChipMOS ADRs Trading at Discounts

<ul>
<li>Intel Corp (INTC US)'s upcoming Innovation conference is a potential catalyst for the stock, given we believe there is likelihood of positive product announcements.</li>
<li>Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT) and United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT) have already released their August sales figures at the start of September, with next release not until early October.</li>
<li>Newsflow thus could be in Intel's favor through the end of the month. The stock is trading at an all-time low PBV.</li>
</ul>


Intel Corp (INTC US)'s upcoming Innovation conference is a potential catalyst for the stock, given we believe there is likelihood of positive product announcements.
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT) and United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT) have already released their August sales figures at the start of September, with next release not until early October.
Newsflow thus could be in Intel's favor through the end of the month. The stock is trading at an all-time low PBV.


Intel Vs. TSMC/​UMC Long/​Short Monitor: Upcoming Intel Conference Catalyst

<ul>
<li>The US Commerce Department is likely to expand China restrictions for the sale of chips and chip manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>Impact for major Taiwan-listed suppliers appears minimal so far; Inventec is one name with potential exposure.</li>
<li>Not Made in China: More signs of shift as Tata is preparing a JV with Wistron to produce iPhones and Taiwanese companies look to Southeast Asia and the USA.</li>
</ul>


The US Commerce Department is likely to expand China restrictions for the sale of chips and chip manufacturing equipment.
Impact for major Taiwan-listed suppliers appears minimal so far; Inventec is one name with potential exposure.
Not Made in China: More signs of shift as Tata is preparing a JV with Wistron to produce iPhones and Taiwanese companies look to Southeast Asia and the USA.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: US Restrictions on Tech Sales to China to Expand

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>US bans high end chip sales to China, Nvidia shares sink in reaction, as do Nvida suppliers and the overall sector.</li>
<li>Broadcom's fiscal Q3 results beat expectations and its optimistic outlook bucks the industry trend.</li>
<li>Yulon motors soars 9%; its JV with Hon Hai has received 10,000 EV pre-orders in two days.</li>
</ul>


US bans high end chip sales to China, Nvidia shares sink in reaction, as do Nvida suppliers and the overall sector.
Broadcom's fiscal Q3 results beat expectations and its optimistic outlook bucks the industry trend.
Yulon motors soars 9%; its JV with Hon Hai has received 10,000 EV pre-orders in two days.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: More Nvidia Issues, Broadcom Surprises, Yulon Soars

<ul>
<li>On August 31st, Intel’s GM of Data Center &amp; AI spoke at Deutsche Bank’s Technology Conference. On the same day, another executive spoke at Arete Research's fireside chat.</li>
<li>Q2 and Q3E should be the bottom for the business, implying a rebound in Q4. Consensus estimates a similar trend; the latest comments are a confirmation of Q2 results guidance.</li>
<li>We see opportunities for positive news flow in September and Q3 results, as Intel could make key product announcements and guide for Q4 to be a turnaround.</li>
</ul>


On August 31st, Intel’s GM of Data Center &amp; AI spoke at Deutsche Bank’s Technology Conference. On the same day, another executive spoke at Arete Research's fireside chat.
Q2 and Q3E should be the bottom for the business, implying a rebound in Q4. Consensus estimates a similar trend; the latest comments are a confirmation of Q2 results guidance.
We see opportunities for positive news flow in September and Q3 results, as Intel could make key product announcements and guide for Q4 to be a turnaround.


Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Take-Aways from DB Conference & Fireside Chat

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings – TSMC Premium Almost Wiped Out, UMC & ChipMOS ADRs Trading at Discounts

Taiwan ADR premiums vs. their local shares have generally decreased across the board. TSMC's past high premium is interestingly linked to the top...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Upcoming Intel Conference Catalyst

Newsflow thus could be in Intel's favor through the end of the month with the potential for major product announcements September 27th and 28th....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: US Restrictions on Tech Sales to China to Expand

Also more signs of shift as Tata is preparing a JV with Wistron to produce iPhones and Taiwanese companies look to Southeast Asia and the USA.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: More Nvidia Issues, Broadcom Surprises, Yulon Soars

Nvidia shares sink in reaction to US banning high-end chip sales to China, Taiwan's Nvida suppliers and the overall sector fall as well. Broadcom...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Take-Aways from DB Conference & Fireside Chat

Two Intel execs spoke at Deutsche Bank’s Technology Conference and a fireside chat, we find color on Intel's latest product milestone status and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings – TSMC Premium Almost Wiped Out, UMC & ChipMOS ADRs Trading at Discounts

Taiwan ADR premiums vs. their local shares have generally decreased across the board. TSMC's past high premium is interestingly linked to the top...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/​UMC Long/​Short Monitor: Upcoming Intel Conference Catalyst

Newsflow thus could be in Intel's favor through the end of the month with the potential for major product announcements September 27th and 28th....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: US Restrictions on Tech Sales to China to Expand

Also more signs of shift as Tata is preparing a JV with Wistron to produce iPhones and Taiwanese companies look to Southeast Asia and the USA.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: More Nvidia Issues, Broadcom Surprises, Yulon Soars

Nvidia shares sink in reaction to US banning high-end chip sales to China, Taiwan's Nvida suppliers and the overall sector fall as well. Broadcom...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Take-Aways from DB Conference & Fireside Chat

Two Intel execs spoke at Deutsche Bank’s Technology Conference and a fireside chat, we find color on Intel's latest product milestone status and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Upcoming Intel Conference Catalyst