Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC expects the foundry, semiconductor, electronics, industrial technology, and global GDP to be $0.25 trillion, $1 trillion, $3 trillion, $12 trillion, and $145 trillion, respectively, in 2030F</li>
<li>Transistor technology is constantly evolving, and FinFET architecture will be followed by Nanosheet and others.</li>
<li>In the transition, the automotive market belongs to IDM companies, but the utility of ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) could fall under Foundry territory.  </li>
</ul>


TSMC expects the foundry, semiconductor, electronics, industrial technology, and global GDP to be $0.25 trillion, $1 trillion, $3 trillion, $12 trillion, and $145 trillion, respectively, in 2030F
Transistor technology is constantly evolving, and FinFET architecture will be followed by Nanosheet and others.
In the transition, the automotive market belongs to IDM companies, but the utility of ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) could fall under Foundry territory.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +17.3% Premium, High Double Digit Level Persisting Since CNY</li>
<li>UMC: -1.5% Discount, We Believe Spread Biased to Go Positive</li>
<li>ChipMOS: +0.6% Premium, Collapsed from +4.6%. Now Within Typical Range.</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +17.3% Premium, High Double Digit Level Persisting Since CNY
UMC: -1.5% Discount, We Believe Spread Biased to Go Positive
ChipMOS: +0.6% Premium, Collapsed from +4.6%. Now Within Typical Range.


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Post-CNY Spread Persisting; Why UMC Discount Could Flip Positive

<ul>
<li>Usually, February is typically the month with the fewest working days of the year, and therefore, revenue is likely to be at its lowest as well.</li>
<li>We consider that the Taiwanese government may desire TSMC to build fabs in countries aligned with those who signed the "Wassenaar Arrangement." </li>
<li>The price hike of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> by US$785.38 on February 22 in the US market could signal an important development in the AI sector.</li>
</ul>


Usually, February is typically the month with the fewest working days of the year, and therefore, revenue is likely to be at its lowest as well.
We consider that the Taiwanese government may desire TSMC to build fabs in countries aligned with those who signed the "Wassenaar Arrangement." 
The price hike of NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) by US$785.38 on February 22 in the US market could signal an important development in the AI sector.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Implications of Feb Sales, TSMC 2nd Japanese Fab and NVDA Stock Price.

<ul>
<li>Key Events: 1) Nvidia Results Coming Today in the U.S. 2) Elan &amp; ChipMOS Tomorrow in Taiwan 3) U.S. PC Maker Results Next Week</li>
<li>Why United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel </li>
<li>Novatek a Top Gainer After Reports of Alliance with ARM to Build Neoverse V2 for AI</li>
</ul>


Key Events: 1) Nvidia Results Coming Today in the U.S. 2) Elan &amp; ChipMOS Tomorrow in Taiwan 3) U.S. PC Maker Results Next Week
Why United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel 
Novatek a Top Gainer After Reports of Alliance with ARM to Build Neoverse V2 for AI


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Market Surges in Post-CNY Catch-Up, TSMC a Top Gainer Locally</li>
<li>Key Events Ahead: Nvidia Results Next Week, Key Taiwan Names Reporting</li>
<li>Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads to Persist After CNY Break </li>
</ul>


Taiwan Market Surges in Post-CNY Catch-Up, TSMC a Top Gainer Locally
Key Events Ahead: Nvidia Results Next Week, Key Taiwan Names Reporting
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads to Persist After CNY Break 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Post-CNY Spread Persisting; Why UMC Discount Could Flip Positive

TSMC maintaining a high premium, UMC is expected to shift to a positive spread, ChipMOS back within the typical range after premium collapse.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Implications of Feb Sales, TSMC 2nd Japanese Fab and NVDA Stock Price.

February's few working days may lead to low revenue; Taiwanese government may want TSMC to build fabs in Wassenaar Arrangement countries; NVIDIA's...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Key developments: Nvidia results today, Elan & ChipMOS tomorrow, and U.S. PC maker results next week. UMC a potential acquisition for Intel?...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

Strong rebound after CNY with TSMC leading the gains. Nvidia results and key Taiwan companies reporting in the upcoming week. High spreads have...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

​TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Post-CNY Spread Persisting; Why UMC Discount Could Flip Positive

​TSMC maintaining a high premium, UMC is expected to shift to a positive spread, ChipMOS back within the typical range after premium collapse.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Implications of Feb Sales, TSMC 2nd Japanese Fab and NVDA Stock Price.

​February's few working days may lead to low revenue; Taiwanese government may want TSMC to build fabs in Wassenaar Arrangement countries; NVIDIA's...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Key developments: Nvidia results today, Elan & ChipMOS tomorrow, and U.S. PC maker results next week. UMC a potential acquisition for Intel?...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

Strong rebound after CNY with TSMC leading the gains. Nvidia results and key Taiwan companies reporting in the upcoming week. High spreads have...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

TSMC maintaining a high premium, UMC is expected to shift to a positive spread, ChipMOS back within the typical range after premium collapse.

February's few working days may lead to low revenue; Taiwanese government may want TSMC to build fabs in Wassenaar Arrangement countries; NVIDIA's...