Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan AI names rebounded strongly after having previously suffered declines. Nevertheless, many names have outperformed Nvidia and could be good hedges vs. a Long Nvidia position.</li>
<li>Nanya Tech crashed after the market reacted to Micron's weaker than expected near-term guidance. We believe the negative reaction to Micron is short-sighted. Please see our piece.</li>
<li>Delta Thailand crashed vs. Delta Taiwan after the parent sold a stake in the Thai subsidiary. We continue to believe Delta Taiwan offers substantially better value.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan AI names rebounded strongly after having previously suffered declines. Nevertheless, many names have outperformed Nvidia and could be good hedges vs. a Long Nvidia position.
Nanya Tech crashed after the market reacted to Micron's weaker than expected near-term guidance. We believe the negative reaction to Micron is short-sighted. Please see our piece.
Delta Thailand crashed vs. Delta Taiwan after the parent sold a stake in the Thai subsidiary. We continue to believe Delta Taiwan offers substantially better value.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan AI Names Rebound; Memory Crashes; Look for Nvidia Hedges

<ul>
<li>Our range for TSMC's spread trading appears to be working. Premium has rebounded lately and we would Short if breaks above 9.8%.</li>
<li>Our UMC trading range also appears to be working. We should Short if the premium increases slightly further to break 1%.</li>
<li>One can consider Shorting ASE's ADR premium at the current 10.8% premium level. After latest premium spike, risk appears skewed to the downside in the coming weeks.</li>
</ul>


Our range for TSMC's spread trading appears to be working. Premium has rebounded lately and we would Short if breaks above 9.8%.
Our UMC trading range also appears to be working. We should Short if the premium increases slightly further to break 1%.
One can consider Shorting ASE's ADR premium at the current 10.8% premium level. After latest premium spike, risk appears skewed to the downside in the coming weeks.


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC & UMC Trading Ranges Working; Short ASE Spread at Latest Level

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>The latest Mate 60 Kirin SOC is a major accomplishment for the Huawei, SMIC combo</li>
<li>SMIC will likely continue to refine their N+2 node and develop a 5nm-like process within 2-3 years, even without the use of EUV</li>
<li>SMIC's accomplishment is not reflected in its share price which lies midways between 52 week highs &amp; lows</li>
</ul>


The latest Mate 60 Kirin SOC is a major accomplishment for the Huawei, SMIC combo
SMIC will likely continue to refine their N+2 node and develop a 5nm-like process within 2-3 years, even without the use of EUV
SMIC's accomplishment is not reflected in its share price which lies midways between 52 week highs &amp; lows


Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> drives <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a> stock price, but their growth is still limited in 2023F.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a> acts as a buffer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> end demand during 2023F.</li>
<li>Although it is not yet the time to reverse the downturn in 2023F, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a> is expected to continue its upward trend throughout 2H23F.</li>
</ul>



NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) drives King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT) stock price, but their growth is still limited in 2023F.

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT) acts as a buffer for Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) end demand during 2023F.
Although it is not yet the time to reverse the downturn in 2023F, King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT) is expected to continue its upward trend throughout 2H23F.


KYEC (2449.TT): Beneficiary of AI with Contribution of CoWoS Testing

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> (KE) in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Can't Avoid the Cycles

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan AI Names Rebound; Memory Crashes; Look for Nvidia Hedges

Taiwan AI names rebounded strongly after having previously suffered declines. Nevertheless, many names have outperformed Nvidia and could be good...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: TSMC & UMC Trading Ranges Working; Short ASE Spread at Latest Level

There has been a general bounce in ADR premiums recently. If they go a bit higher then one can consider shorting TSMC and UMC premiums; we provide...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

SMIC's Semi Shocker

SMIC will likely continue to refine their N+2 node and develop a 5nm-like process within 2-3 years, even without the use of EUV. The implications...

William Keating

KYEC (2449.TT): Beneficiary of AI with Contribution of CoWoS Testing

It is not yet the time to judge, the upturn in 2023F, KYEC is expected to continue its upward trend throughout 2H23F. Nvidia is the driver of...

Patrick Liao

Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Can't Avoid the Cycles

KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO. In this note we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

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